Forest have recorded 7 expected goals (xG) across 5 Premier League games in 2026/2027, averaging 1.4 per match.
Over their last 10 games, Forest are averaging 1.4 expected goals (xG) per match - I. Jesus leads that period with 2. Use the match-by-match table above to compare expected goals (xG) game by game, with home and away filters ahead of Forest vs Palace on 11.10.2026.
Forest average 1.4 expected goals (xG) per Premier League game in 2026/2027, based on 5 matches. Over their last 10 games that figure is 1.4 per match.
Use the Home / Away filter above the data table to compare Forest's expected goals (xG) totals and per-game averages split by venue across 2026/2027.
Forest's results and their chances agree, within 2.9 points of xPts over 20 games. There is no regression case either way. What the table says is roughly what they have earned.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 20 | 20 | 28.72 | 29 | +0.28 | 30.06 | 22 | +8.06 | 26.88 | 24 | -2.88 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 15.59 | 16 | +0.41 | 15.28 | 11 | +4.28 | 14.39 | 13 | -1.39 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 7.56 | 4 | -3.56 | 5.40 | 5 | +0.40 | 8.13 | 5 | -3.13 |
| Home | 11 | 14.78 | 8 | -6.78 | 12.12 | 8 | +4.12 | 16.40 | 10 | -6.40 |
| Away | 9 | 13.94 | 21 | +7.06 | 17.94 | 14 | +3.94 | 10.48 | 14 | +3.52 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | Premier League | Coventry (H) | 0-1 | 1.41 | 0.56 | 2.01 | 0 | W |
| 12 Sep | Premier League | Villa (A) | 1-2 | 2.27 | 1.06 | 2.12 | 3 | W |
| 5 Sep | Premier League | Spurs (H) | 0-0 | 0.72 | 1.16 | 0.99 | 1 | L |
| 29 Aug | Premier League | Liverpool (A) | 2-2 | 2.41 | 1.87 | 1.70 | 1 | W |
| 22 Aug | Premier League | Leeds (H) | 0-1 | 0.75 | 0.75 | 1.31 | 0 | D |
| 24 May | Premier League | B'mouth (H) | 1-1 | 1.94 | 1.17 | 1.88 | 1 | W |
| 17 May | Premier League | Man Utd (A) | 3-2 | 1.67 | 3.87 | 0.47 | 0 | L |
| 10 May | Premier League | Newcastle (H) | 1-1 | 1.51 | 1.30 | 1.52 | 1 | W |
| 4 May | Premier League | Chelsea (A) | 1-3 | 2.02 | 2.60 | 1.09 | 3 | L |
| 24 Apr | Premier League | Sunderland (A) | 0-5 | 0.89 | 0.94 | 1.30 | 3 | L |
| 19 Apr | Premier League | Burnley (H) | 4-1 | 1.41 | 0.50 | 2.06 | 3 | W |
| 12 Apr | Premier League | Villa (H) | 1-1 | 1.13 | 1.27 | 1.27 | 1 | L |
| 22 Mar | Premier League | Spurs (A) | 0-3 | 1.24 | 1.41 | 1.25 | 3 | L |
| 15 Mar | Premier League | Fulham (H) | 0-0 | 0.88 | 1.15 | 1.14 | 1 | L |
| 4 Mar | Premier League | Man City (A) | 2-2 | 1.04 | 2.64 | 0.53 | 1 | L |
| 1 Mar | Premier League | Brighton (A) | 2-1 | 0.85 | 1.16 | 1.10 | 0 | L |
| 22 Feb | Premier League | Liverpool (H) | 0-1 | 1.21 | 1.89 | 0.95 | 0 | L |
| 11 Feb | Premier League | Wolves (H) | 0-0 | 3.23 | 0.48 | 2.74 | 1 | W |
| 6 Feb | Premier League | Leeds (A) | 3-1 | 1.55 | 2.39 | 0.92 | 0 | L |
| 1 Feb | Premier League | Palace (H) | 1-1 | 0.59 | 1.89 | 0.53 | 1 | L |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Gibbs-White | midfielder | 19 | 1594 | 6.45 | 11 | +4.55 | 0.36 |
| Elliot Anderson | midfielder | 15 | 1264 | 1.51 | 3 | +1.49 | 0.11 |
| Taiwo Awoniyi | attacker | 9 | 277 | 2.23 | 3 | +0.77 | 0.73 |
| Lorenzo Lucca | attacker | 4 | 127 | 0.95 | 1 | +0.05 | 0.67 |
| Morato | defender | 10 | 636 | 1.00 | 1 | 0.00 | 0.14 |
| Chris Wood | attacker | 11 | 424 | 1.07 | 1 | -0.07 | 0.23 |
| Neco Williams | defender | 19 | 1586 | 1.09 | 1 | -0.09 | 0.06 |
| Liam Delap | attacker | 4 | 278 | 1.28 | 1 | -0.28 | 0.41 |
| Igor Jesus | attacker | 20 | 1276 | 5.45 | 5 | -0.45 | 0.38 |
| Dan Ndoye | attacker | 13 | 476 | 1.47 | 1 | -0.47 | 0.28 |
| James McAtee | midfielder | 12 | 537 | 0.55 | 0 | -0.55 | 0.09 |
| Ryan Yates | midfielder | 11 | 309 | 0.67 | 0 | -0.67 | 0.20 |
| Murillo | defender | 13 | 1122 | 0.69 | 0 | -0.69 | 0.06 |
| Nicolás DomÃnguez | midfielder | 14 | 461 | 0.72 | 0 | -0.72 | 0.14 |
| Callum Hudson-Odoi | attacker | 10 | 552 | 1.12 | 0 | -1.12 | 0.18 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City | 5 | 10 | 13 | 5.5 | 5 | 9.7 | 15 | +5.3 |
| 2 | Newcastle United | 5 | 5.2 | 9 | 9.9 | 9 | 4.2 | 8 | +3.8 |
| 3 | Hull City | 5 | 5.4 | 6 | 7.2 | 4 | 5.6 | 8 | +2.4 |
| 4 | Everton | 5 | 6.6 | 6 | 7.2 | 3 | 6.7 | 9 | +2.3 |
| 5 | Arsenal | 5 | 9.1 | 8 | 4.6 | 4 | 9.9 | 12 | +2.1 |
| 6 | Leeds United | 5 | 7.2 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 7.1 | 9 | +1.9 |
| 7 | Brighton & Hove Albion | 5 | 11 | 16 | 8.7 | 5 | 8.2 | 10 | +1.8 |
| 8 | Brentford | 5 | 9.8 | 10 | 6.9 | 4 | 8.1 | 9 | +0.9 |
| 9 | Liverpool | 5 | 9.2 | 7 | 6.6 | 4 | 8.2 | 9 | +0.8 |
| 10 | Chelsea | 5 | 7.7 | 10 | 8.6 | 12 | 6.2 | 7 | +0.8 |
| 11 | Crystal Palace | 5 | 5.4 | 6 | 11.3 | 11 | 4 | 4 | -0 |
| 12 | Ipswich Town | 5 | 6.5 | 7 | 8.6 | 11 | 6.6 | 6 | -0.6 |
| 13 | Aston Villa | 5 | 4.7 | 4 | 8.9 | 9 | 4.7 | 4 | -0.7 |
| 14 | Coventry City | 5 | 4.2 | 1 | 8.5 | 10 | 4.3 | 3 | -1.3 |
| 15 | Nottingham Forest | 5 | 7.6 | 4 | 5.4 | 5 | 8.1 | 5 | -3.1 |
| 16 | Sunderland | 5 | 9.3 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 7.7 | 4 | -3.7 |
| 17 | Tottenham Hotspur | 5 | 5.2 | 2 | 8.3 | 8 | 5.7 | 2 | -3.7 |
| 18 | Manchester United | 5 | 10.4 | 8 | 5.2 | 8 | 9.1 | 5 | -4.1 |
| 19 | Fulham | 5 | 8.3 | 5 | 7.8 | 8 | 6.5 | 2 | -4.5 |
| 20 | AFC Bournemouth | 5 | 7.6 | 6 | 6.1 | 8 | 7.9 | 3 | -4.9 |