Updated 15 November 2026.
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | Draw | 12.4% |
| 2-1 | Forest win | 8.5% |
| 1-2 | Chelsea win | 8.2% |
| 1-0 | Forest win | 7.9% |
| 0-1 | Chelsea win | 7.5% |
| 0-0 | Draw | 6.4% |
| 2-0 | Forest win | 6.1% |
| 2-2 | Draw | 5.9% |
| 0-2 | Chelsea win | 5.6% |
| 3-1 | Forest win | 4.1% |
| Market | Chance |
|---|---|
| Both teams to score | 58% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 32% |
| Forest clean sheet | 25% |
| Chelsea clean sheet | 23% |
The most likely score in Forest vs Chelsea is 1-1, a 12% chance in the Statz model, ahead of 2-1 at 9%. The Premier League game kicks off at 20:00 UK time on Friday 27 November 2026, and the projection refreshes as the team news lands.
The Statz model projects Forest 1.45 - 1.39 Chelsea in goals for Forest vs Chelsea, with over 2.5 goals 54% likely and both teams to score 58%.
Statz projects 22 players for Forest vs Chelsea on Friday 27 November 2026, across 9 markets from goals and shots to fouls, cards, tackles and passes. The projections cover the XI the Lineups tab shows, and refresh as the team news lands before the 20:00 UK time kick-off.
Forest host Chelsea at The City Ground, Nottingham on 27 November 2026 at 20:00 in the Premier League. Forest's last five results: L L D L W (1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses). Chelsea's last five: W L D W L (2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses). In their last 6 meetings, Forest have won 2, Chelsea 3, with 1 draw.
Forest vs Chelsea kicks off at 20:00 UK time on Friday 27 November 2026 in the Premier League, at The City Ground, Nottingham. The City Ground holds 30,445 people. The confirmed lineups replace the predicted XIs on this page about an hour before kick-off, and the live score and match stats follow from 20:00.
Forest vs Chelsea is being played at The City Ground in Nottingham on Friday 27 November 2026, the home ground of Forest, which holds 30,445 people. Kick-off is at 20:00 UK time, and the match is part of the Premier League.
Forest have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 8, with results reading L L D L W from oldest to newest. Their last game was a 3-1 win at home to Man City in the Premier League on 7 November.
Chelsea have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 4, with results reading W W L W L from oldest to newest. Their last game was a 0-1 defeat away to Sunderland in the Premier League on 8 November.
Across the last 6 meetings Forest have won 2, Chelsea have won 3 and 1 was drawn, with Forest scoring 7 goals to Chelsea's 9. The most recent was Chelsea 1-3 Nottingham Forest on 4 May 2026 in the Premier League.
Liam Delap leads Forest with 16 fouls committed across their last 10 games, 1.6 a game, the most of any Forest player in that run. The Stats tab of this page ranks every Forest player on shots, fouls, cards and tackles over the same games.
Morgan Rogers leads Chelsea with 5 goals across their last 10 games, 0.5 a game, the most of any Chelsea player in that run. The Stats tab of this page ranks every Chelsea player on shots, fouls, cards and tackles over the same games.
Until the team news for Forest vs Chelsea is in, the Lineups tab shows the XI each side last started with: Forest's XI from their 3-1 win v Man City at home on Sat 7 Nov 2026, and Chelsea's XI from their 0-1 defeat at Sunderland on Sun 8 Nov 2026. Predicted lineups replace them once the team news is in, and the confirmed XIs about an hour before kick-off.
Statz's projection model makes Forest the favourite with a 38% chance of winning, against 36% for Chelsea and 26% for the draw. Projected goals are Forest 1.5 - 1.4 Chelsea.
The most likely score in Forest vs Chelsea is 1-1, a draw, at 12%, from Statz's projection model. Both teams to score is 58% likely and over 2.5 goals 54%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz projects 9 player markets for Forest vs Chelsea, from goals and shots to fouls, cards, tackles and passes, for every starter on the Projections tab of this page. The Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365, and the match projection gives each side's chance of winning.
| Date | Competition | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 May 2026 | Premier League | Chelsea vs Nottingham Forest | 1-3 |
| 18 Oct 2025 | Premier League | Nottingham Forest vs Chelsea | 0-3 |
| 25 May 2025 | Premier League | Nottingham Forest vs Chelsea | 0-1 |
| 6 Oct 2024 | Premier League | Chelsea vs Nottingham Forest | 1-1 |
| 11 May 2024 | Premier League | Nottingham Forest vs Chelsea | 2-3 |
| 2 Sep 2023 | Premier League | Chelsea vs Nottingham Forest | 0-1 |
Statz's projection model expects Forest 1.5 - 1.4 Chelsea in goals. It gives Forest a 38% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Chelsea 36%. Both teams to score is 58% likely, over 1.5 goals 78% and over 2.5 goals 54%. The most likely scorelines are 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%), 1-0 (8%), 0-1 (8%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | Draw | 12% |
| 2-1 | Forest win | 9% |
| 1-2 | Chelsea win | 8% |
| 1-0 | Forest win | 8% |
| 0-1 | Chelsea win | 8% |
Predicted lineups for Forest vs Chelsea are not in yet, so these are the XIs each side last started with: Forest's XI from their 3-1 win v Man City at home on Sat 7 Nov 2026, and Chelsea's XI from their 0-1 defeat at Sunderland on Sun 8 Nov 2026.
| # | Forest | Fouls committed | Chelsea | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | L. Delap | 16 | P. Neto | 11 |
| 2 | Murillo | 15 | M. Rogers | 11 |
| 3 | D. Muñoz | 12 | C. Palmer | 11 |
| 4 | J. McAtee | 11 | L. Colwill | 9 |
| 5 | N. Williams | 10 | M. Caicedo | 7 |
| # | Forest | Shots | Chelsea | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | L. Delap | 27 | C. Palmer | 30 |
| 2 | D. Ndoye | 20 | M. Rogers | 23 |
| 3 | Murillo | 17 | P. Neto | 18 |
| 4 | J. McAtee | 17 | J. Pedro | 16 |
| 5 | M. Gibbs-White | 16 | Estêvão | 9 |
| # | Forest | Shots on target | Chelsea | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Murillo | 5 | P. Neto | 13 |
| 2 | L. Delap | 5 | C. Palmer | 10 |
| 3 | J. McAtee | 5 | M. Rogers | 8 |
| 4 | M. Gibbs-White | 4 | J. Pedro | 8 |
| 5 | D. Ndoye | 4 | Estêvão | 5 |
| # | Forest | Goals | Chelsea | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | L. Delap | 3 | M. Rogers | 5 |
| 2 | D. Ndoye | 2 | J. Pedro | 5 |
| 3 | J. Cunha | 1 | C. Palmer | 3 |
| 4 | N. Williams | 1 | P. Neto | 3 |
| 5 | I. Jesus | 1 | J. Henderson | 2 |
| # | Forest | Yellow cards | Chelsea | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | J. McAtee | 4 | P. Neto | 3 |
| 2 | Murillo | 3 | C. Palmer | 3 |
| 3 | O. Aina | 3 | M. Rogers | 3 |
| 4 | I. Jesus | 2 | W. Fofana | 2 |
| 5 | D. Ndoye | 2 | L. Colwill | 2 |
Statz's bet builder picks for Forest vs Chelsea: Ryan Yates 1+ shots (100% hit rate at 1.44); James McAtee 1+ shots (100% hit rate at 1.25); Morgan Rogers 1+ shots on target (80% hit rate at 1.67); Cole Palmer 1+ shots on target (80% hit rate at 1.44). Combined odds 4.33 at bet365.
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1 | 18 of 20 |
| Goals against | 1.3 | 10 of 20 |
| Shots | 16.3 | 3 of 20 |
| Shots on target | 3.6 | 15 of 20 |
| Fouls | 13.8 | 3 of 20 |
| Tackles | 18.6 | 2 of 20 |
| Passes | 377.7 | 17 of 20 |
| Corners | 4.5 | 11 of 20 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.9 | 3 of 20 |
| Goals against | 1.6 | 14 of 20 |
| Shots | 13.6 | 11 of 20 |
| Shots on target | 5.7 | 1 of 20 |
| Fouls | 9.5 | 19 of 20 |
| Tackles | 16.5 | 8 of 20 |
| Passes | 453.1 | 7 of 20 |
| Corners | 5.5 | 6 of 20 |