Brentford have recorded 9 expected goals (xG) across 5 Premier League games in 2026/2027, averaging 1.8 per match. I. Thiago leads the squad with 2 expected goals (xG) - 0.58 per game.
Over their last 10 games, Brentford are averaging 1.8 expected goals (xG) per match - I. Thiago leads that period with 2. Use the match-by-match table above to compare expected goals (xG) game by game, with home and away filters ahead of Brentford vs Villa on 10.10.2026.
Brentford average 1.8 expected goals (xG) per Premier League game in 2026/2027, based on 5 matches. Over their last 10 games that figure is 1.8 per match.
I. Thiago leads Brentford for expected goals (xG) in 2026/2027 with 2 in Premier League - an average of 0.58 per game.
Use the Home / Away filter above the data table to compare Brentford's expected goals (xG) totals and per-game averages split by venue across 2026/2027.
Brentford's results and their chances agree, within 0.8 points of xPts over 20 games. There is no regression case either way. What the table says is roughly what they have earned.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 20 | 20 | 32.46 | 30 | -2.46 | 32.06 | 24 | +8.06 | 28.20 | 29 | +0.80 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 16.65 | 17 | +0.35 | 17.01 | 12 | +5.01 | 13.77 | 14 | +0.23 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 9.79 | 10 | +0.21 | 6.87 | 4 | +2.87 | 8.12 | 9 | +0.88 |
| Home | 10 | 21.02 | 17 | -4.02 | 12.74 | 10 | +2.74 | 18.51 | 15 | -3.51 |
| Away | 10 | 11.44 | 13 | +1.56 | 19.32 | 14 | +5.32 | 9.69 | 14 | +4.31 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep | Premier League | Chelsea (H) | 3-0 | 2.13 | 0.89 | 2.17 | 3 | W |
| 12 Sep | Premier League | B'mouth (A) | 2-2 | 0.53 | 1.88 | 0.49 | 1 | L |
| 5 Sep | Premier League | Sunderland (H) | 1-1 | 1.37 | 2.40 | 0.81 | 1 | L |
| 30 Aug | Premier League | Leeds (A) | 1-1 | 1.89 | 1.11 | 1.89 | 1 | W |
| 22 Aug | Premier League | Spurs (H) | 3-0 | 3.87 | 0.59 | 2.76 | 3 | W |
| 24 May | Premier League | Liverpool (A) | 1-1 | 1.38 | 2.81 | 0.66 | 1 | L |
| 17 May | Premier League | Palace (H) | 2-2 | 1.90 | 1.79 | 1.46 | 1 | W |
| 9 May | Premier League | Man City (A) | 3-0 | 0.35 | 3.30 | 0.12 | 0 | L |
| 2 May | Premier League | West Ham (H) | 3-0 | 1.87 | 1.02 | 1.95 | 3 | W |
| 27 Apr | Premier League | Man Utd (A) | 2-1 | 1.36 | 1.22 | 1.46 | 0 | W |
| 18 Apr | Premier League | Fulham (H) | 0-0 | 1.72 | 0.81 | 2.01 | 1 | W |
| 11 Apr | Premier League | Everton (H) | 2-2 | 2.58 | 1.47 | 2.02 | 1 | W |
| 21 Mar | Premier League | Leeds (A) | 0-0 | 0.48 | 0.73 | 1.06 | 1 | D |
| 16 Mar | Premier League | Wolves (H) | 2-2 | 2.19 | 1.63 | 1.72 | 1 | W |
| 3 Mar | Premier League | B'mouth (A) | 0-0 | 0.55 | 1.45 | 0.69 | 1 | L |
| 28 Feb | Premier League | Burnley (A) | 3-4 | 2.61 | 1.13 | 2.23 | 3 | W |
| 21 Feb | Premier League | Brighton (H) | 0-2 | 1.78 | 1.22 | 1.75 | 0 | W |
| 12 Feb | Premier League | Arsenal (H) | 1-1 | 1.61 | 0.92 | 1.86 | 1 | W |
| 7 Feb | Premier League | Newcastle (A) | 2-3 | 1.87 | 2.91 | 0.88 | 3 | L |
| 1 Feb | Premier League | Villa (A) | 0-1 | 0.42 | 2.78 | 0.21 | 3 | L |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vitaly Janelt | midfielder | 12 | 948 | 0.58 | 3 | +2.42 | 0.05 |
| Mikkel Damsgaard | midfielder | 18 | 1062 | 1.45 | 3 | +1.55 | 0.12 |
| Michael Kayode | defender | 19 | 1558 | 1.40 | 2 | +0.60 | 0.08 |
| Jaidon Anthony | attacker | 5 | 269 | 0.95 | 1 | +0.05 | 0.32 |
| Dango Ouattara | attacker | 20 | 1330 | 4.04 | 4 | -0.04 | 0.27 |
| Mathias Jensen | midfielder | 16 | 1366 | 1.16 | 1 | -0.16 | 0.08 |
| Kevin Schade | attacker | 18 | 1381 | 5.55 | 5 | -0.55 | 0.36 |
| Keane Lewis-Potter | midfielder | 20 | 1452 | 2.70 | 2 | -0.70 | 0.17 |
| Nathan Collins | defender | 15 | 1173 | 1.33 | 0 | -1.33 | 0.10 |
| Sepp van den Berg | defender | 14 | 1178 | 2.00 | 0 | -2.00 | 0.15 |
| Igor Thiago | attacker | 20 | 1793 | 9.52 | 7 | -2.52 | 0.48 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City | 5 | 10 | 13 | 5.5 | 5 | 9.7 | 15 | +5.3 |
| 2 | Newcastle United | 5 | 5.2 | 9 | 9.9 | 9 | 4.2 | 8 | +3.8 |
| 3 | Hull City | 5 | 5.4 | 6 | 7.2 | 4 | 5.6 | 8 | +2.4 |
| 4 | Everton | 5 | 6.6 | 6 | 7.2 | 3 | 6.7 | 9 | +2.3 |
| 5 | Arsenal | 5 | 9.1 | 8 | 4.6 | 4 | 9.9 | 12 | +2.1 |
| 6 | Leeds United | 5 | 7.2 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 7.1 | 9 | +1.9 |
| 7 | Brighton & Hove Albion | 5 | 11 | 16 | 8.7 | 5 | 8.2 | 10 | +1.8 |
| 8 | Brentford | 5 | 9.8 | 10 | 6.9 | 4 | 8.1 | 9 | +0.9 |
| 9 | Liverpool | 5 | 9.2 | 7 | 6.6 | 4 | 8.2 | 9 | +0.8 |
| 10 | Chelsea | 5 | 7.7 | 10 | 8.6 | 12 | 6.2 | 7 | +0.8 |
| 11 | Crystal Palace | 5 | 5.4 | 6 | 11.3 | 11 | 4 | 4 | -0 |
| 12 | Ipswich Town | 5 | 6.5 | 7 | 8.6 | 11 | 6.6 | 6 | -0.6 |
| 13 | Aston Villa | 5 | 4.7 | 4 | 8.9 | 9 | 4.7 | 4 | -0.7 |
| 14 | Coventry City | 5 | 4.2 | 1 | 8.5 | 10 | 4.3 | 3 | -1.3 |
| 15 | Nottingham Forest | 5 | 7.6 | 4 | 5.4 | 5 | 8.1 | 5 | -3.1 |
| 16 | Sunderland | 5 | 9.3 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 7.7 | 4 | -3.7 |
| 17 | Tottenham Hotspur | 5 | 5.2 | 2 | 8.3 | 8 | 5.7 | 2 | -3.7 |
| 18 | Manchester United | 5 | 10.4 | 8 | 5.2 | 8 | 9.1 | 5 | -4.1 |
| 19 | Fulham | 5 | 8.3 | 5 | 7.8 | 8 | 6.5 | 2 | -4.5 |
| 20 | AFC Bournemouth | 5 | 7.6 | 6 | 6.1 | 8 | 7.9 | 3 | -4.9 |