Champions League xG Table 2025/2026

Who the Champions League xG table says is due a correction

Villarreal have the biggest shortfall in the Champions League: 1 points from chances worth 11.1 xPts, a gap of 10.1. At the other end, Arsenal have taken 24 points from an xPts figure of 17.8, 6.2 more than the underlying numbers justify.

How these xG numbers are calculated

Expected goals measure the quality of the chances a team creates and concedes, with every shot scored between 0 and 1 by how often shots like it are converted. Expected points come from running each finished match through a Poisson model using both sides' xG, giving a win, draw and loss probability, then awarding three points and one point against those probabilities. Underlying data is supplied by Sportmonks.

Champions League 2025/2026 xG table, Home

# Team Played Goals xG Goals minus xG Goals against xGA Goals against minus xGA Goal difference xGD Goal difference minus xGD Points xPts Points minus xPts
1FC Bayern München41211.5+0.522.1-0.1+109.4+0.61210.3+1.7
2Arsenal41211.9+0.133.6-0.6+98.3+0.7129.9+2.1
3Liverpool41114.2-3.263.2+2.8+511.0-6.099.7-0.7
4Tottenham Hotspur4108.3+1.702.2-2.2+106.2+3.8129.1+2.9
5Chelsea4109.0+1.013.0-2.0+96.0+3.0128.7+3.3
6Manchester City487.1+0.932.4+0.6+54.6+0.498.7+0.3
7Atalanta469.4-3.454.2+0.8+15.3-4.378.5-1.5
8Paris Saint Germain41110.1+0.964.7+1.3+55.4-0.478.4-1.4
9Real Madrid41011.8-1.846.1-2.1+65.7+0.398.2+0.8
10FC Barcelona4138.6+4.453.8+1.2+84.7+3.398.0+1.0
11Inter468.4-2.453.8+1.2+14.6-3.667.6-1.6
12Benfica487.7+0.364.3+1.7+23.4-1.467.6-1.6
13Monaco4310.2-7.224.7-2.7+15.6-4.667.5-1.5
14Borussia Dortmund4108.4+1.654.0+1.0+54.4+0.677.5-0.5
15Sporting CP4117.6+3.433.9-0.9+83.7+4.3127.4+4.6
16Villarreal458.4-3.495.4+3.6-43.1-7.117.4-6.4
17Atlético Madrid41110.5+0.556.2-1.2+64.2+1.897.3+1.7
18Newcastle United495.7+3.323.1-1.1+72.6+4.497.2+1.8
19Napoli467.3-1.344.5-0.5+22.8-0.876.9+0.1
20Juventus496.8+2.255.0+0.0+41.8+2.286.8+1.2
21Bayer 04 Leverkusen487.1+0.9105.7+4.3-21.4-3.456.6-1.6
22FC København487.1+0.995.7+3.3-11.4-2.456.2-1.2
23Bodø / Glimt478.5-1.577.8-0.8+00.7-0.746.1-2.1
24Olympiacos F.C.464.8+1.254.8+0.2+10.0+1.055.9-0.9
25PSV4108.0+2.0107.5+2.5+00.5-0.535.8-2.8
26QarabaÄŸ496.3+2.786.0+2.0+10.3+0.775.6+1.4
27Galatasaray456.9-1.936.4-3.4+20.5+1.575.4+1.6
28Club Brugge4107.5+2.577.5-0.5+30.0+3.075.4+1.6
29Athletic Club454.4+0.664.3+1.7-10.0-1.045.1-1.1
30Olympique Marseille464.5+1.555.4-0.4+1-0.9+1.964.8+1.2
31Slavia Praha446.5-2.597.7+1.3-5-1.2-3.824.6-2.6
32Ajax414.5-3.596.2+2.8-8-1.7-6.304.6-4.6
33Eintracht Frankfurt463.2+2.8117.9+3.1-5-4.7-0.332.9+0.1
34Pafos FC483.6+4.488.5-0.5+0-4.9+4.972.9+4.1
35Kairat412.8-1.8108.5+1.5-9-5.7-3.312.5-1.5
36Union Saint-Gilloise433.9-0.91110.5+0.5-8-6.6-1.432.5+0.5

Champions League 2025/2026 xG table, Away

# Team Played Goals xG Goals minus xG Goals against xGA Goals against minus xGA Goal difference xGD Goal difference minus xGD Points xPts Points minus xPts
1Liverpool497.2+1.823.4-1.4+73.8+3.298.0+1.0
2Arsenal4118.1+2.914.3-3.3+103.7+6.3127.9+4.1
3Inter498.9+0.124.2-2.2+74.6+2.497.8+1.2
4Paris Saint Germain4107.1+2.954.4+0.6+52.7+2.377.4-0.4
5FC Bayern München4107.4+2.665.5+0.5+41.9+2.196.4+2.6
6Newcastle United488.5-0.557.3-2.3+31.2+1.856.2-1.2
7Atalanta446.2-2.255.9-0.9-10.3-1.366.0+0.0
8Manchester City476.9+0.166.3-0.3+10.6+0.475.9+1.1
9FC Barcelona496.2+2.896.3+2.7+0-0.1+0.175.5+1.5
10Athletic Club444.0+0.084.4+3.6-4-0.4-3.645.1-1.1
11Real Madrid4116.3+4.787.1+0.9+3-0.8+3.865.1+0.9
12Benfica424.0-2.065.0+1.0-4-1.0-3.035.0-2.0
13Borussia Dortmund495.3+3.7126.6+5.4-3-1.4-1.644.8-0.8
14Chelsea475.5+1.597.0+2.0-2-1.5-0.544.7-0.7
15Juventus456.4-1.457.3-2.3+0-0.9+0.954.6+0.4
16Bayer 04 Leverkusen454.8+0.246.2-2.2+1-1.4+2.474.6+2.4
17Union Saint-Gilloise457.0-2.069.5-3.5-1-2.6+1.664.6+1.4
18Olympique Marseille454.5+0.597.0+2.0-4-2.6-1.434.5-1.5
19Galatasaray445.9-1.988.9-0.9-4-3.0-1.034.4-1.4
20Sporting CP463.1+2.985.1+2.9-2-2.0+0.044.3-0.3
21Ajax474.9+2.1128.0+4.0-5-3.0-2.064.2+1.8
22Tottenham Hotspur475.3+1.778.4-1.4+0-3.1+3.154.2+0.8
23Olympiacos F.C.444.6-0.697.9+1.1-5-3.3-1.764.0+2.0
24Villarreal403.3-3.397.4+1.6-9-4.1-4.903.8-3.8
25Bodø / Glimt477.4-0.4811.3-3.3-1-3.9+2.953.7+1.3
26Monaco456.2-1.21210.3+1.7-7-4.1-2.943.7+0.3
27Atlético Madrid464.4+1.6109.2+0.8-4-4.7+0.743.5+0.5
28Club Brugge454.1+0.9109.2+0.8-5-5.1+0.133.5-0.5
29PSV463.5+2.566.6-0.6+0-3.1+3.153.3+1.7
30Napoli433.6-0.6118.5+2.5-8-4.9-3.112.7-1.7
31Slavia Praha413.9-2.91010.4-0.4-9-6.5-2.512.6-1.6
32Pafos FC403.0-3.037.7-4.7-3-4.7+1.722.5-0.5
33FC København443.5+0.5129.9+2.1-8-6.3-1.732.5+0.5
34QarabaÄŸ443.0+1.01312.8+0.2-9-9.8+0.832.2+0.8
35Eintracht Frankfurt443.1+0.91010.2-0.2-6-7.1+1.112.1-1.1
36Kairat463.6+2.41213.0-1.0-6-9.4+3.401.3-1.3

Champions League 2025/2026 xG table, Last 5

# Team Played Goals xG Goals minus xG Goals against xGA Goals against minus xGA Goal difference xGD Goal difference minus xGD Points xPts Points minus xPts
1Arsenal51513.3+1.745.9-1.9+117.4+3.61510.9+4.1
2Tottenham Hotspur51410.7+3.354.2+0.8+96.5+2.51210.9+1.1
3Liverpool51213.8-1.844.0+0.0+89.8-1.81210.8+1.2
4Paris Saint Germain5810.1-2.185.5+2.5+04.6-4.659.8-4.8
5Benfica589.0-1.054.7+0.3+34.3-1.399.6-0.6
6Atalanta589.4-1.455.2-0.2+34.2-1.299.4-0.4
7Manchester City598.7+0.375.4+1.6+23.3-1.399.2-0.2
8Chelsea5109.0+1.065.7+0.3+43.3+0.7109.1+0.9
9FC Bayern München5109.6+0.466.0+0.0+43.6+0.4128.9+3.1
10Juventus588.8-0.835.7-2.7+53.1+1.9118.5+2.5
11FC Barcelona5139.1+3.9106.4+3.6+32.7+0.3108.4+1.6
12Napoli559.0-4.066.5-0.5-12.4-3.458.1-3.1
13Inter567.9-1.975.7+1.3-12.1-3.168.1-2.1
14Borussia Dortmund579.0-2.0107.0+3.0-32.0-5.047.4-3.4
15Atlético Madrid5109.2+0.878.7-1.7+30.6+2.4107.4+2.6
16Monaco5510.8-5.888.7-0.7-32.2-5.287.2+0.8
17Newcastle United597.3+1.757.5-2.5+4-0.2+4.287.1+0.9
18Bayer 04 Leverkusen587.5+0.547.3-3.3+40.2+3.8107.0+3.0
19Villarreal537.5-4.5139.1+3.9-10-1.6-8.406.8-6.8
20Olympique Marseille556.1-1.1106.4+3.6-5-0.4-4.666.6-0.6
21Olympiacos F.C.596.0+3.066.8-0.8+3-0.8+3.8106.6+3.4
22Ajax576.6+0.4107.5+2.5-3-1.0-2.066.6-0.6
23Club Brugge5106.9+3.1108.5+1.5+0-1.6+1.676.1+0.9
24Athletic Club554.7+0.375.9+1.1-2-1.2-0.855.9-0.9
25Bodø / Glimt598.8+0.2811.2-3.2+1-2.4+3.475.9+1.1
26Real Madrid5138.5+4.51110.8+0.2+2-2.3+4.365.6+0.4
27Sporting CP5104.6+5.476.7+0.3+3-2.1+5.1105.5+4.5
28Galatasaray546.9-2.9511.0-6.0-1-4.0+3.045.0-1.0
29Slavia Praha536.1-3.1149.6+4.4-11-3.5-7.514.9-3.9
30PSV585.9+2.1108.8+1.2-2-2.9+0.944.8-0.8
31FC København586.8+1.21311.5+1.5-5-4.6-0.474.8+2.2
32Union Saint-Gilloise555.8-0.8810.3-2.3-3-4.6+1.664.6+1.4
33QarabaÄŸ576.0+1.01613.8+2.2-9-7.8-1.244.5-0.5
34Pafos FC574.8+2.269.5-3.5+1-4.7+5.773.9+3.1
35Eintracht Frankfurt534.0-1.01010.4-0.4-7-6.4-0.613.0-2.0
36Kairat563.3+2.71313.8-0.8-7-10.5+3.501.5-1.5

Champions League xG Table Questions

Which Champions League team is overperforming their xG the most in 2025/2026?

FC Barcelona overperformed their xG by more than any other side in the Champions League in 2025/2026, with 22 goals from chances worth 14.7 xG, a gap of 7.3. Sporting CP were next on 6.4.

Which Champions League team is underperforming their xG the most in 2025/2026?

Monaco underperformed their xG by more than any other side in the Champions League in 2025/2026, with 8 goals from chances worth 16.4 xG, a shortfall of 8.4. Villarreal were next on 6.8.

Which Champions League team has been the luckiest on expected points in 2025/2026?

Arsenal were the luckiest side in the Champions League in 2025/2026, with 24 points from performances worth 17.8 xPts, 6.2 more than their chances deserved. FC Bayern München and Sporting CP were next on 4.3.

Which Champions League team has been the unluckiest on expected points in 2025/2026?

Villarreal were the unluckiest side in the Champions League in 2025/2026, with 1 point from performances worth 11.1 xPts, 10.1 short of what they deserved. Slavia Praha were next on 4.2.

Who would be top of the Champions League on xG in 2025/2026?

Arsenal were also top of the Champions League in 2025/2026 on expected points, with 17.8 xPts from 20.0 xG created and 8.0 conceded across eight matches. Liverpool were next on 17.6.

Which Champions League team has the most xG in 2025/2026?

Liverpool created the most xG in the Champions League in 2025/2026, 21.3 from eight matches, 2.7 a game against a competition average of 1.6. Arsenal were next on 20.0.

Which Champions League team has the least xG in 2025/2026?

Eintracht Frankfurt created the least xG in the Champions League in 2025/2026, 6.3 from eight matches, 0.8 a game against a competition average of 1.6. Kairat were next on 6.4.

Which Champions League team has conceded the most xG in 2025/2026?

Kairat conceded the most xG in the Champions League in 2025/2026, 21.5 from eight matches, 2.7 a game against a competition average of 1.6. Union Saint-Gilloise were next on 20.0.

Which Champions League team has conceded the least xG in 2025/2026?

Liverpool conceded the least xG in the Champions League in 2025/2026, 6.6 from eight matches, 0.8 a game against a competition average of 1.6. FC Bayern München were next on 7.5.

What is the average xG per game in the Champions League in 2025/2026?

Champions League teams averaged 1.61 xG a game in 2025/2026, from the 144 matches played, and scored 1.69 goals a game from it. That is up from 1.56 xG a game in 2024/2025.

Did Champions League teams create more xG at home or away in 2025/2026?

Champions League teams created more xG at home in 2025/2026, 1.89 a game against 1.32 away, a home advantage of +0.57, against +0.41 in 2024/2025.

Champions League player expected goals

The same season by player, with the goals each one scored against the chances they had.

  • Champions League Player xG Stats 2025/2026

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Champions League 2025/2026 xG table

# Team Played Goals xG Goals minus xG Goals against xGA Goals against minus xGA Goal difference xGD Goal difference minus xGD Points xPts Points minus xPts
1 Arsenal 8 23 20.0 +3.0 4 8.0 -4.0 +19 12.0 +7.0 24 17.8 +6.2
2 Liverpool 8 20 21.3 -1.3 8 6.6 +1.4 +12 14.8 -2.8 18 17.6 +0.4
3 FC Bayern München 8 22 18.9 +3.1 8 7.5 +0.5 +14 11.3 +2.7 21 16.7 +4.3
4 Paris Saint Germain 8 21 17.2 +3.8 11 9.0 +2.0 +10 8.2 +1.8 14 15.8 -1.8
5 Inter 8 15 17.3 -2.3 7 8.0 -1.0 +8 9.3 -1.3 15 15.4 -0.4
6 Atalanta 8 10 15.7 -5.7 10 10.1 -0.1 +0 5.5 -5.5 13 14.6 -1.6
7 Manchester City 8 15 14.0 +1.0 9 8.7 +0.3 +6 5.2 +0.8 16 14.6 +1.4
8 FC Barcelona 8 22 14.7 +7.3 14 10.1 +3.9 +8 4.7 +3.3 16 13.6 +2.4
9 Tottenham Hotspur 8 17 13.6 +3.4 7 10.5 -3.5 +10 3.1 +6.9 17 13.4 +3.6
10 Real Madrid 8 21 18.2 +2.8 12 13.3 -1.3 +9 4.9 +4.1 15 13.3 +1.7
11 Chelsea 8 17 14.6 +2.4 10 10.1 -0.1 +7 4.5 +2.5 16 13.3 +2.7
12 Newcastle United 8 17 14.2 +2.8 7 10.4 -3.4 +10 3.8 +6.2 14 13.3 +0.7
13 Benfica 8 10 11.7 -1.7 12 9.3 +2.7 -2 2.3 -4.3 9 12.6 -3.6
14 Borussia Dortmund 8 19 13.6 +5.4 17 10.6 +6.4 +2 3.0 -1.0 11 12.2 -1.2
15 Sporting CP 8 17 10.6 +6.4 11 9.0 +2.0 +6 1.7 +4.3 16 11.7 +4.3
16 Juventus 8 14 13.2 +0.8 10 12.3 -2.3 +4 0.9 +3.1 13 11.4 +1.6
17 Monaco 8 8 16.4 -8.4 14 14.9 -0.9 -6 1.5 -7.5 10 11.3 -1.3
18 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 8 13 11.9 +1.1 14 11.9 +2.1 -1 0.0 -1.0 12 11.1 +0.9
19 Villarreal 8 5 11.8 -6.8 18 12.8 +5.2 -13 -1.1 -11.9 1 11.1 -10.1
20 Atlético Madrid 8 17 14.9 +2.1 15 15.4 -0.4 +2 -0.5 +2.5 13 10.7 +2.3
21 Athletic Club 8 9 8.4 +0.6 14 8.7 +5.3 -5 -0.3 -4.7 8 10.2 -2.2
22 Olympiacos F.C. 8 10 9.4 +0.6 14 12.7 +1.3 -4 -3.3 -0.7 11 9.9 +1.1
23 Galatasaray 8 9 12.8 -3.8 11 15.4 -4.4 -2 -2.6 +0.6 10 9.8 +0.2
24 Bodø / Glimt 8 14 15.9 -1.9 15 19.1 -4.1 -1 -3.2 +2.2 9 9.8 -0.8
25 Napoli 8 9 10.9 -1.9 15 13.0 +2.0 -6 -2.1 -3.9 8 9.6 -1.6
26 Olympique Marseille 8 11 9.0 +2.0 14 12.5 +1.5 -3 -3.5 +0.5 9 9.3 -0.3
27 PSV 8 16 11.5 +4.5 16 14.1 +1.9 +0 -2.6 +2.6 8 9.0 -1.0
28 Ajax 8 8 9.4 -1.4 21 14.2 +6.8 -13 -4.7 -8.3 6 8.9 -2.9
29 Club Brugge 8 15 11.6 +3.4 17 16.7 +0.3 -2 -5.1 +3.1 10 8.9 +1.1
30 FC København 8 12 10.6 +1.4 21 15.5 +5.5 -9 -4.9 -4.1 8 8.7 -0.7
31 QarabaÄŸ 8 13 9.3 +3.7 21 18.9 +2.1 -8 -9.5 +1.5 10 7.8 +2.2
32 Slavia Praha 8 5 10.4 -5.4 19 18.1 +0.9 -14 -7.7 -6.3 3 7.2 -4.2
33 Union Saint-Gilloise 8 8 10.8 -2.8 17 20.0 -3.0 -9 -9.2 +0.2 9 7.0 +2.0
34 Pafos FC 8 8 6.7 +1.3 11 16.2 -5.2 -3 -9.6 +6.6 9 5.4 +3.6
35 Eintracht Frankfurt 8 10 6.3 +3.7 21 18.1 +2.9 -11 -11.8 +0.8 4 5.0 -1.0
36 Kairat 8 7 6.4 +0.6 22 21.5 +0.5 -15 -15.1 +0.1 1 3.8 -2.8

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