Updated 15 November 2026.
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | Draw | 12.1% |
| 0-1 | Montenegro win | 9.4% |
| 1-2 | Montenegro win | 8.7% |
| 1-0 | Cyprus win | 8.4% |
| 2-1 | Cyprus win | 7.8% |
| 0-2 | Montenegro win | 6.8% |
| 0-0 | Draw | 6.5% |
| 2-2 | Draw | 5.6% |
| 2-0 | Cyprus win | 5.4% |
| 1-3 | Montenegro win | 4.2% |
| Market | Chance |
|---|---|
| Both teams to score | 55% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 29% |
| Cyprus clean sheet | 24% |
| Montenegro clean sheet | 28% |
The most likely score in Cyprus vs Montenegro is 1-1, a 12% chance in the Statz model, ahead of 0-1 at 9%. The UEFA Nations League game kicks off at 14:00 UK time on Sunday 15 November 2026, and the projection refreshes as the team news lands.
The Statz model projects Cyprus 1.29 - 1.44 Montenegro in goals for Cyprus vs Montenegro, with over 2.5 goals 51% likely and both teams to score 55%.
Statz projects 22 players for Cyprus vs Montenegro on Sunday 15 November 2026, across 9 markets from goals and shots to fouls, cards, tackles and passes. The projections cover the XI the Lineups tab shows, and refresh as the team news lands before the 14:00 UK time kick-off.
Cyprus host Montenegro at Alphamega Stadium on 15 November 2026 at 14:00 in the UEFA Nations League. Cyprus's last five results: L D W W D (2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss). Montenegro's last five: W W W D W (4 wins and 1 draw). In their last 1 meetings, Cyprus have won 0, Montenegro 1, with 0 draws.
Cyprus vs Montenegro kicks off at 14:00 UK time on Sunday 15 November 2026 in the UEFA Nations League, at Alphamega Stadium. Alphamega Stadium holds 10,900 people. The confirmed lineups replace the predicted XIs on this page about an hour before kick-off, and the live score and match stats follow from 14:00.
Cyprus vs Montenegro is being played at Alphamega Stadium on Sunday 15 November 2026, the home ground of Cyprus, which holds 10,900 people. Kick-off is at 14:00 UK time, and the match is part of the UEFA Nations League.
Cyprus have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 4, with results reading L D W W D from oldest to newest. Their last game was a 1-1 draw away to Armenia in the UEFA Nations League on 12 November.
Montenegro have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 5, with results reading W W W D W from oldest to newest. Their last game was a 2-1 win at home to Latvia in the UEFA Nations League on 12 November.
Across the last 1 meetings Cyprus have won 0, Montenegro have won 1 and 0 were drawn, with Cyprus scoring 1 goals to Montenegro's 2. The most recent was Montenegro 2-1 Cyprus on 25 September 2026 in the UEFA Nations League.
Marcus Edwards leads Cyprus with 17 shots across their last 10 games, 1.7 a game, the most of any Cyprus player in that run. The Stats tab of this page ranks every Cyprus player on shots, fouls, cards and tackles over the same games.
Milutin Osmajic leads Montenegro with 5 goals across their last 10 games, 0.5 a game, the most of any Montenegro player in that run. The Stats tab of this page ranks every Montenegro player on shots, fouls, cards and tackles over the same games.
Sander van der Eijk is the referee for Cyprus vs Montenegro, averaging 24.0 fouls and 3.0 yellow cards per game across 1 games this season. That is 0.00 red cards a game, and the referee card on this page sets the record beside both teams' fouls and cards.
Statz predicts Cyprus vs Montenegro with 11 starters a side: Cyprus line up 4-4-2 and Montenegro 4-4-2, ahead of the 14:00 UK time kick-off on Sunday 15 November 2026. The predicted XIs are on the Lineups tab of this page, and update to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
Statz's projection model makes Montenegro the favourite with a 41% chance of winning, against 34% for Cyprus and 26% for the draw. Projected goals are Cyprus 1.3 - 1.4 Montenegro.
The most likely score in Cyprus vs Montenegro is 1-1, a draw, at 12%, from Statz's projection model. Both teams to score is 55% likely and over 2.5 goals 51%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz projects 9 player markets for Cyprus vs Montenegro, from goals and shots to fouls, cards, tackles and passes, for every starter on the Projections tab of this page. The Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365, and the match projection gives each side's chance of winning.
| Date | Competition | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep 2026 | UEFA Nations League | Montenegro vs Cyprus | 2-1 |
Statz's projection model expects Cyprus 1.3 - 1.4 Montenegro in goals. It gives Cyprus a 34% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Montenegro 41%. Both teams to score is 55% likely, over 1.5 goals 76% and over 2.5 goals 51%. The most likely scorelines are 1-1 (12%), 0-1 (9%), 1-2 (9%), 1-0 (8%), 2-1 (8%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | Draw | 12% |
| 0-1 | Montenegro win | 9% |
| 1-2 | Montenegro win | 9% |
| 1-0 | Cyprus win | 8% |
| 2-1 | Cyprus win | 8% |
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Cyprus vs Montenegro, updated to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
| # | Cyprus | Fouls committed | Montenegro | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | G. Kastanos | 7 | N. Krstović | 9 |
| 2 | H. Kyprianou | 4 | M. Osmajic | 9 |
| 3 | L. Konomis | 4 | A. Bulatovic | 6 |
| 4 | K. Artymatas | 4 | D. Vuković | 6 |
| 5 | G. Kosti | 3 | M. Jankovic | 5 |
| # | Cyprus | Shots | Montenegro | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | M. Edwards | 17 | N. Krstović | 27 |
| 2 | I. Pittas | 14 | S. Jovetić | 10 |
| 3 | L. Loizou | 7 | M. Osmajic | 10 |
| 4 | G. Malekkidis | 5 | A. Bulatovic | 9 |
| 5 | G. Kosti | 5 | V. Adžić | 8 |
| # | Cyprus | Shots on target | Montenegro | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | I. Pittas | 6 | N. Krstović | 10 |
| 2 | M. Edwards | 6 | V. Adžić | 4 |
| 3 | G. Kosti | 4 | S. Jovetić | 3 |
| 4 | L. Loizou | 2 | M. Osmajic | 3 |
| 5 | I. Pikis | 1 | M. Vukotic | 2 |
| # | Cyprus | Goals | Montenegro | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A. Kakoullis | 2 | M. Osmajic | 5 |
| 2 | C. Charalampous | 2 | N. Krstović | 4 |
| 3 | M. Edwards | 2 | V. Adžić | 2 |
| 4 | E. Andreou | 1 | S. Mugosa | 1 |
| 5 | G. Kastanos | 1 | A. Maraš | 1 |
| # | Cyprus | Yellow cards | Montenegro | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A. Kakoullis | 2 | M. Osmajic | 2 |
| 2 | K. Sotiriou | 2 | I. Vujacic | 2 |
| 3 | N. Tsaroulla | 2 | A. Latkovic | 2 |
| 4 | K. Pileas | 1 | S. Rubezic | 1 |
| 5 | G. Satsias | 1 | S. Loncar | 1 |
Statz's bet builder picks for Cyprus vs Montenegro: Nikola Krstović 1+ shots on target (100% hit rate at 1.25); Milutin Osmajic 1+ fouls (100% hit rate at 1.30); Ioannis Pittas 3+ shots (80% hit rate at 1.44); Hector Kyprianou 1+ fouls (80% hit rate at 1.33). Combined odds 3.11 at bet365.
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.5 | 23 of 54 |
| Goals against | 0.8 | 18 of 54 |
| Shots | 13.2 | 27 of 54 |
| Shots on target | 4.4 | 25 of 54 |
| Fouls | 9 | 50 of 54 |
| Tackles | 14.6 | 23 of 54 |
| Passes | 401.8 | 41 of 54 |
| Corners | 4.8 | 24 of 54 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 2.3 | 7 of 54 |
| Goals against | 1 | 26 of 54 |
| Shots | 14.8 | 20 of 54 |
| Shots on target | 5.2 | 19 of 54 |
| Fouls | 10.8 | 41 of 54 |
| Tackles | 12.6 | 43 of 54 |
| Passes | 484.6 | 24 of 54 |
| Corners | 5.8 | 12 of 54 |