Updated 15 November 2026.
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1-0 | Spain win | 11.6% |
| 1-1 | Draw | 11.2% |
| 2-0 | Spain win | 10.1% |
| 2-1 | Spain win | 9.8% |
| 0-0 | Draw | 6.7% |
| 0-1 | England win | 6.5% |
| 3-0 | Spain win | 5.8% |
| 3-1 | Spain win | 5.7% |
| 1-2 | England win | 5.5% |
| 2-2 | Draw | 4.7% |
| Market | Chance |
|---|---|
| Both teams to score | 51% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 29% |
| Spain clean sheet | 38% |
| England clean sheet | 18% |
The most likely score in Spain vs England is 1-0, a 12% chance in the Statz model, ahead of 1-1 at 11%. The UEFA Nations League game kicks off at 19:45 UK time on Sunday 15 November 2026, and the projection refreshes as the team news lands.
The Statz model projects Spain 1.74 - 0.97 England in goals for Spain vs England, with over 2.5 goals 51% likely and both teams to score 51%.
Statz projects 22 players for Spain vs England on Sunday 15 November 2026, across 9 markets from goals and shots to fouls, cards, tackles and passes. The projections cover the XI the Lineups tab shows, and refresh as the team news lands before the 19:45 UK time kick-off.
Spain host England at Riyadh Air Metropolitano, Madrid on 15 November 2026 at 19:45 in the UEFA Nations League. Spain's last five results: W W W W W (5 wins). England's last five: L W W W W (4 wins and 1 loss). In their last 2 meetings, Spain have won 2, England 0, with 0 draws.
Spain vs England kicks off at 19:45 UK time on Sunday 15 November 2026 in the UEFA Nations League, at Riyadh Air Metropolitano, Madrid. Riyadh Air Metropolitano holds 70,460 people. The confirmed lineups replace the predicted XIs on this page about an hour before kick-off, and the live score and match stats follow from 19:45.
Spain vs England is being played at Riyadh Air Metropolitano in Madrid on Sunday 15 November 2026, the home ground of Spain, which holds 70,460 people. Kick-off is at 19:45 UK time, and the match is part of the UEFA Nations League.
Spain have won 5, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 14 and conceding 5, with results reading W W W W W from oldest to newest. Their last game was a 2-0 win away to Czech Republic in the UEFA Nations League on 12 November.
England have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 16 and conceding 4, with results reading L W W W W from oldest to newest. Their last game was a 2-1 win at home to Croatia in the UEFA Nations League on 12 November.
Across the last 2 meetings Spain have won 2, England have won 0 and 0 were drawn, with Spain scoring 5 goals to England's 3. The most recent was England 2-3 Spain on 26 September 2026 in the UEFA Nations League.
Mikel Merino leads Spain with 5 goals across their last 10 games, 0.5 a game, the most of any Spain player in that run. The Stats tab of this page ranks every Spain player on shots, fouls, cards and tackles over the same games.
Harry Kane leads England with 10 goals across their last 10 games, 1.0 a game, the most of any England player in that run. The Stats tab of this page ranks every England player on shots, fouls, cards and tackles over the same games.
Clément Turpin is the referee for Spain vs England, averaging 25.2 fouls and 2.8 yellow cards per game across 5 games this season. That is 0.00 red cards a game, and the referee card on this page sets the record beside both teams' fouls and cards.
Statz predicts Spain vs England with 11 starters a side: Spain line up 4-2-3-1 and England 4-3-3, ahead of the 19:45 UK time kick-off on Sunday 15 November 2026. The predicted XIs are on the Lineups tab of this page, and update to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
Statz's projection model makes Spain the favourite with a 55% chance of winning, against 21% for England and 24% for the draw. Projected goals are Spain 1.7 - 1.0 England.
The most likely score in Spain vs England is 1-0, a Spain win, at 12%, from Statz's projection model. Both teams to score is 51% likely and over 2.5 goals 51%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz projects 9 player markets for Spain vs England, from goals and shots to fouls, cards, tackles and passes, for every starter on the Projections tab of this page. The Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365, and the match projection gives each side's chance of winning.
| Date | Competition | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep 2026 | UEFA Nations League | England vs Spain | 2-3 |
| 14 Jul 2024 | European Championship | Spain vs England | 2-1 |
Statz's projection model expects Spain 1.7 - 1.0 England in goals. It gives Spain a 55% chance of winning, the draw 24% and England 21%. Both teams to score is 51% likely, over 1.5 goals 75% and over 2.5 goals 51%. The most likely scorelines are 1-0 (12%), 1-1 (11%), 2-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 0-0 (7%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1-0 | Spain win | 12% |
| 1-1 | Draw | 11% |
| 2-0 | Spain win | 10% |
| 2-1 | Spain win | 10% |
| 0-0 | Draw | 7% |
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Spain vs England, updated to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
| # | Spain | Fouls committed | England | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Á. Baena | 14 | J. Bellingham | 9 |
| 2 | L. Yamal | 13 | E. Anderson | 8 |
| 3 | Rodri | 13 | H. Kane | 7 |
| 4 | P. Porro | 11 | J. Quansah | 7 |
| 5 | M. Cucurella | 8 | M. Guéhi | 7 |
| # | Spain | Shots | England | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | L. Yamal | 33 | J. Bellingham | 25 |
| 2 | Á. Baena | 20 | H. Kane | 24 |
| 3 | D. Olmo | 18 | B. Saka | 18 |
| 4 | M. Oyarzabal | 15 | A. Gordon | 15 |
| 5 | F. Torres | 12 | M. Rogers | 11 |
| # | Spain | Shots on target | England | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | L. Yamal | 14 | J. Bellingham | 16 |
| 2 | Á. Baena | 12 | H. Kane | 15 |
| 3 | M. Oyarzabal | 10 | A. Gordon | 9 |
| 4 | M. Merino | 5 | B. Saka | 9 |
| 5 | D. Olmo | 3 | M. Rashford | 3 |
| # | Spain | Goals | England | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | M. Merino | 5 | H. Kane | 10 |
| 2 | M. Oyarzabal | 4 | J. Bellingham | 6 |
| 3 | L. Yamal | 4 | B. Saka | 5 |
| 4 | P. Porro | 2 | A. Gordon | 4 |
| 5 | M. Pubill | 2 | M. Rogers | 2 |
| # | Spain | Yellow cards | England | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | F. Torres | 1 | J. Bellingham | 2 |
| 2 | A. Laporte | 1 | N. O'Reilly | 2 |
| 3 | P. Cubarsí | 1 | M. Guéhi | 2 |
| 4 | M. Cucurella | 1 | M. Lewis-Skelly | 2 |
| 5 | M. Merino | 1 | D. Rice | 1 |
Statz's bet builder picks for Spain vs England: Fabián Ruiz 1+ shots (100% hit rate at 1.22); Morgan Rogers 1+ shots (100% hit rate at 1.17); Jude Bellingham 2+ tackles (100% hit rate at 1.57); Jarell Quansah 2+ tackles (100% hit rate at 1.62). Combined odds 3.63 at bet365.
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 2.8 | 4 of 54 |
| Goals against | 1 | 22 of 54 |
| Shots | 16.2 | 10 of 54 |
| Shots on target | 6 | 8 of 54 |
| Fouls | 10.4 | 43 of 54 |
| Tackles | 15.2 | 22 of 54 |
| Passes | 676.2 | 1 of 54 |
| Corners | 6 | 9 of 54 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 3.2 | 1 of 54 |
| Goals against | 0.8 | 14 of 54 |
| Shots | 17.2 | 9 of 54 |
| Shots on target | 5.8 | 10 of 54 |
| Fouls | 9.6 | 46 of 54 |
| Tackles | 12 | 46 of 54 |
| Passes | 604.2 | 6 of 54 |
| Corners | 6 | 7 of 54 |