Leeds have recorded 7 expected goals (xG) across 5 Premier League games in 2026/2027, averaging 1.4 per match. D. Calvert-Lewin leads the squad with 2 expected goals (xG) - 0.46 per game.
Over their last 10 games, Leeds are averaging 1.4 expected goals (xG) per match - D. Calvert-Lewin leads that period with 2. Use the match-by-match table above to compare expected goals (xG) game by game, with home and away filters ahead of Leeds vs Arsenal on 10.10.2026.
Leeds average 1.4 expected goals (xG) per Premier League game in 2026/2027, based on 5 matches. Over their last 10 games that figure is 1.4 per match.
D. Calvert-Lewin leads Leeds for expected goals (xG) in 2026/2027 with 2 in Premier League - an average of 0.46 per game.
Use the Home / Away filter above the data table to compare Leeds's expected goals (xG) totals and per-game averages split by venue across 2026/2027.
Leeds have taken 3.1 points more than their chances warranted over 20 games: -6.0 goals against their xG, and +12.3 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. Finishing and goalkeeping at that level rarely hold, so the table is the optimistic reading of this side.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 20 | 20 | 31.01 | 25 | -6.01 | 33.33 | 21 | +12.33 | 26.88 | 30 | +3.12 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 14.12 | 14 | -0.12 | 16.89 | 10 | +6.89 | 12.65 | 17 | +4.35 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 7.22 | 7 | -0.22 | 6.97 | 3 | +3.97 | 7.10 | 9 | +1.90 |
| Home | 11 | 17.52 | 15 | -2.52 | 15.35 | 10 | +5.35 | 16.75 | 18 | +1.25 |
| Away | 9 | 13.49 | 10 | -3.49 | 17.98 | 11 | +6.98 | 10.13 | 12 | +1.87 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | Premier League | Palace (H) | 0-0 | 1.42 | 1.15 | 1.56 | 1 | W |
| 14 Sep | Premier League | Newcastle (H) | 4-1 | 1.90 | 0.79 | 2.12 | 3 | W |
| 5 Sep | Premier League | Brighton (A) | 1-1 | 2.04 | 2.39 | 1.21 | 1 | L |
| 30 Aug | Premier League | Brentford (H) | 1-1 | 1.11 | 1.89 | 0.89 | 1 | L |
| 22 Aug | Premier League | Forest (A) | 0-1 | 0.75 | 0.75 | 1.32 | 3 | D |
| 24 May | Premier League | West Ham (A) | 3-0 | 1.77 | 2.84 | 0.85 | 0 | L |
| 17 May | Premier League | Brighton (H) | 1-0 | 0.40 | 2.80 | 0.20 | 3 | L |
| 11 May | Premier League | Spurs (A) | 1-1 | 1.50 | 1.81 | 1.19 | 1 | L |
| 1 May | Premier League | Burnley (H) | 3-1 | 1.93 | 0.51 | 2.34 | 3 | W |
| 22 Apr | Premier League | B'mouth (A) | 2-2 | 1.30 | 1.96 | 0.97 | 1 | L |
| 18 Apr | Premier League | Wolves (H) | 3-0 | 3.24 | 0.59 | 2.69 | 3 | W |
| 13 Apr | Premier League | Man Utd (A) | 1-2 | 2.73 | 2.06 | 1.75 | 3 | W |
| 21 Mar | Premier League | Brentford (H) | 0-0 | 0.73 | 0.48 | 1.53 | 1 | D |
| 15 Mar | Premier League | Palace (A) | 0-0 | 1.26 | 0.86 | 1.66 | 1 | W |
| 3 Mar | Premier League | Sunderland (H) | 0-1 | 1.31 | 0.98 | 1.61 | 0 | W |
| 28 Feb | Premier League | Man City (H) | 0-1 | 1.99 | 2.20 | 1.28 | 0 | L |
| 21 Feb | Premier League | Villa (A) | 1-1 | 0.90 | 1.79 | 0.79 | 1 | L |
| 10 Feb | Premier League | Chelsea (A) | 2-2 | 1.24 | 3.52 | 0.39 | 1 | L |
| 6 Feb | Premier League | Forest (H) | 3-1 | 2.39 | 1.55 | 1.88 | 3 | W |
| 31 Jan | Premier League | Arsenal (H) | 0-4 | 1.10 | 2.41 | 0.65 | 0 | L |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Okafor | attacker | 13 | 755 | 2.52 | 7 | +4.48 | 0.30 |
| Anton Stach | midfielder | 14 | 1208 | 1.53 | 3 | +1.47 | 0.11 |
| Sean Longstaff | midfielder | 12 | 142 | 0.38 | 1 | +0.62 | 0.24 |
| Joe Rodon | defender | 16 | 1246 | 0.45 | 1 | +0.55 | 0.03 |
| Jayden Bogle | defender | 18 | 1417 | 2.10 | 2 | -0.10 | 0.13 |
| Daniel James | attacker | 12 | 253 | 0.53 | 0 | -0.53 | 0.19 |
| Tarik Muharemović | defender | 5 | 450 | 0.62 | 0 | -0.62 | 0.12 |
| James Justin | defender | 20 | 1737 | 1.64 | 1 | -0.64 | 0.08 |
| Jaka Bijol | defender | 16 | 1072 | 0.78 | 0 | -0.78 | 0.07 |
| Pascal Struijk | defender | 13 | 1129 | 0.92 | 0 | -0.92 | 0.07 |
| Ethan Ampadu | midfielder | 20 | 1800 | 0.94 | 0 | -0.94 | 0.05 |
| Dominic Calvert-Lewin | attacker | 19 | 1655 | 9.28 | 8 | -1.28 | 0.50 |
| Ao Tanaka | midfielder | 12 | 831 | 1.46 | 0 | -1.46 | 0.16 |
| Brenden Aaronson | midfielder | 20 | 1241 | 2.12 | 0 | -2.12 | 0.15 |
| Lukas Nmecha | attacker | 16 | 530 | 3.21 | 1 | -2.21 | 0.54 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City | 5 | 10 | 13 | 5.5 | 5 | 9.7 | 15 | +5.3 |
| 2 | Newcastle United | 5 | 5.2 | 9 | 9.9 | 9 | 4.2 | 8 | +3.8 |
| 3 | Hull City | 5 | 5.4 | 6 | 7.2 | 4 | 5.6 | 8 | +2.4 |
| 4 | Everton | 5 | 6.6 | 6 | 7.2 | 3 | 6.7 | 9 | +2.3 |
| 5 | Arsenal | 5 | 9.1 | 8 | 4.6 | 4 | 9.9 | 12 | +2.1 |
| 6 | Leeds United | 5 | 7.2 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 7.1 | 9 | +1.9 |
| 7 | Brighton & Hove Albion | 5 | 11 | 16 | 8.7 | 5 | 8.2 | 10 | +1.8 |
| 8 | Brentford | 5 | 9.8 | 10 | 6.9 | 4 | 8.1 | 9 | +0.9 |
| 9 | Liverpool | 5 | 9.2 | 7 | 6.6 | 4 | 8.2 | 9 | +0.8 |
| 10 | Chelsea | 5 | 7.7 | 10 | 8.6 | 12 | 6.2 | 7 | +0.8 |
| 11 | Crystal Palace | 5 | 5.4 | 6 | 11.3 | 11 | 4 | 4 | -0 |
| 12 | Ipswich Town | 5 | 6.5 | 7 | 8.6 | 11 | 6.6 | 6 | -0.6 |
| 13 | Aston Villa | 5 | 4.7 | 4 | 8.9 | 9 | 4.7 | 4 | -0.7 |
| 14 | Coventry City | 5 | 4.2 | 1 | 8.5 | 10 | 4.3 | 3 | -1.3 |
| 15 | Nottingham Forest | 5 | 7.6 | 4 | 5.4 | 5 | 8.1 | 5 | -3.1 |
| 16 | Sunderland | 5 | 9.3 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 7.7 | 4 | -3.7 |
| 17 | Tottenham Hotspur | 5 | 5.2 | 2 | 8.3 | 8 | 5.7 | 2 | -3.7 |
| 18 | Manchester United | 5 | 10.4 | 8 | 5.2 | 8 | 9.1 | 5 | -4.1 |
| 19 | Fulham | 5 | 8.3 | 5 | 7.8 | 8 | 6.5 | 2 | -4.5 |
| 20 | AFC Bournemouth | 5 | 7.6 | 6 | 6.1 | 8 | 7.9 | 3 | -4.9 |