Updated 23 October 2026.
New York RB host Inter Miami at Sports Illustrated Stadium on Saturday 24 October, with kick-off at 22:30 UK. It pits the league's highest-scoring side against a team that has lost three of its last five, and we put both teams to score at 76%.
Inter Miami arrive 2nd in the Eastern Conference on 55 points from 30 games, having scored 73 times. New York RB sit 9th in the Eastern Conference on 36 points, with 39 scored and 56 conceded. Inter Miami's goals record is the best in MLS at 2.43 per game, while New York RB score 1.3, the 7th fewest.
New York RB lost 2-0 at home to Toronto last Saturday in their latest result, and before that went down 2-1 at DC United. Before those came a 4-1 home win over San Diego and, on 30 September, a 3-0 home loss to St. Louis. The one clean sheet in their last five came in a 1-0 win at NYCFC on 18 September. They have kept a clean sheet in only 13% of games, the 9th lowest rate in the league.
Inter Miami have won their last three. They beat Atlanta 3-1 away last Saturday, NYCFC 2-0 on 14 October and DC United 4-0 four days before that. The one blemish was a 2-1 defeat at Columbus, and before it a 2-2 draw with San Diego.
Miami lead the league for shots on target at 6.17 a game, and 77% of their games have seen both teams score, the highest rate in MLS. They also pick up the most cards, 2.73 a game. New York RB average 5.83 corners a game, the 5th most.
New York RB possible starting lineup:
Horvath; Nealis, Che, Bazán, Padelford; Donkor, Mehmeti, Sofo; Forsberg, Hall, Cowell
Inter Miami possible starting lineup:
St. Clair; Luján, Micael, Casemiro, Reguilón; De Paul, Galarza Fonda, Ayala; Messi, Suárez, Berterame
Lionel Messi has had a shot on target in 13 straight games, and he has had three or more shots in nine in a row, averaging 7.2 shots a game across that run. He is 1.09 at Ladbrokes for a shot on target.
Germán Berterame has had at least one shot in each of his last 14 games, at 2.4 a game. He is 1.04 at midnite to make it 15.
Ronald Donkor has committed a foul in 15 consecutive games, a run that ranks 1st in the league, at 1.9 a game. He is 1.20 at midnite to extend it.
Cade Cowell has had a shot in nine straight games, averaging 2.2, and is 1.04 at bet365 for a shot in this one. He has had a shot on target in four of his last five, and that is 1.50 at bet365.
Julian Hall has had a shot on target in each of his last five games, including a game with six, and he is 1.40 at Ladbrokes to do so again.
We back Inter Miami to win, and the best price on them is 1.85 at midnite. New York RB are 3.60 at bet365 and the draw is 4.20 at Ladbrokes. Miami's attack meets a New York RB defence that concedes 1.87 a game, the 8th most in the league.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| New York RB win | 3.60 (bet365) | 32% |
| Draw | 4.20 (Ladbrokes) | 22% |
| Inter Miami win | 1.85 (midnite) | 46% |
| Both teams to score | 1.29 (bet365) | 76% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.25 (bet365) | 77% |
Our model has Inter Miami scoring 2.2 goals to New York RB's 1.84, and puts the chance of both teams scoring at 76%. We predict a 1-1 draw, level on 8% with 1-2 as the likeliest single scoreline, though we make Inter Miami 46% to win against 32% for New York RB. We put over 2.5 goals at 77%, and 77% of Miami's games have gone over 2.5, the 2nd highest rate in MLS.
Dylan Nealis has committed a foul in nine straight games and is 1.30 at midnite, while Micael has done so in six in a row for Miami at the same price.
Our bet builder for this game uses Hall and Cowell to have a shot on target and Nealis and Micael to commit a foul.
Kick-off at Sports Illustrated Stadium is 22:30 UK on Saturday 24 October 2026.
We predict a 1-1 draw, level with 1-2 as the likeliest single scoreline, though we make Inter Miami the likelier winner at 46% to New York RB's 32%.
Inter Miami, at 1.85 with midnite. New York RB are 3.60 at bet365 and the draw is 4.20 at Ladbrokes.
We give it a 76% chance, and bet365 have both teams to score at 1.29. Inter Miami's games have seen both teams score 77% of the time, the highest rate in MLS.
Lionel Messi has had a shot on target in 13 straight games and Germán Berterame a shot in 14 straight. For New York RB, Cade Cowell has had a shot in nine in a row.
In the Eastern Conference, Inter Miami are 2nd on 55 points from 30 games and New York RB are 9th on 36 points.
New York RB: Horvath; Nealis, Che, Bazán, Padelford; Donkor, Mehmeti, Sofo; Forsberg, Hall, Cowell. Inter Miami: St. Clair; Luján, Micael, Casemiro, Reguilón; De Paul, Galarza Fonda, Ayala; Messi, Suárez, Berterame.