Updated 15 November 2026.
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 2-0 | Real Madrid win | 13.4% |
| 3-0 | Real Madrid win | 10.9% |
| 1-0 | Real Madrid win | 10.4% |
| 2-1 | Real Madrid win | 8.9% |
| 1-1 | Draw | 7.8% |
| 3-1 | Real Madrid win | 7.2% |
| 4-0 | Real Madrid win | 6.6% |
| 0-0 | Draw | 5.0% |
| 4-1 | Real Madrid win | 4.4% |
| 5-0 | Real Madrid win | 3.2% |
| Market | Chance |
|---|---|
| Both teams to score | 45% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 82% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 38% |
| Real Madrid clean sheet | 51% |
| Celta clean sheet | 9% |
The most likely score in Real Madrid vs Celta is 2-0, a 13% chance in the Statz model, ahead of 3-0 at 11%. The La Liga game kicks off at 20:00 UK time on Saturday 21 November 2026, and the projection refreshes as the team news lands.
The Statz model projects Real Madrid 2.44 - 0.66 Celta in goals for Real Madrid vs Celta, with over 2.5 goals 60% likely and both teams to score 45%.
Statz projects 22 players for Real Madrid vs Celta on Saturday 21 November 2026, across 9 markets from goals and shots to fouls, cards, tackles and passes. The projections cover the XI the Lineups tab shows, and refresh as the team news lands before the 20:00 UK time kick-off.
Real Madrid host Celta at Estadio Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid on 21 November 2026 at 20:00 in La Liga. Real Madrid's last five results: W W W W W (5 wins). Celta's last five: D L L D W (1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses). In their last 6 meetings, Real Madrid have won 5, Celta 1, with 0 draws.
Real Madrid vs Celta kicks off at 20:00 UK time on Saturday 21 November 2026 in La Liga, at Estadio Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid. Estadio Santiago Bernabéu holds 83,186 people. The confirmed lineups replace the predicted XIs on this page about an hour before kick-off, and the live score and match stats follow from 20:00.
Real Madrid vs Celta is being played at Estadio Santiago Bernabéu in Madrid on Saturday 21 November 2026, the home ground of Real Madrid, which holds 83,186 people. Kick-off is at 20:00 UK time, and the match is part of La Liga.
Real Madrid have won 5, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 13 and conceding 2, with results reading W W W W W from oldest to newest. Their last game was a 3-0 win away to Valencia in the La Liga on 7 November.
Celta have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 2 and conceding 4, with results reading D W D L D from oldest to newest. Their last game was a 0-0 draw at home to Levante in the La Liga on 8 November.
Across the last 6 meetings Real Madrid have won 5, Celta have won 1 and 0 were drawn, with Real Madrid scoring 16 goals to Celta's 8. The most recent was Celta de Vigo 1-2 Real Madrid on 6 March 2026 in the La Liga.
Kylian Mbappé leads Real Madrid with 10 goals across their last 10 games, 1.0 a game, the most of any Real Madrid player in that run. The Stats tab of this page ranks every Real Madrid player on shots, fouls, cards and tackles over the same games.
Yoel Lago leads Celta with 4 yellow cards across their last 10 games, 0.4 a game, the most of any Celta player in that run. The Stats tab of this page ranks every Celta player on shots, fouls, cards and tackles over the same games.
Statz predicts Real Madrid vs Celta with 11 starters a side: Real Madrid line up 4-2-3-1 and Celta 3-4-3, ahead of the 20:00 UK time kick-off on Saturday 21 November 2026. The predicted XIs are on the Lineups tab of this page, and update to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
Statz's projection model makes Real Madrid the favourite with a 76% chance of winning, against 8% for Celta and 16% for the draw. Projected goals are Real Madrid 2.4 - 0.7 Celta.
The most likely score in Real Madrid vs Celta is 2-0, a Real Madrid win, at 13%, from Statz's projection model. Both teams to score is 45% likely and over 2.5 goals 60%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz projects 9 player markets for Real Madrid vs Celta, from goals and shots to fouls, cards, tackles and passes, for every starter on the Projections tab of this page. The Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365, and the match projection gives each side's chance of winning.
| Date | Competition | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Mar 2026 | La Liga | Celta de Vigo vs Real Madrid | 1-2 |
| 7 Dec 2025 | La Liga | Real Madrid vs Celta de Vigo | 0-2 |
| 4 May 2025 | La Liga | Real Madrid vs Celta de Vigo | 3-2 |
| 16 Jan 2025 | Copa Del Rey | Real Madrid vs Celta de Vigo | 5-2 |
| 19 Oct 2024 | La Liga | Celta de Vigo vs Real Madrid | 1-2 |
| 10 Mar 2024 | La Liga | Real Madrid vs Celta de Vigo | 4-0 |
Statz's projection model expects Real Madrid 2.4 - 0.7 Celta in goals. It gives Real Madrid a 76% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Celta 8%. Both teams to score is 45% likely, over 1.5 goals 82% and over 2.5 goals 60%. The most likely scorelines are 2-0 (13%), 3-0 (11%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 1-1 (8%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 2-0 | Real Madrid win | 13% |
| 3-0 | Real Madrid win | 11% |
| 1-0 | Real Madrid win | 10% |
| 2-1 | Real Madrid win | 9% |
| 1-1 | Draw | 8% |
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Real Madrid vs Celta, updated to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
| # | Real Madrid | Fouls committed | Celta | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | I. Konaté | 12 | Y. Lago | 13 |
| 2 | M. Cucurella | 12 | I. Moriba | 12 |
| 3 | Y. Diomande | 11 | F. Jutglà | 11 |
| 4 | D. Huijsen | 8 | J. Rueda | 10 |
| 5 | K. Mbappé | 7 | W. Swedberg | 8 |
| # | Real Madrid | Shots | Celta | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | K. Mbappé | 46 | P. Durán | 15 |
| 2 | A. Güler | 23 | I. Aspas | 13 |
| 3 | J. Bellingham | 22 | F. Jutglà | 13 |
| 4 | V. Junior | 18 | H. González | 12 |
| 5 | Y. Diomande | 14 | J. Rueda | 7 |
| # | Real Madrid | Shots on target | Celta | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | K. Mbappé | 24 | P. Durán | 9 |
| 2 | A. Güler | 11 | H. González | 7 |
| 3 | J. Bellingham | 10 | F. Jutglà | 4 |
| 4 | V. Junior | 5 | W. Swedberg | 3 |
| 5 | Y. Diomande | 4 | I. Aspas | 2 |
| # | Real Madrid | Goals | Celta | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | K. Mbappé | 10 | F. Jutglà | 2 |
| 2 | A. Güler | 3 | P. Durán | 2 |
| 3 | J. Bellingham | 3 | J. Rodríguez | 1 |
| 4 | Y. Diomande | 3 | I. Moriba | 1 |
| 5 | F. Valverde | 1 | M. Román | 1 |
| # | Real Madrid | Yellow cards | Celta | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | K. Mbappé | 3 | Y. Lago | 4 |
| 2 | I. Konaté | 3 | J. Rueda | 2 |
| 3 | Y. Diomande | 2 | M. Alonso | 2 |
| 4 | A. Tchouaméni | 2 | J. Galán | 1 |
| 5 | M. Cucurella | 2 | W. Swedberg | 1 |
Statz's bet builder picks for Real Madrid vs Celta: Arda Güler 1+ shots on target (100% hit rate at 1.40); Kylian Mbappé 1+ goals (100% hit rate at 1.40); Jude Bellingham 1+ shots on target (80% hit rate at 1.57); Iago Aspas 1+ shots (80% hit rate at 1.22). Combined odds 3.75 at bet365.
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 2.6 | 2 of 20 |
| Goals against | 0.8 | 3 of 20 |
| Shots | 17.4 | 2 of 20 |
| Shots on target | 7.3 | 2 of 20 |
| Fouls | 8.5 | 20 of 20 |
| Tackles | 16.2 | 15 of 20 |
| Passes | 524.6 | 4 of 20 |
| Corners | 6.3 | 4 of 20 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.4 | 11 of 20 |
| Goals against | 0.8 | 1 of 20 |
| Shots | 10.9 | 18 of 20 |
| Shots on target | 3.4 | 17 of 20 |
| Fouls | 12 | 11 of 20 |
| Tackles | 13.3 | 20 of 20 |
| Passes | 512.8 | 6 of 20 |
| Corners | 3.1 | 19 of 20 |