Sturm Graz host Marseille at Merkur Arena, Graz on 22 October 2026 at 17:45 in the Europa League. Sturm Graz's last five results: D L W L W (2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses). Marseille's last five: L L W L W (2 wins and 3 losses).
Sturm Graz vs Marseille kicks off at 17:45 UK time on Thursday 22 October 2026 in the Europa League, at Merkur Arena, Graz.
Sturm Graz vs Marseille is being played at Merkur Arena in Graz, the home ground of Sturm Graz.
Sturm Graz's last five results read D L W L W (oldest to newest): 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses.
Marseille's last five results read L L W L W (oldest to newest): 2 wins and 3 losses.
Oumar Diakité leads Sturm Graz with 6 goals across their last 10 games.
Amine Gouiri leads Marseille with 6 goals across their last 10 games.
Nenad Minaković is the referee for Sturm Graz vs Marseille, averaging 15.0 fouls and 2.0 yellow cards per game this season.
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Sturm Graz and Marseille are on the Lineups tab of this page, and update to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
Statz's projection model makes Marseille the favourite with a 50% chance of winning, against 26% for Sturm Graz and 24% for the draw. Projected goals are Sturm Graz 1.3 - 1.8 Marseille.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1, a draw, at 11%. Both teams to score is 60% likely and over 2.5 goals 59%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz AI projects goals, shots, fouls, cards and more for every player and both teams in the Projections tab, and the Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365.
Statz's projection model expects Sturm Graz 1.3 - 1.8 Marseille in goals. It gives Sturm Graz a 26% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Marseille 50%. Both teams to score is 60% likely, over 1.5 goals 82% and over 2.5 goals 59%. The most likely scorelines are 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 0-1 (8%), 0-2 (8%), 2-1 (7%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | Draw | 11% |
| 1-2 | Marseille win | 10% |
| 0-1 | Marseille win | 8% |
| 0-2 | Marseille win | 8% |
| 2-1 | Sturm Graz win | 7% |
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Sturm Graz vs Marseille, updated to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
| # | Sturm Graz | Fouls committed | Marseille | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | J. Stankovic | 14 | T. Weah | 13 |
| 2 | L. Weinhandl | 14 | P. Højbjerg | 12 |
| 3 | J. Hödl | 12 | I. Paixão | 10 |
| 4 | J. Quarshie | 9 | H. Abdelli | 10 |
| 5 | A. Malic | 8 | T. Nnadi | 8 |
| # | Sturm Graz | Shots | Marseille | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | S. Seidl | 21 | I. Paixão | 24 |
| 2 | J. Hödl | 19 | A. Gouiri | 21 |
| 3 | J. Stankovic | 12 | K. Abdallah | 15 |
| 4 | O. Diakité | 12 | P. Højbjerg | 13 |
| 5 | L. Weinhandl | 10 | T. Weah | 11 |
| # | Sturm Graz | Shots on target | Marseille | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | O. Diakité | 8 | A. Gouiri | 10 |
| 2 | S. Seidl | 7 | I. Paixão | 8 |
| 3 | B. Beganovic | 5 | P. Højbjerg | 6 |
| 4 | J. Hödl | 5 | A. Harit | 6 |
| 5 | S. Jatta | 4 | K. Abdallah | 5 |
| # | Sturm Graz | Goals | Marseille | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | O. Diakité | 6 | A. Gouiri | 6 |
| 2 | S. Jatta | 2 | P. Højbjerg | 2 |
| 3 | J. Stankovic | 1 | H. Abdelli | 2 |
| 4 | J. Heil | 1 | A. Harit | 2 |
| 5 | L. Weinhandl | 1 | K. Abdallah | 2 |
| # | Sturm Graz | Yellow cards | Marseille | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | J. Heil | 3 | A. Gomes | 2 |
| 2 | J. Stankovic | 3 | T. Weah | 2 |
| 3 | J. Halwachs | 2 | K. Abdallah | 2 |
| 4 | L. Balbo | 2 | A. Harit | 2 |
| 5 | L. Weinhandl | 2 | A. Gouiri | 1 |
Statz's bet builder picks for Sturm Graz vs Marseille: Timothy Weah 1+ shots (100% hit rate at 1.25); Valmir Matoshi 1+ fouls (100% hit rate at 1.25); Jon Gorenc Stankovic 1+ shots (80% hit rate at 1.50); Angel Gomes 1+ fouls (80% hit rate at 1.33). Combined odds 2.64 at bet365.
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.8 | 4 of 12 |
| Goals against | 1.1 | 4 of 12 |
| Shots | 16.6 | 3 of 12 |
| Shots on target | 5.2 | 5 of 12 |
| Fouls | 11.6 | 4 of 12 |
| Tackles | 14 | 11 of 12 |
| Passes | 351.4 | 11 of 12 |
| Corners | 7.6 | 2 of 12 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 2 | 4 of 18 |
| Goals against | 1.4 | 9 of 18 |
| Shots | 13.1 | 10 of 18 |
| Shots on target | 4.9 | 9 of 18 |
| Fouls | 10.7 | 14 of 18 |
| Tackles | 12.6 | 18 of 18 |
| Passes | 587.6 | 2 of 18 |
| Corners | 4.4 | 10 of 18 |