Updated 9 November 2026.
Italy host France at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, Milano on 12 November 2026 at 19:45 in the UEFA Nations League. Italy's last five results: W L W D W (3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss). France's last five: L W W D W (3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss). In their last 3 meetings, Italy have won 1, France 1, with 1 draw.
Italy vs France kicks off at 19:45 UK time on Thursday 12 November 2026 in the UEFA Nations League, at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, Milano. Stadio Giuseppe Meazza holds 75,817 people. The confirmed lineups replace the predicted XIs on this page about an hour before kick-off, and the live score and match stats follow from 19:45.
Italy vs France is being played at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza in Milano on Thursday 12 November 2026, the home ground of Italy, which holds 75,817 people. Kick-off is at 19:45 UK time, and the match is part of the UEFA Nations League.
Italy have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 5, with results reading W L W D W from oldest to newest. Their last game was a 3-1 win at home to Turkey in the UEFA Nations League on 5 October.
France have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 and conceding 8, with results reading L W W D W from oldest to newest. Their last game was a 4-1 win at home to Belgium in the UEFA Nations League on 5 October.
Across the last 3 meetings Italy have won 1, France have won 1 and 1 was drawn, with Italy scoring 5 goals to France's 5. The most recent was France 1-1 Italy on 2 October 2026 in the UEFA Nations League.
Pio Esposito leads Italy with 6 goals across their last 10 games, 0.6 a game, the most of any Italy player in that run. The Stats tab of this page ranks every Italy player on shots, fouls, cards and tackles over the same games.
Kylian Mbappé leads France with 7 goals across their last 10 games, 0.7 a game, the most of any France player in that run. The Stats tab of this page ranks every France player on shots, fouls, cards and tackles over the same games.
Statz predicts Italy vs France with 11 starters a side: Italy line up 4-3-3 and France 4-3-3, ahead of the 19:45 UK time kick-off on Thursday 12 November 2026. The predicted XIs are on the Lineups tab of this page, and update to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
Statz's projection model makes France the favourite with a 50% chance of winning, against 26% for Italy and 24% for the draw. Projected goals are Italy 1.2 - 1.7 France.
The most likely score in Italy vs France is 1-1, a draw, at 11%, from Statz's projection model. Both teams to score is 56% likely and over 2.5 goals 54%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz projects 9 player markets for Italy vs France, from goals and shots to fouls, cards, tackles and passes, for every starter on the Projections tab of this page. The Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365, and the match projection gives each side's chance of winning.
| Date | Competition | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Oct 2026 | UEFA Nations League | France vs Italy | 1-1 |
| 17 Nov 2024 | UEFA Nations League | Italy vs France | 1-3 |
| 6 Sep 2024 | UEFA Nations League | France vs Italy | 1-3 |
Statz's projection model expects Italy 1.2 - 1.7 France in goals. It gives Italy a 26% chance of winning, the draw 24% and France 50%. Both teams to score is 56% likely, over 1.5 goals 78% and over 2.5 goals 54%. The most likely scorelines are 1-1 (11%), 0-1 (10%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (8%), 1-0 (7%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | Draw | 11% |
| 0-1 | France win | 10% |
| 1-2 | France win | 10% |
| 0-2 | France win | 8% |
| 1-0 | Italy win | 7% |
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Italy vs France, updated to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
| # | Italy | Fouls committed | France | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A. Bastoni | 12 | A. Rabiot | 10 |
| 2 | P. Esposito | 9 | M. Koné | 10 |
| 3 | S. Tonali | 8 | D. Upamecano | 8 |
| 4 | M. Locatelli | 7 | M. Lacroix | 8 |
| 5 | M. Retegui | 6 | B. Barcola | 7 |
| # | Italy | Shots | France | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | P. Esposito | 26 | K. Mbappé | 31 |
| 2 | M. Kean | 15 | O. Dembélé | 27 |
| 3 | S. Tonali | 12 | M. Olise | 25 |
| 4 | D. Frattesi | 8 | D. Doué | 22 |
| 5 | G. Scamacca | 7 | B. Barcola | 13 |
| # | Italy | Shots on target | France | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | P. Esposito | 15 | K. Mbappé | 17 |
| 2 | M. Kean | 7 | D. Doué | 12 |
| 3 | M. Retegui | 4 | O. Dembélé | 11 |
| 4 | M. Kayode | 3 | M. Olise | 10 |
| 5 | S. Tonali | 2 | B. Barcola | 6 |
| # | Italy | Goals | France | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | P. Esposito | 6 | K. Mbappé | 7 |
| 2 | M. Kean | 2 | O. Dembélé | 5 |
| 3 | A. Bastoni | 2 | M. Olise | 4 |
| 4 | G. Mancini | 1 | B. Barcola | 2 |
| 5 | S. Tonali | 1 | D. Doué | 2 |
| # | Italy | Yellow cards | France | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A. Bastoni | 3 | M. Koné | 2 |
| 2 | G. Donnarumma | 2 | D. Upamecano | 2 |
| 3 | P. Esposito | 1 | M. Olise | 1 |
| 4 | N. Barella | 1 | B. Barcola | 1 |
| 5 | D. Frattesi | 1 | K. Mbappé | 1 |
Statz's bet builder picks for Italy vs France: Désiré Doué 2+ shots (100% hit rate at 1.25); Bradley Barcola 1+ fouls (100% hit rate at 1.25); Rayan Cherki 1+ shots on target (80% hit rate at 1.73); Michael Olise 3+ shots (80% hit rate at 1.44). Combined odds 3.89 at bet365.
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 2 | 13 of 54 |
| Goals against | 1.3 | 30 of 54 |
| Shots | 16 | 9 of 54 |
| Shots on target | 5.5 | 11 of 54 |
| Fouls | 13.5 | 17 of 54 |
| Tackles | 15.8 | 18 of 54 |
| Passes | 482 | 26 of 54 |
| Corners | 3.3 | 38 of 54 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.8 | 17 of 54 |
| Goals against | 0.5 | 6 of 54 |
| Shots | 17.8 | 8 of 54 |
| Shots on target | 6.8 | 3 of 54 |
| Fouls | 9.3 | 48 of 54 |
| Tackles | 17 | 9 of 54 |
| Passes | 686.3 | 1 of 54 |
| Corners | 6 | 10 of 54 |