Updated 15 November 2026.
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 0-1 | Albania win | 15.8% |
| 1-1 | Draw | 12.3% |
| 0-2 | Albania win | 11.2% |
| 0-0 | Draw | 11.1% |
| 1-2 | Albania win | 8.7% |
| 1-0 | Belarus win | 8.6% |
| 0-3 | Albania win | 5.3% |
| 2-1 | Belarus win | 4.8% |
| 1-3 | Albania win | 4.1% |
| 2-2 | Draw | 3.4% |
| Market | Chance |
|---|---|
| Both teams to score | 41% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 65% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 38% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 18% |
| Belarus clean sheet | 24% |
| Albania clean sheet | 46% |
The most likely score in Belarus vs Albania is 0-1, a 16% chance in the Statz model, ahead of 1-1 at 12%. The UEFA Nations League game kicks off at 17:00 UK time on Sunday 15 November 2026, and the projection refreshes as the team news lands.
The Statz model projects Belarus 0.78 - 1.42 Albania in goals for Belarus vs Albania, with over 2.5 goals 38% likely and both teams to score 41%.
Statz projects 22 players for Belarus vs Albania on Sunday 15 November 2026, across 9 markets from goals and shots to fouls, cards, tackles and passes. The projections cover the XI the Lineups tab shows, and refresh as the team news lands before the 17:00 UK time kick-off.
Belarus host Albania at Illovszky Rudolf Stadion, Budapest on 15 November 2026 at 17:00 in the UEFA Nations League. Belarus's last five results: L D W W W (3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss). Albania's last five: W W L W W (4 wins and 1 loss). In their last 1 meetings, Belarus have won 0, Albania 1, with 0 draws.
Belarus vs Albania kicks off at 17:00 UK time on Sunday 15 November 2026 in the UEFA Nations League, at Illovszky Rudolf Stadion, Budapest. Illovszky Rudolf Stadion holds 5,054 people. The confirmed lineups replace the predicted XIs on this page about an hour before kick-off, and the live score and match stats follow from 17:00.
Belarus vs Albania is being played at Illovszky Rudolf Stadion in Budapest on Sunday 15 November 2026, the home ground of Belarus, which holds 5,054 people. Kick-off is at 17:00 UK time, and the match is part of the UEFA Nations League.
Belarus have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 2, with results reading L D W W W from oldest to newest. Their last game was a 2-0 win away to San Marino in the UEFA Nations League on 12 November.
Albania have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 3, with results reading W W L W W from oldest to newest. Their last game was a 2-0 win at home to Finland in the UEFA Nations League on 12 November.
Across the last 1 meetings Belarus have won 0, Albania have won 1 and 0 were drawn, with Belarus scoring 0 goals to Albania's 2. The most recent was Albania 2-0 Belarus on 26 September 2026 in the UEFA Nations League.
Maks Ebong leads Belarus with 14 shots across their last 10 games, 1.4 a game, the most of any Belarus player in that run. The Stats tab of this page ranks every Belarus player on shots, fouls, cards and tackles over the same games.
Ylber Ramadani leads Albania with 3 yellow cards across their last 10 games, 0.3 a game, the most of any Albania player in that run. The Stats tab of this page ranks every Albania player on shots, fouls, cards and tackles over the same games.
Igor Pajač is the referee for Belarus vs Albania, averaging 20.0 fouls and 3.0 yellow cards per game across 3 games this season. That is 0.00 red cards a game, and the referee card on this page sets the record beside both teams' fouls and cards.
Statz predicts Belarus vs Albania with 11 starters a side: Belarus line up 4-2-3-1 and Albania 4-3-3, ahead of the 17:00 UK time kick-off on Sunday 15 November 2026. The predicted XIs are on the Lineups tab of this page, and update to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
Statz's projection model makes Albania the favourite with a 52% chance of winning, against 20% for Belarus and 27% for the draw. Projected goals are Belarus 0.8 - 1.4 Albania.
The most likely score in Belarus vs Albania is 0-1, a Albania win, at 16%, from Statz's projection model. Both teams to score is 41% likely and over 2.5 goals 38%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz projects 9 player markets for Belarus vs Albania, from goals and shots to fouls, cards, tackles and passes, for every starter on the Projections tab of this page. The Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365, and the match projection gives each side's chance of winning.
| Date | Competition | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep 2026 | UEFA Nations League | Albania vs Belarus | 2-0 |
Statz's projection model expects Belarus 0.8 - 1.4 Albania in goals. It gives Belarus a 20% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Albania 52%. Both teams to score is 41% likely, over 1.5 goals 65% and over 2.5 goals 38%. The most likely scorelines are 0-1 (16%), 1-1 (12%), 0-2 (11%), 0-0 (11%), 1-2 (9%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 0-1 | Albania win | 16% |
| 1-1 | Draw | 12% |
| 0-2 | Albania win | 11% |
| 0-0 | Draw | 11% |
| 1-2 | Albania win | 9% |
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Belarus vs Albania, updated to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
| # | Belarus | Fouls committed | Albania | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | E. Yablonskiy | 8 | Y. Ramadani | 10 |
| 2 | K. Pechenin | 8 | R. Manaj | 9 |
| 3 | A. Selyava | 7 | A. Hoxha | 7 |
| 4 | M. Ebong | 7 | M. Mitaj | 7 |
| 5 | K. Gomanov | 7 | M. Daku | 7 |
| # | Belarus | Shots | Albania | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | M. Ebong | 14 | R. Manaj | 17 |
| 2 | T. Melnichenko | 10 | K. Asllani | 15 |
| 3 | K. Pechenin | 5 | A. Hoxha | 12 |
| 4 | V. Gromyko | 4 | E. Muci | 12 |
| 5 | A. Kontsevoy | 4 | Q. Laci | 8 |
| # | Belarus | Shots on target | Albania | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | M. Ebong | 5 | R. Manaj | 8 |
| 2 | A. Kontsevoy | 3 | K. Asllani | 6 |
| 3 | T. Melnichenko | 3 | E. Muci | 5 |
| 4 | A. Shumanskiy | 2 | A. Hoxha | 4 |
| 5 | G. Barkovskiy | 2 | A. Mehmeti | 3 |
| # | Belarus | Goals | Albania | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A. Kontsevoy | 3 | R. Manaj | 3 |
| 2 | A. Shumanskiy | 2 | K. Asllani | 3 |
| 3 | I. Tikhomirov | 1 | E. Muci | 2 |
| 4 | K. Gomanov | 1 | A. Hoxha | 1 |
| 5 | M. Ebong | 1 | A. Mehmeti | 1 |
| # | Belarus | Yellow cards | Albania | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | K. Pechenin | 2 | Y. Ramadani | 3 |
| 2 | Z. Volkov | 2 | E. Hysaj | 2 |
| 3 | A. Shumanskiy | 2 | K. Asllani | 2 |
| 4 | G. Barkovskiy | 2 | M. Mitaj | 1 |
| 5 | E. Khvalko | 1 | A. Ismajli | 1 |
Statz's bet builder picks for Belarus vs Albania: Kirill Pechenin 1+ fouls (80% hit rate at 1.25). Combined odds 1.25 at bet365.
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.8 | 18 of 54 |
| Goals against | 0.4 | 7 of 54 |
| Shots | 11.2 | 37 of 54 |
| Shots on target | 3.8 | 34 of 54 |
| Fouls | 18.4 | 2 of 54 |
| Tackles | 16.4 | 12 of 54 |
| Passes | 404.8 | 40 of 54 |
| Corners | 3.4 | 38 of 54 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 2 | 13 of 54 |
| Goals against | 0.6 | 10 of 54 |
| Shots | 18.4 | 4 of 54 |
| Shots on target | 5.8 | 9 of 54 |
| Fouls | 12 | 24 of 54 |
| Tackles | 13.2 | 38 of 54 |
| Passes | 520.6 | 12 of 54 |
| Corners | 6.4 | 5 of 54 |