M'Boro host Cardiff at Riverside Stadium, Middlesbrough on 17 October 2026 at 12:30 in the Championship. M'Boro's last five results: W D D W W (3 wins and 2 draws). Cardiff's last five: D L W L W (2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses). In their last 6 meetings, M'Boro have won 4, Cardiff 1, with 1 draw.
M'Boro vs Cardiff kicks off at 12:30 UK time on Saturday 17 October 2026 in the Championship, at Riverside Stadium, Middlesbrough.
M'Boro vs Cardiff is being played at Riverside Stadium in Middlesbrough, the home ground of M'Boro.
M'Boro's last five results read W D D W W (oldest to newest): 3 wins and 2 draws.
Cardiff's last five results read D L W L W (oldest to newest): 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses.
Across the last 6 meetings M'Boro have won 4, Cardiff have won 1 and 1 was drawn. The most recent was Middlesbrough 1-1 Cardiff City on 4 January 2025 in the Championship.
Will Lankshear leads M'Boro with 8 goals across their last 10 games.
Jack Moylan leads Cardiff with 5 goals across their last 10 games.
Tom Nield is the referee for M'Boro vs Cardiff, averaging 21.6 fouls and 2.6 yellow cards per game this season.
Statz's predicted starting XIs for M'Boro and Cardiff are on the Lineups tab of this page, and update to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
Statz's projection model makes M'Boro the favourite with a 66% chance of winning, against 15% for Cardiff and 19% for the draw. Projected goals are M'Boro 2.5 - 1.1 Cardiff.
The most likely scoreline is 2-1, a M'Boro win, at 9%. Both teams to score is 63% likely and over 2.5 goals 70%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz AI projects goals, shots, fouls, cards and more for every player and both teams in the Projections tab, and the Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365.
| Date | Competition | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Jan 2025 | Championship | Middlesbrough vs Cardiff City | 1-1 |
| 31 Aug 2024 | Championship | Cardiff City vs Middlesbrough | 0-2 |
| 27 Apr 2024 | Championship | Cardiff City vs Middlesbrough | 1-4 |
| 3 Oct 2023 | Championship | Middlesbrough vs Cardiff City | 2-0 |
| 11 Feb 2023 | Championship | Cardiff City vs Middlesbrough | 1-3 |
| 13 Sep 2022 | Championship | Middlesbrough vs Cardiff City | 2-3 |
Statz's projection model expects M'Boro 2.5 - 1.1 Cardiff in goals. It gives M'Boro a 66% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Cardiff 15%. Both teams to score is 63% likely, over 1.5 goals 88% and over 2.5 goals 70%. The most likely scorelines are 2-1 (9%), 2-0 (8%), 1-1 (8%), 3-1 (8%), 3-0 (7%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 2-1 | M'Boro win | 9% |
| 2-0 | M'Boro win | 8% |
| 1-1 | Draw | 8% |
| 3-1 | M'Boro win | 8% |
| 3-0 | M'Boro win | 7% |
Statz's predicted starting XIs for M'Boro vs Cardiff, updated to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
| # | M'Boro | Fouls committed | Cardiff | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | W. Lankshear | 16 | J. Colwill | 14 |
| 2 | C. Brittain | 12 | P. Ng | 13 |
| 3 | A. Morris | 10 | Y. Salech | 11 |
| 4 | S. Berhalter | 9 | O. Tanner | 8 |
| 5 | M. Arfsten | 7 | J. Bagan | 7 |
| # | M'Boro | Shots | Cardiff | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | W. Lankshear | 34 | J. Moylan | 42 |
| 2 | S. Berhalter | 17 | O. Tanner | 27 |
| 3 | A. Morris | 17 | Y. Salech | 24 |
| 4 | A. Cozier-Duberry | 16 | A. Robertson | 13 |
| 5 | R. McGree | 13 | P. Ng | 13 |
| # | M'Boro | Shots on target | Cardiff | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | W. Lankshear | 16 | J. Moylan | 13 |
| 2 | A. Cozier-Duberry | 6 | Y. Salech | 13 |
| 3 | K. Joseph | 4 | O. Tanner | 8 |
| 4 | A. Malanda | 4 | C. Ashford | 7 |
| 5 | S. Berhalter | 4 | R. Colwill | 3 |
| # | M'Boro | Goals | Cardiff | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | W. Lankshear | 8 | J. Moylan | 5 |
| 2 | S. Berhalter | 2 | C. Robinson | 2 |
| 3 | A. Cozier-Duberry | 2 | Y. Salech | 2 |
| 4 | C. Brittain | 1 | C. Ashford | 2 |
| 5 | N. Borges | 1 | O. Tanner | 1 |
| # | M'Boro | Yellow cards | Cardiff | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | S. Berhalter | 2 | P. Ng | 4 |
| 2 | R. McGree | 2 | A. Robertson | 4 |
| 3 | W. Lankshear | 2 | O. Tanner | 3 |
| 4 | M. Peart-Harris | 1 | J. Colwill | 2 |
| 5 | N. Borges | 1 | J. Bagan | 1 |
Statz's bet builder picks for M'Boro vs Cardiff: Alex Robertson 1+ shots (100% hit rate at 1.53); Ollie Tanner 2+ shots (100% hit rate at 1.73); Joel Colwill 1+ fouls (100% hit rate at 1.20); Will Lankshear 1+ shots on target (80% hit rate at 1.17). Combined odds 2.54 at bet365.
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 2 | 3 of 24 |
| Goals against | 1.4 | 11 of 24 |
| Shots | 17.4 | 2 of 24 |
| Shots on target | 5.6 | 3 of 24 |
| Fouls | 10 | 19 of 24 |
| Tackles | 16.8 | 4 of 24 |
| Passes | 534.4 | 1 of 24 |
| Corners | 5.3 | 11 of 24 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.6 | 14 of 24 |
| Goals against | 1.5 | 14 of 24 |
| Shots | 18 | 1 of 24 |
| Shots on target | 6.4 | 2 of 24 |
| Fouls | 10.1 | 18 of 24 |
| Tackles | 12.7 | 23 of 24 |
| Passes | 515.2 | 3 of 24 |
| Corners | 7.5 | 1 of 24 |