Win, draw and score chances for Millwall v QPR, with the goals, corners, shots and cards lines, from our projection model.
Updated 14 November 2026, with the latest team projections.
| Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|
| Millwall win | 43.3% |
| Draw | 25.8% |
| QPR win | 30.9% |
| Millwall or draw (1X) | 69.1% |
| QPR or draw (X2) | 56.7% |
| Millwall or QPR (12) | 74.2% |
| Both teams to score | 60.3% |
| Millwall clean sheet | 26.0% |
| QPR clean sheet | 19.6% |
| Score | Chance |
|---|---|
| Millwall 1-1 QPR | 12.0% |
| Millwall 2-1 QPR | 9.1% |
| Millwall 1-2 QPR | 7.5% |
| Millwall 1-0 QPR | 7.5% |
| Millwall 2-0 QPR | 6.8% |
| Millwall 2-2 QPR | 6.1% |
| Millwall 0-1 QPR | 6.0% |
| Millwall 0-0 QPR | 6.0% |
| Stat | Millwall | QPR | Match total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.63 | 1.35 | 2.97 |
| Corners | 5.9 | 4.6 | 10.5 |
| Shots | 14.6 | 12.0 | 26.6 |
| Shots on target | 4.9 | 3.8 | 8.7 |
| Yellow cards | 1.5 | 1.9 | 3.3 |
| Fouls | 9.5 | 9.9 | 19.4 |
| Tackles | 14.0 | 13.8 | 27.8 |
| Stat | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | Over 0.5 | 94.1% | 6.0% |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | 80.5% | 19.5% |
| Goals | Over 2.5 | 57.1% | 42.9% |
| Goals | Over 3.5 | 34.7% | 65.3% |
| Goals | Over 4.5 | 18.0% | 82.0% |
| Corners | Over 7.5 | 81.8% | 18.2% |
| Corners | Over 8.5 | 71.6% | 28.4% |
| Corners | Over 9.5 | 59.8% | 40.2% |
| Corners | Over 10.5 | 47.4% | 52.6% |
| Corners | Over 11.5 | 35.6% | 64.4% |
| Corners | Over 12.5 | 25.4% | 74.6% |
| Shots | Over 18.5 | 94.8% | 5.2% |
| Shots | Over 20.5 | 88.5% | 11.5% |
| Shots | Over 22.5 | 78.3% | 21.7% |
| Shots | Over 24.5 | 64.8% | 35.2% |
| Shots | Over 26.5 | 49.5% | 50.6% |
| Shots on target | Over 6.5 | 76.2% | 23.8% |
| Shots on target | Over 7.5 | 63.7% | 36.3% |
| Shots on target | Over 8.5 | 50.1% | 49.9% |
| Shots on target | Over 9.5 | 37.0% | 63.0% |
| Shots on target | Over 10.5 | 25.7% | 74.4% |
| Yellow cards | Over 2.5 | 64.9% | 35.1% |
| Yellow cards | Over 3.5 | 42.9% | 57.1% |
| Yellow cards | Over 4.5 | 24.5% | 75.5% |
| Yellow cards | Over 5.5 | 12.2% | 87.8% |
| Yellow cards | Over 6.5 | 5.4% | 94.6% |
| Fouls | Over 19.5 | 47.2% | 52.8% |
| Fouls | Over 21.5 | 30.3% | 69.7% |
| Fouls | Over 23.5 | 17.2% | 82.9% |
| Fouls | Over 25.5 | 8.6% | 91.4% |
| Fouls | Over 27.5 | 3.8% | 96.2% |
| Tackles | Over 16.5 | 98.9% | 1.1% |
| Tackles | Over 18.5 | 96.7% | 3.3% |
| Tackles | Over 20.5 | 92.1% | 7.9% |
| Tackles | Over 22.5 | 84.1% | 15.9% |
| Tackles | Over 24.5 | 72.5% | 27.5% |
Our model makes Millwall favourites in Millwall v QPR on Saturday 21 November, with a 43% chance of a home win, 26% for the draw and 31% for QPR, from projected goals of 1.63 for Millwall and 1.35 for QPR.
The most likely score in Millwall v QPR is 1-1 at 12%, ahead of 2-1 at 9% and 1-2 at 8%, from our model's projection of 1.63 goals for Millwall and 1.35 for QPR, which spreads the rest across every other scoreline.
Both teams score in 60% of the outcomes our model gives Millwall v QPR, making yes the likelier answer, with Millwall keeping a clean sheet 26% of the time and QPR 20%, from projected goals of 1.63 and 1.35.
Our model projects 2.97 goals in Millwall v QPR, with over 2.5 goals at 57% and over 3.5 at 35%, and two goals the likeliest total at 23%.
Our model expects 10.5 corners in Millwall v QPR on Saturday 21 November, 5.9 for Millwall and 4.6 for QPR, putting over 9.5 corners at 60% and over 10.5 at 47%.
Our model expects 3.3 yellow cards in Millwall v QPR on Saturday 21 November, 1.5 for Millwall and 1.9 for QPR, putting over 2.5 cards at 65% and over 3.5 at 43%.
The Millwall v QPR simulation turns our projections of 1.63 goals for Millwall and 1.35 for QPR into an exact chance for every scoreline, adds those up for the result, both teams to score and the goal lines, then draws 10,000 sample matches from the same model to show the run settling on them.