Updated 23 October 2026.
Dallas and SJ Earthquakes meet at Toyota Stadium on Sunday 25 October, kick-off 01:30 UK, with the hosts 3rd and the visitors 4th in the Western Conference. Dallas have 51 points from 30 games and SJ Earthquakes have 48, so three points separate them.
Petar Musa has had at least one shot in 26 straight games for Dallas. Opposite him, Preston Judd has done it in 12 in a row for the visitors. Both sides have kept a clean sheet in 23% of their games, the 7th highest rate in MLS.
Dallas have won 14, drawn 9 and lost 7, scoring 55 and conceding 47. They score 1.83 goals a game, the 8th most in the league, but the shot numbers are quieter: 4.67 shots on target a game is the 12th fewest and 4.47 corners is the 6th fewest. They commit 13.03 fouls a game, the 6th most, and collect 2.3 cards, the 8th most.
They have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten. They drew 2-2 at Houston last time out, after a 1-0 home win over Seattle. Before that came a 3-2 defeat at Charlotte, then a 1-0 win over LAFC and a goalless draw with Austin.
SJ Earthquakes have won 13, drawn 9 and lost 8, with 52 scored and 42 conceded. The goals have come at 1.73 a game, the 11th most, while only 1.40 go in at the other end, the 10th fewest. They win 6.2 corners a game, the most in MLS.
They have drawn their last three, 1-1 with Nashville SC, 1-1 at RSL and 1-1 at Colorado, and in their last ten they have won three, drawn six and lost one. Before those came a 3-1 win over Portland and a 2-2 draw with LAFC. Only 53% of their games go over 2.5 goals, the 6th lowest rate in the league, against 67% for Dallas.
Dallas possible starting lineup:
Daniel; Moore, Ibeagha, Norris; Johansson, Ramiro, Cappis, Delgado; Kamungo, Job, Musa
SJ Earthquakes possible starting lineup:
Gunn; Ricketts, Roberts, Romney, Munie, Jasinski; Vieira, Löwen, Leroux; Judd, Werner
Petar Musa has had a shot in 26 consecutive games, averaging 3.3 a match, and midnite have him at 1.01 to make it 27.
Preston Judd has shot in 12 straight games and put a shot on target in each of the last six, averaging 1.8 on target a game, and bet365 go 1.44 for another one.
Bernard Kamungo has shot in seven straight, averaging two a game, and is 1.15 at midnite to extend it.
For San Jose, Ronaldo Vieira has committed a foul in each of his last six games and is 1.22 at midnite to make it seven, while Beau Leroux has fouled in eight straight, averaging 1.3, and is 1.36 at midnite. For Dallas, Nolan Norris has fouled in six straight, averaging 1.7, and midnite make him 1.33.
We make Dallas the likeliest winners at 47%, with the draw at 24% and San Jose at 29%. Midnite have Dallas at 1.67 to win at home, and the draw and San Jose are both 4.33 at bet365.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| Dallas win | 1.67 (midnite) | 47% |
| Draw | 4.33 (bet365) | 24% |
| SJ Earthquakes win | 4.33 (bet365) | 29% |
| Both teams to score | 1.50 (bet365) | 65% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.44 (bet365) | 63% |
1-1 is the likeliest single score at 11%, though we make Dallas the likelier winners at 47%, and San Jose have drawn their last three. We expect 1.85 goals from Dallas and 1.42 from San Jose, which is why both teams to score sits at 65%. 2-1 to Dallas is next on the list at 9%. Our prediction is Dallas 1-1 SJ Earthquakes.
Kick-off at Toyota Stadium is 01:30 UK on Sunday 25 October 2026.
Dallas 1-1 SJ Earthquakes is the likeliest score at 11%, though we make Dallas the likelier winners at 47%.
Dallas are the favourites at 1.67 with midnite, while the draw and SJ Earthquakes are both 4.33 with bet365.
Our model gives both teams to score a 65% chance, and bet365 offer 1.50 on it. Dallas are expected to score 1.85 goals and San Jose 1.42.
Petar Musa has had a shot in 26 straight games for Dallas, and Preston Judd has done it in 12 straight for SJ Earthquakes.
Dallas are 3rd in the Western Conference on 51 points from 30 games and SJ Earthquakes are 4th on 48 from 30.
Dallas: Daniel; Moore, Ibeagha, Norris; Johansson, Ramiro, Cappis, Delgado; Kamungo, Job, Musa. SJ Earthquakes: Gunn; Ricketts, Roberts, Romney, Munie, Jasinski; Vieira, Löwen, Leroux; Judd, Werner.