Stuttgart host Atlético at MHPArena, Stuttgart on 20 October 2026 at 20:00 in the Champions League. Stuttgart's last five results: L L W W L (2 wins and 3 losses). Atlético's last five: W W W W W (5 wins).
Stuttgart vs Atlético kicks off at 20:00 UK time on Tuesday 20 October 2026 in the Champions League, at MHPArena, Stuttgart.
Stuttgart vs Atlético is being played at MHPArena in Stuttgart, the home ground of Stuttgart.
Stuttgart's last five results read L L W W L (oldest to newest): 2 wins and 3 losses.
Atlético's last five results read W W W W W (oldest to newest): 5 wins.
Ermedin Demirovic leads Stuttgart with 6 goals across their last 10 games.
Álex Baena leads Atlético with 4 goals across their last 10 games.
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Stuttgart and Atlético are on the Lineups tab of this page, and update to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
Statz's projection model makes Atlético the favourite with a 39% chance of winning, against 36% for Stuttgart and 24% for the draw. Projected goals are Stuttgart 1.6 - 1.7 Atlético.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1, a draw, at 11%. Both teams to score is 65% likely and over 2.5 goals 63%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz AI projects goals, shots, fouls, cards and more for every player and both teams in the Projections tab, and the Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365.
Statz's projection model expects Stuttgart 1.6 - 1.7 Atlético in goals. It gives Stuttgart a 36% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Atlético 39%. Both teams to score is 65% likely, over 1.5 goals 84% and over 2.5 goals 63%. The most likely scorelines are 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%), 0-1 (6%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | Draw | 11% |
| 1-2 | Atlético win | 9% |
| 2-1 | Stuttgart win | 8% |
| 2-2 | Draw | 7% |
| 0-1 | Atlético win | 6% |
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Stuttgart vs Atlético, updated to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
| # | Stuttgart | Fouls committed | Atlético | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | J. Chabot | 14 | K. Lee | 14 |
| 2 | D. Undav | 14 | Á. Baena | 13 |
| 3 | A. Stiller | 12 | M. Pubill | 10 |
| 4 | E. Demirovic | 10 | G. Simeone | 10 |
| 5 | F. Jeltsch | 10 | M. Llorente | 9 |
| # | Stuttgart | Shots | Atlético | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | E. Demirovic | 29 | Á. Baena | 24 |
| 2 | D. Undav | 28 | K. Lee | 19 |
| 3 | D. Pejcinovic | 13 | J. Alvarez | 16 |
| 4 | J. Vagnoman | 12 | A. Grimaldo | 16 |
| 5 | G. Prömel | 12 | J. David | 15 |
| # | Stuttgart | Shots on target | Atlético | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | E. Demirovic | 16 | J. David | 10 |
| 2 | D. Undav | 10 | Á. Baena | 9 |
| 3 | J. Chabot | 5 | A. Grimaldo | 8 |
| 4 | C. Führich | 5 | J. Alvarez | 7 |
| 5 | J. Vagnoman | 5 | M. Llorente | 6 |
| # | Stuttgart | Goals | Atlético | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | E. Demirovic | 6 | Á. Baena | 4 |
| 2 | M. Mittelstädt | 2 | A. Grimaldo | 3 |
| 3 | D. Undav | 2 | J. David | 3 |
| 4 | J. Vagnoman | 2 | G. Simeone | 2 |
| 5 | N. Nartey | 1 | A. Lookman | 2 |
| # | Stuttgart | Yellow cards | Atlético | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | M. Mittelstädt | 2 | M. Pubill | 3 |
| 2 | E. Demirovic | 2 | K. Lee | 2 |
| 3 | T. Tomás | 1 | Á. Baena | 2 |
| 4 | C. Führich | 1 | C. Romero | 2 |
| 5 | A. Stiller | 1 | M. Hjulmand | 2 |
Statz's bet builder picks for Stuttgart vs Atlético: Morten Hjulmand 1+ shots (100% hit rate at 1.40); Bilal El Khannouss 1+ shots (100% hit rate at 1.22); Robin Le Normand 1+ fouls (100% hit rate at 1.40); Deniz Undav 1+ shots on target (80% hit rate at 1.36). Combined odds 3.25 at bet365.
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.3 | 13 of 18 |
| Goals against | 1.7 | 8 of 18 |
| Shots | 17.2 | 6 of 18 |
| Shots on target | 5.8 | 8 of 18 |
| Fouls | 9.7 | 15 of 18 |
| Tackles | 14.2 | 15 of 18 |
| Passes | 506.5 | 5 of 18 |
| Corners | 6.7 | 4 of 18 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 2.1 | 4 of 20 |
| Goals against | 0.9 | 3 of 20 |
| Shots | 17.7 | 2 of 20 |
| Shots on target | 6.4 | 3 of 20 |
| Fouls | 12.3 | 11 of 20 |
| Tackles | 16.6 | 12 of 20 |
| Passes | 590.9 | 2 of 20 |
| Corners | 6.3 | 5 of 20 |