Win, draw and score chances for Oviedo v Girona, with the goals lines, from our projection model.
Updated 14 November 2026, with the latest team projections.
| Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|
| Oviedo win | 37.8% |
| Draw | 27.5% |
| Girona win | 34.7% |
| Oviedo or draw (1X) | 65.3% |
| Girona or draw (X2) | 62.2% |
| Oviedo or Girona (12) | 72.5% |
| Both teams to score | 54.0% |
| Oviedo clean sheet | 27.9% |
| Girona clean sheet | 26.1% |
| Score | Chance |
|---|---|
| Oviedo 1-1 Girona | 13.1% |
| Oviedo 1-0 Girona | 9.1% |
| Oviedo 0-1 Girona | 8.7% |
| Oviedo 2-1 Girona | 8.4% |
| Oviedo 1-2 Girona | 8.0% |
| Oviedo 0-0 Girona | 7.9% |
| Oviedo 2-0 Girona | 6.6% |
| Oviedo 0-2 Girona | 5.9% |
| Stat | Oviedo | Girona | Match total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.34 | 1.28 | 2.62 |
| Stat | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | Over 0.5 | 92.1% | 7.9% |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | 74.3% | 25.7% |
| Goals | Over 2.5 | 48.7% | 51.3% |
| Goals | Over 3.5 | 26.9% | 73.1% |
| Goals | Over 4.5 | 12.6% | 87.4% |
Our model makes Oviedo favourites in Oviedo v Girona on Saturday 14 November, with a 38% chance of a home win, 27% for the draw and 35% for Girona, from projected goals of 1.34 for Oviedo and 1.28 for Girona.
The most likely score in Oviedo v Girona is 1-1 at 13%, ahead of 1-0 at 9% and 0-1 at 9%, from our model's projection of 1.34 goals for Oviedo and 1.28 for Girona, which spreads the rest across every other scoreline.
Both teams score in 54% of the outcomes our model gives Oviedo v Girona, making yes the likelier answer, with Oviedo keeping a clean sheet 28% of the time and Girona 26%, from projected goals of 1.34 and 1.28.
Our model projects 2.62 goals in Oviedo v Girona, with over 2.5 goals at 49% and over 3.5 at 27%, and two goals the likeliest total at 26%.
The Oviedo v Girona simulation turns our projections of 1.34 goals for Oviedo and 1.28 for Girona into an exact chance for every scoreline, adds those up for the result, both teams to score and the goal lines, then draws 10,000 sample matches from the same model to show the run settling on them.