VfL Bochum 1848 xG 2024/2025

Bochum expected goals 2024/2025: 2024/2025

Games: 34
Expected goals (xG): 44.47
Goals scored: 33
Goals minus xG: -11.47
Expected goals against (xGA): 63.50
Goals conceded: 67
xGA minus goals conceded: -3.50
Expected points (xPts): 36.48
Points: 25
Points minus xPts: -11.48
Verdict: A bit unlucky

Are Bochum overperforming their expected goals?

Bochum have taken 11.5 points fewer than their chances warranted over 34 games: -11.5 goals against their xG, and -3.5 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. The performances are better than the results, which is the side of this table where prices tend to be generous.

Bochum results against expected goals by form window and venue

Window	Games	xG	Goals	Goals minus xG	xGA	Conceded	xGA minus conceded	xPts	Points	Points minus xPts
24/25	34	44.47	33	-11.47	63.50	67	-3.50	36.48	25	-11.48
Last 10	10	12.68	10	-2.68	16.08	20	-3.92	11.88	8	-3.88
Last 5	5	5.74	4	-1.74	6.00	6	0.00	6.83	5	-1.83
Home	17	24.81	16	-8.81	28.90	33	-4.10	21.41	13	-8.41
Away	17	19.66	17	-2.66	34.60	34	+0.60	15.07	12	-3.07

Bochum expected goals match by match, 2024/2025

Date	Competition	Opponent	Score	xG	xGA	xPts	Points	Deserved result
17 May	Bundesliga	St. Pauli (A)	0-2	0.86	0.76	1.41	3	W
10 May	Bundesliga	Mainz (H)	1-4	0.74	2.11	0.55	0	L
2 May	Bundesliga	Heidenheim (A)	0-0	1.40	0.83	1.79	1	W
27 Apr	Bundesliga	U Berlin (H)	1-1	1.90	0.49	2.34	1	W
19 Apr	Bundesliga	Bremen (A)	1-0	0.84	1.81	0.74	0	L
12 Apr	Bundesliga	Augsburg (H)	1-2	2.55	1.18	2.18	0	W
5 Apr	Bundesliga	Stuttgart (H)	0-4	1.00	2.43	0.59	0	L
28 Mar	Bundesliga	Leverkusen (A)	3-1	0.61	1.75	0.60	0	L
16 Mar	Bundesliga	Frankfurt (H)	1-3	1.68	2.59	0.91	0	L
8 Mar	Bundesliga	Bayern (A)	2-3	1.10	2.13	0.77	3	L
1 Mar	Bundesliga	Hoffenheim (H)	0-1	1.18	0.71	1.72	0	W
22 Feb	Bundesliga	Wolfsburg (A)	1-1	0.97	1.74	0.87	1	L
15 Feb	Bundesliga	Dortmund (H)	2-0	2.27	2.79	1.14	3	L
9 Feb	Bundesliga	Kiel (A)	2-2	3.18	1.88	2.05	1	W
1 Feb	Bundesliga	Freiburg (H)	0-1	1.12	1.91	0.88	0	L
25 Jan	Bundesliga	Gladbach (A)	3-0	0.78	2.29	0.51	0	L
18 Jan	Bundesliga	RB Leipzig (H)	3-3	2.95	2.73	1.51	1	W
15 Jan	Bundesliga	St. Pauli (H)	1-0	2.06	0.76	2.22	3	W
11 Jan	Bundesliga	Mainz (A)	2-0	0.64	1.31	0.83	0	L
22 Dec	Bundesliga	Heidenheim (H)	2-0	1.54	0.90	1.83	3	W
14 Dec	Bundesliga	U Berlin (A)	0-2	1.20	2.56	0.66	3	L
7 Dec	Bundesliga	Bremen (H)	0-1	1.10	0.84	1.55	0	W
30 Nov	Bundesliga	Augsburg (A)	1-0	0.46	1.89	0.44	0	L
23 Nov	Bundesliga	Stuttgart (A)	2-0	0.59	1.61	0.65	0	L
9 Nov	Bundesliga	Leverkusen (H)	1-1	0.87	1.02	1.22	1	L
2 Nov	Bundesliga	Frankfurt (A)	7-2	1.78	2.58	0.97	0	L
27 Oct	Bundesliga	Bayern (H)	0-5	0.20	2.09	0.23	0	L
19 Oct	Bundesliga	Hoffenheim (A)	3-1	2.00	1.88	1.47	0	W
5 Oct	Bundesliga	Wolfsburg (H)	1-3	1.98	2.31	1.21	0	L
27 Sep	Bundesliga	Dortmund (A)	4-2	0.84	3.59	0.23	0	L

Bochum players: goals against expected goals, 2024/2025

Player	Position	Apps	Minutes	xG	Goals	Goals minus xG	xG per 90
Myron Boadu	attacker	19	1070	8.06	9	+0.94	0.68
Cristian Gamboa	defender	11	216	0.10	1	+0.90	0.04
Matus Bero	midfielder	30	2571	4.35	5	+0.65	0.15
Gerrit Holtmann	attacker	23	1139	1.75	2	+0.25	0.14
Erhan Mašović	defender	16	906	0.75	1	+0.25	0.07
Ibrahima Sissoko	midfielder	32	2624	1.76	2	+0.24	0.06
Koji Miyoshi	midfielder	15	462	0.93	1	+0.07	0.18
Jakov Medic	defender	23	1611	1.12	1	-0.12	0.06
D. de Wit	midfielder	28	1150	2.18	2	-0.18	0.17
Felix Passlack	defender	31	2348	1.27	1	-0.27	0.05
Tom Krauß	midfielder	14	1082	0.50	0	-0.50	0.04
Bernardo	defender	21	1780	0.81	0	-0.81	0.04
Mats Pannewig	midfielder	14	256	0.86	0	-0.86	0.30
Ivan Ordets	defender	22	1865	1.00	0	-1.00	0.05
Lukas Daschner	midfielder	14	432	2.44	1	-1.44	0.51
Georgios Masouras	attacker	14	1063	3.47	2	-1.47	0.29
Maximilian Wittek	defender	33	2715	1.76	0	-1.76	0.06
Moritz Broschinski	attacker	33	1385	4.01	1	-3.01	0.26
Philipp Hofmann	attacker	32	2287	6.51	3	-3.51	0.26

Bundesliga 2024/2025: every team's points against expected points

#	Team	MP	xG	Goals	xGA	Conceded	xPts	Points	Points minus xPts
1	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	34	59.5	72	37.6	43	59.1	69	+9.9
2	RB Leipzig	33	46.9	52	54.5	43	42.3	51	+8.7
3	Borussia Mönchengladbach	34	46.5	55	65.4	57	37.3	45	+7.7
4	SC Freiburg	34	48.5	49	47.1	53	48.1	55	+6.9
5	FC Bayern München	33	76.8	94	24.7	31	73.3	79	+5.7
6	Eintracht Frankfurt	34	61.7	68	49.6	46	55.8	60	+4.2
7	FSV Mainz 05	34	50.5	55	49.8	43	48.4	52	+3.6
8	Werder Bremen	34	50.5	54	49.7	57	48.2	51	+2.8
9	FC Augsburg	34	38	35	51.2	51	40.3	43	+2.7
10	VfL Wolfsburg	34	49.5	56	54.1	54	44.8	43	-1.8
11	Borussia Dortmund	34	65.5	71	41.9	51	59.5	57	-2.5
12	FC Union Berlin	34	41.4	35	48.2	51	43.2	40	-3.2
13	VfB Stuttgart	34	63.8	64	44.6	53	57.2	50	-7.2
14	TSG Hoffenheim	34	45.5	46	57.3	68	39.9	32	-7.9
15	Holstein Kiel	34	39.9	49	65.4	80	33.1	25	-8.1
16	St. Pauli	34	36	28	45.9	41	41.2	32	-9.2
17	Heidenheim	34	42.4	37	57	64	38.8	29	-9.8
18	VfL Bochum 1848	34	44.5	33	63.5	67	36.4	25	-11.4