Bournemouth vs Leeds Predictions and Betting Tips – 22 April 2026
A mid-table Premier League fixture that is anything but dull on the data. Bournemouth sit 9th on 48 points, unbeaten in their last ten (W4 D6 L0), conceding just seven in that run. Leeds are 15th on 39 points with a mixed stretch of form – W3 D4 L3, level on goals both ways. Statz projects the H2H at Bournemouth 1.82 – 1.51 Leeds. Tight, but the home side have the edge.
Lineups and Player News
Statz has predicted lineups in for both sides. No absences flagged in the data for either Bournemouth or Leeds ahead of this Premier League midweek clash.
Recent Form
Bournemouth have been the model of consistency – six draws in their last ten but not a single defeat. Only seven goals conceded in that run shows they are hard to break down. Eli Kroupi leads their projected output at 0.35 goals for this fixture.
Leeds have been more up and down – back-to-back wins in their last two, but three defeats in the ten-game stretch. Eleven scored and eleven conceded tells you they are balanced but not clinical. Dominic Calvert-Lewin leads their projected output at 0.47 goals – the highest individual projection in the game.
Player Stats to Watch
Dominic Calvert-Lewin is the standout attacker for Leeds and his shot volume is consistent. He has a 100% hit rate on shots on target 1+ over the last five games according to Statz. Jayden Bogle leads Leeds for fouls with 14 on the season (1.40/game) – a reliable contributor to foul-based SGP legs.
Ethan Ampadu and James Justin both show strong shot involvement data for Leeds midfielders and defenders respectively, each hitting shots 1+ in every one of their last five games.
Betting Angles
Referee Michael Salisbury averages 4.55 yellows and 23.00 fouls per game – slightly above average on cards. The Statz bet builder tool surfaces four strong legs from the Leeds side:
- Dominic Calvert-Lewin – Shots on Target 1+ | 100% hit rate (1.6 avg SOT) | Last 5: W/W/W/W/W | 1.53 (Ladbrokes)
- James Justin – Shots 1+ | 100% hit rate (2.0 avg shots) | Last 5: W/W/W/W/W | 1.58 (Stake)
- Ethan Ampadu – Shots 1+ | 100% hit rate (1.6 avg shots) | Last 5: W/W/W/W/W | 1.73 (Coral)
- Jayden Bogle – Fouls 1+ | 100% hit rate (1.6 avg fouls) | Last 5: W/W/W/W/W | 1.40 (Ladbrokes)
Combined odds: ~5.85
Summary
Bournemouth have the home advantage and the better recent run, but Leeds carry attacking threat through Calvert-Lewin. The four-leg SGP using Leeds player stats lands at ~5.85 with all four legs showing 100% recent hit rates. Use the Statz bet builder to cross-reference, and check the full breakdown on the Bournemouth vs Leeds H2H page.
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