Bolton host Stoke at University of Bolton Stadium, Bolton on 10 October 2026 at 15:00 in the Championship. Bolton's last five results: L L L W W (2 wins and 3 losses). Stoke's last five: W W D W W (4 wins and 1 draw).
Bolton vs Stoke kicks off at 15:00 UK time on Saturday 10 October 2026 in the Championship, at University of Bolton Stadium, Bolton.
Bolton vs Stoke is being played at University of Bolton Stadium in Bolton, the home ground of Bolton.
Bolton's last five results read L L L W W (oldest to newest): 2 wins and 3 losses.
Stoke's last five results read W W D W W (oldest to newest): 4 wins and 1 draw.
S. Dalby leads Bolton with 4 goals across their last 10 games.
Róbert BoženÃk leads Stoke with 16 fouls committed across their last 10 games.
Thomas Kirk is the referee for Bolton vs Stoke.
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Bolton and Stoke are on the Lineups tab of this page, and update to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
Statz's projection model makes Bolton the favourite with a 38% chance of winning, against 36% for Stoke and 27% for the draw. Projected goals are Bolton 1.5 - 1.4 Stoke.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1, a draw, at 13%. Both teams to score is 59% likely and over 2.5 goals 54%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz AI projects goals, shots, fouls, cards and more for every player and both teams in the Projections tab, and the Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365.
Statz's projection model expects Bolton 1.5 - 1.4 Stoke in goals. It gives Bolton a 38% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Stoke 36%. Both teams to score is 59% likely, over 1.5 goals 79% and over 2.5 goals 54%. The most likely scorelines are 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (8%), 1-2 (8%), 1-0 (7%), 0-1 (7%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | Draw | 13% |
| 2-1 | Bolton win | 8% |
| 1-2 | Stoke win | 8% |
| 1-0 | Bolton win | 7% |
| 0-1 | Stoke win | 7% |
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Bolton vs Stoke, updated to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
| # | Bolton | Fouls committed | Stoke | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | J. Sheehan | 14 | R. BoženÃk | 16 |
| 2 | S. Dalby | 13 | S. Gallagher | 15 |
| 3 | G. Larrazabal | 9 | E. Galbraith | 14 |
| 4 | R. Rodrigues | 8 | D. Soumaré | 11 |
| 5 | J. McAtee | 8 | G. Hirst | 9 |
| # | Bolton | Shots | Stoke | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | J. Sheehan | 18 | E. Bocat | 15 |
| 2 | R. Rodrigues | 14 | R. BoženÃk | 10 |
| 3 | S. Dalby | 12 | L. Cissé | 10 |
| 4 | T. Gale | 11 | S. Gallagher | 9 |
| 5 | J. McAtee | 9 | E. Galbraith | 8 |
| # | Bolton | Shots on target | Stoke | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | R. Rodrigues | 6 | E. Galbraith | 5 |
| 2 | J. Sheehan | 6 | S. Gallagher | 4 |
| 3 | S. Dalby | 6 | J. Devenny | 4 |
| 4 | T. Gale | 6 | L. Cissé | 3 |
| 5 | J. McAtee | 4 | E. Bocat | 3 |
| # | Bolton | Goals | Stoke | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | S. Dalby | 4 | E. Galbraith | 3 |
| 2 | R. Rodrigues | 3 | J. McGlynn | 2 |
| 3 | T. Gale | 3 | S. Gallagher | 2 |
| 4 | X. Simons | 2 | E. Bocat | 2 |
| 5 | A. Ito | 1 | J. Devenny | 2 |
| # | Bolton | Yellow cards | Stoke | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | T. Gale | 2 | E. Galbraith | 4 |
| 2 | B. Davies | 1 | M. Taloverov | 2 |
| 3 | K. Dong | 1 | L. Graham | 2 |
| 4 | S. Iling-Junior | 1 | B. Lawal | 2 |
| 5 | J. Nelson | 1 | S. Gallagher | 2 |
Statz's bet builder picks for Bolton vs Stoke: Eric-Junior Bocat 1+ shots (100% hit rate at 1.33); Rúben Rodrigues 1+ shots on target (80% hit rate at 1.73); Thierry Gale 1+ shots on target (80% hit rate at 1.73). Combined odds 3.98 at bet365.
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.6 | 12 of 24 |
| Goals against | 1.9 | 22 of 24 |
| Shots | 12.3 | 15 of 24 |
| Shots on target | 4.8 | 8 of 24 |
| Fouls | 9.9 | 19 of 24 |
| Tackles | 16 | 5 of 24 |
| Passes | 404.6 | 13 of 24 |
| Corners | 5.4 | 11 of 24 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.6 | 11 of 24 |
| Goals against | 1.5 | 14 of 24 |
| Shots | 12.1 | 17 of 24 |
| Shots on target | 4 | 15 of 24 |
| Fouls | 15.4 | 1 of 24 |
| Tackles | 15.8 | 6 of 24 |
| Passes | 365.1 | 17 of 24 |
| Corners | 4.5 | 18 of 24 |