Bremen host Paderborn at Wohninvest Weserstadion, Bremen on 17 October 2026 at 14:30 in the Bundesliga. Bremen's last five results: L W D W D (2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss). Paderborn's last five: D L L W L (1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses).
Bremen vs Paderborn kicks off at 14:30 UK time on Saturday 17 October 2026 in the Bundesliga, at Wohninvest Weserstadion, Bremen.
Bremen vs Paderborn is being played at Wohninvest Weserstadion in Bremen, the home ground of Bremen.
Bremen's last five results read L W D W D (oldest to newest): 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss.
Paderborn's last five results read D L L W L (oldest to newest): 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses.
Niclas Füllkrug leads Bremen with 4 goals across their last 10 games.
Steffen Tigges leads Paderborn with 12 shots across their last 10 games.
Robert Schröder is the referee for Bremen vs Paderborn, averaging 19.5 fouls and 4.5 yellow cards per game this season.
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Bremen and Paderborn are on the Lineups tab of this page, and update to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
Statz's projection model makes Bremen the favourite with a 52% chance of winning, against 22% for Paderborn and 26% for the draw. Projected goals are Bremen 1.7 - 1.0 Paderborn.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1, a draw, at 12%. Both teams to score is 54% likely and over 2.5 goals 52%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz AI projects goals, shots, fouls, cards and more for every player and both teams in the Projections tab, and the Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365.
Statz's projection model expects Bremen 1.7 - 1.0 Paderborn in goals. It gives Bremen a 52% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Paderborn 22%. Both teams to score is 54% likely, over 1.5 goals 77% and over 2.5 goals 52%. The most likely scorelines are 1-1 (12%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%), 0-0 (7%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | Draw | 12% |
| 1-0 | Bremen win | 10% |
| 2-1 | Bremen win | 10% |
| 2-0 | Bremen win | 9% |
| 0-0 | Draw | 7% |
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Bremen vs Paderborn, updated to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
| # | Bremen | Fouls committed | Paderborn | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | N. Füllkrug | 13 | M. Pieringer | 13 |
| 2 | M. Friedl | 12 | L. Curda | 7 |
| 3 | M. Grüll | 9 | T. Scheller | 5 |
| 4 | J. Stage | 8 | S. Castaneda | 4 |
| 5 | O. Deman | 8 | L. Ulrich | 4 |
| # | Bremen | Shots | Paderborn | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | J. Njinmah | 14 | S. Tigges | 12 |
| 2 | M. Grüll | 14 | L. Ulrich | 8 |
| 3 | N. Füllkrug | 13 | L. Curda | 7 |
| 4 | J. Stage | 11 | M. Pieringer | 7 |
| 5 | C. Puertas | 8 | S. Marino | 7 |
| # | Bremen | Shots on target | Paderborn | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | N. Füllkrug | 9 | S. Castaneda | 3 |
| 2 | J. Stage | 5 | R. Philippe | 3 |
| 3 | J. Njinmah | 5 | S. Tigges | 2 |
| 4 | O. Deman | 4 | S. Marino | 2 |
| 5 | M. Grüll | 4 | O. Batista-Meier | 1 |
| # | Bremen | Goals | Paderborn | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | N. Füllkrug | 4 | S. Castaneda | 1 |
| 2 | J. Stage | 3 | S. Tigges | 1 |
| 3 | M. Grüll | 2 | S. Marino | 1 |
| 4 | C. Puertas | 1 | ||
| 5 | L. Reis | 1 |
| # | Bremen | Yellow cards | Paderborn | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | O. Deman | 2 | M. Pieringer | 1 |
| 2 | M. Grüll | 2 | L. Ulrich | 1 |
| 3 | Y. Sugawara | 1 | L. Curda | 1 |
| 4 | M. Friedl | 1 | J. Horst | 1 |
| 5 | J. Njinmah | 1 | T. Scheller | 1 |
Statz's bet builder picks for Bremen vs Paderborn: Niclas Füllkrug 1+ shots on target (100% hit rate at 1.40); Marco Friedl 1+ fouls (100% hit rate at 1.57); Marvin Pieringer 1+ fouls (100% hit rate at 1.10); Raphael Obermair 1+ shots (80% hit rate at 1.73). Combined odds 4.18 at bet365.
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 2 | 8 of 18 |
| Goals against | 2 | 13 of 18 |
| Shots | 13.2 | 15 of 18 |
| Shots on target | 6 | 6 of 18 |
| Fouls | 12 | 5 of 18 |
| Tackles | 22.6 | 2 of 18 |
| Passes | 445.2 | 9 of 18 |
| Corners | 3.4 | 17 of 18 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 0.8 | 18 of 18 |
| Goals against | 1.4 | 6 of 18 |
| Shots | 14.2 | 12 of 18 |
| Shots on target | 2.8 | 18 of 18 |
| Fouls | 9.2 | 16 of 18 |
| Tackles | 18 | 3 of 18 |
| Passes | 454.8 | 8 of 18 |
| Corners | 4.6 | 13 of 18 |