Updated 15 November 2026.
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 2-1 | Norwich win | 9.1% |
| 1-1 | Draw | 8.8% |
| 3-1 | Norwich win | 6.8% |
| 2-2 | Draw | 6.6% |
| 2-0 | Norwich win | 6.3% |
| 1-2 | Cardiff win | 5.9% |
| 1-0 | Norwich win | 5.1% |
| 3-2 | Norwich win | 4.9% |
| 3-0 | Norwich win | 4.7% |
| 4-1 | Norwich win | 3.8% |
| Market | Chance |
|---|---|
| Both teams to score | 69% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 89% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 71% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 50% |
| Norwich clean sheet | 24% |
| Cardiff clean sheet | 11% |
The most likely score in Norwich vs Cardiff is 2-1, a 9% chance in the Statz model, ahead of 1-1 at 9%. The Championship game kicks off at 12:30 UK time on Saturday 21 November 2026, and the projection refreshes as the team news lands.
The Statz model projects Norwich 2.23 - 1.44 Cardiff in goals for Norwich vs Cardiff, with over 2.5 goals 71% likely and both teams to score 69%.
Statz projects 22 players for Norwich vs Cardiff on Saturday 21 November 2026, across 9 markets from goals and shots to fouls, cards, tackles and passes. The projections cover the XI the Lineups tab shows, and refresh as the team news lands before the 12:30 UK time kick-off.
Norwich host Cardiff at Carrow Road, Norwich on 21 November 2026 at 12:30 in the Championship. Norwich's last five results: L W W W W (4 wins and 1 loss). Cardiff's last five: D W L D W (2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss). In their last 6 meetings, Norwich have won 5, Cardiff 1, with 0 draws.
Norwich vs Cardiff kicks off at 12:30 UK time on Saturday 21 November 2026 in the Championship, at Carrow Road, Norwich. Carrow Road holds 27,244 people. The confirmed lineups replace the predicted XIs on this page about an hour before kick-off, and the live score and match stats follow from 12:30.
Norwich vs Cardiff is being played at Carrow Road in Norwich on Saturday 21 November 2026, the home ground of Norwich, which holds 27,244 people. Kick-off is at 12:30 UK time, and the match is part of the Championship.
Norwich have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 15 and conceding 4, with results reading L W W W W from oldest to newest. Their last game was a 5-0 win away to Bristol City in the Championship on 7 November.
Cardiff have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 and conceding 12, with results reading D W L D W from oldest to newest. Their last game was a 5-4 win at home to Burnley in the Championship on 7 November.
Across the last 6 meetings Norwich have won 5, Cardiff have won 1 and 0 were drawn, with Norwich scoring 16 goals to Cardiff's 8. The most recent was Cardiff City 1-2 Norwich City on 25 August 2026 in the Carabao Cup.
Paris Maghoma leads Norwich with 4 goals across their last 10 games, 0.4 a game, the most of any Norwich player in that run. The Stats tab of this page ranks every Norwich player on shots, fouls, cards and tackles over the same games.
Jack Moylan leads Cardiff with 9 goals across their last 10 games, 0.9 a game, the most of any Cardiff player in that run. The Stats tab of this page ranks every Cardiff player on shots, fouls, cards and tackles over the same games.
Statz predicts Norwich vs Cardiff with 11 starters a side: Norwich line up 4-2-3-1 and Cardiff 4-2-3-1, ahead of the 12:30 UK time kick-off on Saturday 21 November 2026. The predicted XIs are on the Lineups tab of this page, and update to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
Statz's projection model makes Norwich the favourite with a 55% chance of winning, against 24% for Cardiff and 21% for the draw. Projected goals are Norwich 2.2 - 1.4 Cardiff.
The most likely score in Norwich vs Cardiff is 2-1, a Norwich win, at 9%, from Statz's projection model. Both teams to score is 69% likely and over 2.5 goals 71%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz projects 9 player markets for Norwich vs Cardiff, from goals and shots to fouls, cards, tackles and passes, for every starter on the Projections tab of this page. The Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365, and the match projection gives each side's chance of winning.
| Date | Competition | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug 2026 | Carabao Cup | Cardiff City vs Norwich City | 1-2 |
| 3 May 2025 | Championship | Norwich City vs Cardiff City | 4-2 |
| 2 Nov 2024 | Championship | Cardiff City vs Norwich City | 2-1 |
| 17 Feb 2024 | Championship | Norwich City vs Cardiff City | 4-1 |
| 11 Nov 2023 | Championship | Cardiff City vs Norwich City | 2-3 |
| 25 Feb 2023 | Championship | Norwich City vs Cardiff City | 2-0 |
Statz's projection model expects Norwich 2.2 - 1.4 Cardiff in goals. It gives Norwich a 55% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Cardiff 24%. Both teams to score is 69% likely, over 1.5 goals 89% and over 2.5 goals 71%. The most likely scorelines are 2-1 (9%), 1-1 (9%), 3-1 (7%), 2-2 (7%), 2-0 (6%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 2-1 | Norwich win | 9% |
| 1-1 | Draw | 9% |
| 3-1 | Norwich win | 7% |
| 2-2 | Draw | 7% |
| 2-0 | Norwich win | 6% |
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Norwich vs Cardiff, updated to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
| # | Norwich | Fouls committed | Cardiff | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | P. Mattsson | 15 | J. Colwill | 14 |
| 2 | M. Kvistgaarden | 12 | J. Bagan | 12 |
| 3 | J. Makama | 10 | P. Ng | 10 |
| 4 | A. Brooks | 8 | J. Moylan | 10 |
| 5 | J. Córdoba | 8 | O. Tanner | 10 |
| # | Norwich | Shots | Cardiff | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | J. Wright | 15 | J. Moylan | 40 |
| 2 | J. Makama | 15 | O. Tanner | 29 |
| 3 | A. Musaba | 15 | Y. Salech | 25 |
| 4 | A. Brooks | 14 | J. Colwill | 15 |
| 5 | P. Maghoma | 11 | A. Robertson | 11 |
| # | Norwich | Shots on target | Cardiff | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A. Musaba | 8 | J. Moylan | 17 |
| 2 | J. Wright | 7 | Y. Salech | 14 |
| 3 | J. Makama | 4 | O. Tanner | 7 |
| 4 | P. Maghoma | 4 | A. Robertson | 5 |
| 5 | M. Kvistgaarden | 4 | C. Ashford | 5 |
| # | Norwich | Goals | Cardiff | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | P. Maghoma | 4 | J. Moylan | 9 |
| 2 | J. Makama | 3 | Y. Salech | 4 |
| 3 | M. Kvistgaarden | 2 | O. Tanner | 3 |
| 4 | A. Musaba | 2 | C. Robinson | 2 |
| 5 | J. Wright | 2 | A. Robertson | 1 |
| # | Norwich | Yellow cards | Cardiff | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | J. Córdoba | 2 | J. Bagan | 5 |
| 2 | A. Crnac | 2 | P. Ng | 3 |
| 3 | M. Kvistgaarden | 2 | R. Colwill | 2 |
| 4 | O. Schwartau | 2 | J. Colwill | 2 |
| 5 | J. Stacey | 2 | K. Bielik | 1 |
Statz's bet builder picks for Norwich vs Cardiff: Perry Ng 1+ shots (100% hit rate at 1.62); Paris Maghoma 1+ shots on target (80% hit rate at 1.44); Mathias Kvistgaarden 1+ shots on target (80% hit rate at 1.22); Sam Field 1+ shots (80% hit rate at 1.33). Combined odds 3.79 at bet365.
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 2.1 | 3 of 24 |
| Goals against | 1.6 | 17 of 24 |
| Shots | 14.7 | 7 of 24 |
| Shots on target | 5.3 | 4 of 24 |
| Fouls | 10.7 | 14 of 24 |
| Tackles | 16.9 | 3 of 24 |
| Passes | 434 | 9 of 24 |
| Corners | 4.7 | 16 of 24 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.8 | 7 of 24 |
| Goals against | 1.8 | 19 of 24 |
| Shots | 16.5 | 4 of 24 |
| Shots on target | 6.3 | 2 of 24 |
| Fouls | 9.8 | 20 of 24 |
| Tackles | 13.2 | 22 of 24 |
| Passes | 494 | 5 of 24 |
| Corners | 6.4 | 3 of 24 |