Chelsea have recorded 7 expected goals (xG) across 5 Premier League games in 2026/2027, averaging 1.4 per match. C. Palmer leads the squad with 1 expected goals (xG) - 0.36 per game. M. Rogers is next with 1.
Over their last 10 games, Chelsea are averaging 1.4 expected goals (xG) per match - J. Pedro leads that period with 2. Use the match-by-match table above to compare expected goals (xG) game by game, with home and away filters ahead of Chelsea vs B'mouth on 10.10.2026.
Chelsea average 1.4 expected goals (xG) per Premier League game in 2026/2027, based on 5 matches. Over their last 10 games that figure is 1.4 per match.
C. Palmer leads Chelsea for expected goals (xG) in 2026/2027 with 1 in Premier League - an average of 0.36 per game. M. Rogers is second with 1.
Use the Home / Away filter above the data table to compare Chelsea's expected goals (xG) totals and per-game averages split by venue across 2026/2027.
Chelsea have taken 8.2 points fewer than their chances warranted over 20 games: -5.6 goals against their xG, and -10.7 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. The performances are better than the results, which is the side of this table where prices tend to be generous.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 20 | 20 | 34.59 | 29 | -5.59 | 28.34 | 39 | -10.66 | 30.18 | 22 | -8.18 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 13.10 | 15 | +1.90 | 16.35 | 22 | -5.65 | 11.24 | 11 | -0.24 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 7.75 | 10 | +2.25 | 8.56 | 12 | -3.44 | 6.18 | 7 | +0.82 |
| Home | 10 | 21.60 | 15 | -6.60 | 12.84 | 19 | -6.16 | 18.49 | 12 | -6.49 |
| Away | 10 | 12.99 | 14 | +1.01 | 15.50 | 20 | -4.50 | 11.69 | 10 | -1.69 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep | Premier League | Brentford (A) | 3-0 | 0.89 | 2.13 | 0.63 | 0 | L |
| 12 Sep | Premier League | Hull (H) | 2-2 | 1.08 | 1.39 | 1.14 | 1 | L |
| 6 Sep | Premier League | Arsenal (A) | 2-1 | 0.50 | 2.27 | 0.35 | 0 | L |
| 30 Aug | Premier League | Brighton (H) | 4-3 | 3.36 | 1.26 | 2.42 | 3 | W |
| 24 Aug | Premier League | Fulham (A) | 2-3 | 1.92 | 1.51 | 1.64 | 3 | W |
| 24 May | Premier League | Sunderland (A) | 2-1 | 0.81 | 1.81 | 0.71 | 0 | L |
| 19 May | Premier League | Spurs (H) | 2-1 | 0.90 | 1.36 | 1.02 | 3 | L |
| 9 May | Premier League | Liverpool (A) | 1-1 | 0.42 | 0.57 | 1.12 | 1 | D |
| 4 May | Premier League | Forest (H) | 1-3 | 2.60 | 2.02 | 1.71 | 0 | W |
| 21 Apr | Premier League | Brighton (A) | 3-0 | 0.62 | 2.03 | 0.50 | 0 | L |
| 18 Apr | Premier League | Man Utd (H) | 0-1 | 1.71 | 0.32 | 2.38 | 0 | W |
| 12 Apr | Premier League | Man City (H) | 0-3 | 1.12 | 2.03 | 0.82 | 0 | L |
| 21 Mar | Premier League | Everton (A) | 3-0 | 0.77 | 1.26 | 0.98 | 0 | L |
| 14 Mar | Premier League | Newcastle (H) | 0-1 | 1.94 | 0.85 | 2.10 | 0 | W |
| 4 Mar | Premier League | Villa (A) | 1-4 | 3.03 | 1.05 | 2.43 | 3 | W |
| 1 Mar | Premier League | Arsenal (A) | 2-1 | 1.15 | 1.69 | 1.02 | 0 | L |
| 21 Feb | Premier League | Burnley (H) | 1-1 | 2.19 | 1.07 | 2.08 | 1 | W |
| 10 Feb | Premier League | Leeds (H) | 2-2 | 3.52 | 1.24 | 2.47 | 1 | W |
| 7 Feb | Premier League | Wolves (A) | 1-3 | 2.88 | 1.18 | 2.31 | 3 | W |
| 31 Jan | Premier League | West Ham (H) | 3-2 | 3.18 | 1.30 | 2.35 | 3 | W |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Rogers | midfielder | 5 | 439 | 1.17 | 3 | +1.83 | 0.24 |
| Enzo Fernández | midfielder | 15 | 1268 | 2.28 | 3 | +0.72 | 0.16 |
| Andrey Santos | midfielder | 10 | 618 | 0.55 | 1 | +0.45 | 0.08 |
| João Pedro | attacker | 16 | 1343 | 9.81 | 10 | +0.19 | 0.66 |
| Roméo Lavia | midfielder | 12 | 535 | 0.90 | 1 | +0.10 | 0.15 |
| Marc Cucurella | defender | 13 | 1001 | 1.01 | 1 | -0.01 | 0.09 |
| Wesley Fofana | defender | 17 | 1233 | 0.57 | 0 | -0.57 | 0.04 |
| Pedro Neto | attacker | 16 | 1168 | 1.71 | 1 | -0.71 | 0.13 |
| Reece James | defender | 11 | 724 | 0.71 | 0 | -0.71 | 0.09 |
| Cole Palmer | midfielder | 19 | 1649 | 8.98 | 8 | -0.98 | 0.49 |
| Alejandro Garnacho | attacker | 10 | 445 | 1.16 | 0 | -1.16 | 0.23 |
| Liam Delap | attacker | 14 | 501 | 3.00 | 0 | -3.00 | 0.54 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City | 5 | 10 | 13 | 5.5 | 5 | 9.7 | 15 | +5.3 |
| 2 | Newcastle United | 5 | 5.2 | 9 | 9.9 | 9 | 4.2 | 8 | +3.8 |
| 3 | Hull City | 5 | 5.4 | 6 | 7.2 | 4 | 5.6 | 8 | +2.4 |
| 4 | Everton | 5 | 6.6 | 6 | 7.2 | 3 | 6.7 | 9 | +2.3 |
| 5 | Arsenal | 5 | 9.1 | 8 | 4.6 | 4 | 9.9 | 12 | +2.1 |
| 6 | Leeds United | 5 | 7.2 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 7.1 | 9 | +1.9 |
| 7 | Brighton & Hove Albion | 5 | 11 | 16 | 8.7 | 5 | 8.2 | 10 | +1.8 |
| 8 | Brentford | 5 | 9.8 | 10 | 6.9 | 4 | 8.1 | 9 | +0.9 |
| 9 | Liverpool | 5 | 9.2 | 7 | 6.6 | 4 | 8.2 | 9 | +0.8 |
| 10 | Chelsea | 5 | 7.7 | 10 | 8.6 | 12 | 6.2 | 7 | +0.8 |
| 11 | Crystal Palace | 5 | 5.4 | 6 | 11.3 | 11 | 4 | 4 | -0 |
| 12 | Ipswich Town | 5 | 6.5 | 7 | 8.6 | 11 | 6.6 | 6 | -0.6 |
| 13 | Aston Villa | 5 | 4.7 | 4 | 8.9 | 9 | 4.7 | 4 | -0.7 |
| 14 | Coventry City | 5 | 4.2 | 1 | 8.5 | 10 | 4.3 | 3 | -1.3 |
| 15 | Nottingham Forest | 5 | 7.6 | 4 | 5.4 | 5 | 8.1 | 5 | -3.1 |
| 16 | Sunderland | 5 | 9.3 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 7.7 | 4 | -3.7 |
| 17 | Tottenham Hotspur | 5 | 5.2 | 2 | 8.3 | 8 | 5.7 | 2 | -3.7 |
| 18 | Manchester United | 5 | 10.4 | 8 | 5.2 | 8 | 9.1 | 5 | -4.1 |
| 19 | Fulham | 5 | 8.3 | 5 | 7.8 | 8 | 6.5 | 2 | -4.5 |
| 20 | AFC Bournemouth | 5 | 7.6 | 6 | 6.1 | 8 | 7.9 | 3 | -4.9 |