Heidenheim xG 2025/2026

Heidenheim expected goals 2025/2026: 2025/2026

Games: 34
Expected goals (xG): 46.33
Goals scored: 41
Goals minus xG: -5.33
Expected goals against (xGA): 64.95
Goals conceded: 72
xGA minus goals conceded: -7.05
Expected points (xPts): 37.25
Points: 26
Points minus xPts: -11.25
Verdict: A bit unlucky

Are Heidenheim overperforming their expected goals?

Heidenheim have taken 11.3 points fewer than their chances warranted over 34 games: -5.3 goals against their xG, and -7.1 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. The performances are better than the results, which is the side of this table where prices tend to be generous.

Heidenheim results against expected goals by form window and venue

Window	Games	xG	Goals	Goals minus xG	xGA	Conceded	xGA minus conceded	xPts	Points	Points minus xPts
25/26	34	46.33	41	-5.33	64.95	72	-7.05	37.25	26	-11.25
Last 10	10	15.46	19	+3.54	16.90	19	-2.10	13.06	12	-1.06
Last 5	5	9.31	9	-0.31	9.42	8	+1.42	7.13	7	-0.13
Home	17	24.81	23	-1.81	32.89	37	-4.11	19.51	17	-2.51
Away	17	21.52	18	-3.52	32.06	35	-2.94	17.74	9	-8.74

Heidenheim expected goals match by match, 2025/2026

Date	Competition	Opponent	Score	xG	xGA	xPts	Points	Deserved result
16 May	Bundesliga	Mainz (H)	0-2	2.18	3.15	0.94	0	L
10 May	Bundesliga	Koln (A)	1-3	1.66	1.15	1.72	3	W
2 May	Bundesliga	Bayern (A)	3-3	1.95	2.20	1.26	1	L
25 Apr	Bundesliga	St. Pauli (H)	2-0	1.63	0.85	1.92	3	W
19 Apr	Bundesliga	Freiburg (A)	2-1	1.89	2.07	1.29	0	L
11 Apr	Bundesliga	U Berlin (H)	3-1	2.22	0.96	2.17	3	W
4 Apr	Bundesliga	Gladbach (A)	2-2	1.25	1.07	1.49	1	W
21 Mar	Bundesliga	Leverkusen (H)	3-3	1.57	1.63	1.35	1	L
14 Mar	Bundesliga	Frankfurt (A)	1-0	0.08	1.19	0.38	0	L
7 Mar	Bundesliga	Hoffenheim (H)	2-4	1.03	2.63	0.54	0	L
28 Feb	Bundesliga	Bremen (A)	2-0	1.18	1.66	1.06	0	L
22 Feb	Bundesliga	Stuttgart (H)	3-3	2.35	2.08	1.55	1	W
15 Feb	Bundesliga	Augsburg (A)	1-0	0.96	2.00	0.73	0	L
7 Feb	Bundesliga	Hamburg (H)	0-2	1.63	1.84	1.26	0	L
1 Feb	Bundesliga	Dortmund (A)	3-2	2.25	4.10	0.64	0	L
24 Jan	Bundesliga	RB Leipzig (H)	0-3	0.64	2.15	0.47	0	L
17 Jan	Bundesliga	Wolfsburg (A)	1-1	1.11	1.13	1.34	1	L
13 Jan	Bundesliga	Mainz (A)	2-1	1.02	1.27	1.17	0	L
10 Jan	Bundesliga	Koln (H)	2-2	1.76	2.65	0.93	1	L
21 Dec	Bundesliga	Bayern (H)	0-4	1.00	3.57	0.29	0	L
13 Dec	Bundesliga	St. Pauli (A)	2-1	2.36	0.95	2.24	0	W
6 Dec	Bundesliga	Freiburg (H)	2-1	1.79	1.18	1.78	3	W
29 Nov	Bundesliga	U Berlin (A)	1-2	0.83	1.08	1.14	3	L
22 Nov	Bundesliga	Gladbach (H)	0-3	0.52	2.28	0.36	0	L
8 Nov	Bundesliga	Leverkusen (A)	6-0	0.09	3.46	0.05	0	L
1 Nov	Bundesliga	Frankfurt (H)	1-1	0.81	1.13	1.09	1	L
25 Oct	Bundesliga	Hoffenheim (A)	3-1	1.25	2.16	0.85	0	L
18 Oct	Bundesliga	Bremen (H)	2-2	3.15	1.20	2.39	1	W
5 Oct	Bundesliga	Stuttgart (A)	1-0	0.51	1.30	0.73	0	L
27 Sep	Bundesliga	Augsburg (H)	2-1	1.31	0.93	1.64	3	W

Heidenheim players: goals against expected goals, 2025/2026

Player	Position	Apps	Minutes	xG	Goals	Goals minus xG	xG per 90
Julian Niehues	midfielder	24	1389	1.65	3	+1.35	0.11
Stefan Schimmer	attacker	27	800	4.79	6	+1.21	0.54
Budu Zivzivadze	attacker	20	1146	4.90	6	+1.10	0.38
Hennes Behrens	defender	16	1319	0.46	1	+0.54	0.03
Jonas Föhrenbach	defender	27	2326	0.49	1	+0.51	0.02
Luca Kerber	midfielder	18	678	1.50	2	+0.50	0.20
Jan Schöppner	midfielder	31	2264	2.78	3	+0.22	0.11
Adrian Beck	midfielder	24	861	0.86	1	+0.14	0.09
Marnon Busch	defender	29	1913	1.06	1	-0.06	0.05
Sirlord Conteh	attacker	15	617	2.18	2	-0.18	0.32
Eren Dinkçi	attacker	14	1136	3.38	3	-0.38	0.27
Niklas Dorsch	midfielder	32	2270	0.70	0	-0.70	0.03
Mikkel Kaufmann	attacker	16	547	1.75	1	-0.75	0.29
Marvin Pieringer	attacker	27	1657	5.08	4	-1.08	0.28
Patrick Mainka	defender	34	3060	3.54	2	-1.54	0.10
Mathias Honsak	attacker	27	1250	3.96	2	-1.96	0.28
Arijon Ibrahimovic	midfielder	32	2177	5.29	2	-3.29	0.22

Bundesliga 2025/2026: every team's points against expected points

#	Team	MP	xG	Goals	xGA	Conceded	xPts	Points	Points minus xPts
1	FC Bayern München	34	91.9	122	41.6	36	72.3	89	+16.7
2	Borussia Dortmund	34	62.1	70	42.5	34	56.9	73	+16.1
3	VfB Stuttgart	34	61.3	71	52.5	49	53.6	62	+8.4
4	TSG Hoffenheim	34	58.2	65	49.6	52	53.7	61	+7.3
5	RB Leipzig	34	70.3	66	48.2	47	59.5	65	+5.5
6	FC Augsburg	34	47.1	45	62.7	61	39.6	43	+3.4
7	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	34	65.1	68	47.7	47	55.7	59	+3.3
8	SC Freiburg	34	51.4	51	51.7	57	46.1	47	+0.9
9	Eintracht Frankfurt	34	45.8	61	51	65	44.5	44	-0.5
10	Hamburger SV	34	44.7	40	61.6	54	38.6	38	-0.6
11	Borussia Mönchengladbach	34	45.9	42	51.4	53	43.2	38	-5.2
12	St. Pauli	34	33.6	29	56.6	60	33	26	-7
13	FSV Mainz 05	34	53.6	44	56	53	47.3	40	-7.3
14	FC Union Berlin	34	46.5	44	50.3	58	46.3	39	-7.3
15	Werder Bremen	34	41.2	37	53.8	60	41.2	32	-9.2
16	VfL Wolfsburg	34	47.4	45	64.3	69	38.6	29	-9.6
17	FC Köln	34	50.6	49	56.6	63	43	32	-11
18	Heidenheim	34	46.3	41	65	72	37.2	26	-11.2