Win, draw and score chances for Wigan v Barnsley, with the goals, corners, shots and cards lines, from our projection model.
Updated 14 November 2026, with the latest team projections.
| Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|
| Wigan win | 42.4% |
| Draw | 25.9% |
| Barnsley win | 31.7% |
| Wigan or draw (1X) | 68.3% |
| Barnsley or draw (X2) | 57.6% |
| Wigan or Barnsley (12) | 74.1% |
| Both teams to score | 60.4% |
| Wigan clean sheet | 25.5% |
| Barnsley clean sheet | 20.0% |
| Score | Chance |
|---|---|
| Wigan 1-1 Barnsley | 12.1% |
| Wigan 2-1 Barnsley | 9.0% |
| Wigan 1-2 Barnsley | 7.7% |
| Wigan 1-0 Barnsley | 7.4% |
| Wigan 2-0 Barnsley | 6.6% |
| Wigan 2-2 Barnsley | 6.2% |
| Wigan 0-1 Barnsley | 6.1% |
| Wigan 0-0 Barnsley | 6.0% |
| Stat | Wigan | Barnsley | Match total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.61 | 1.37 | 2.97 |
| Corners | 5.7 | 4.9 | 10.6 |
| Shots | 14.8 | 13.0 | 27.8 |
| Shots on target | 4.6 | 4.2 | 8.9 |
| Yellow cards | 1.7 | 2.3 | 4.0 |
| Fouls | 9.6 | 11.9 | 21.5 |
| Tackles | 16.5 | 15.7 | 32.1 |
| Stat | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | Over 0.5 | 94.1% | 6.0% |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | 80.5% | 19.5% |
| Goals | Over 2.5 | 57.1% | 42.9% |
| Goals | Over 3.5 | 34.7% | 65.3% |
| Goals | Over 4.5 | 18.0% | 82.0% |
| Corners | Over 7.5 | 82.7% | 17.3% |
| Corners | Over 8.5 | 72.8% | 27.2% |
| Corners | Over 9.5 | 61.2% | 38.8% |
| Corners | Over 10.5 | 48.9% | 51.1% |
| Corners | Over 11.5 | 37.1% | 63.0% |
| Corners | Over 12.5 | 26.6% | 73.4% |
| Shots | Over 18.5 | 96.7% | 3.3% |
| Shots | Over 20.5 | 92.1% | 7.9% |
| Shots | Over 22.5 | 84.1% | 15.9% |
| Shots | Over 24.5 | 72.5% | 27.5% |
| Shots | Over 26.5 | 58.3% | 41.7% |
| Shots on target | Over 6.5 | 78.0% | 22.0% |
| Shots on target | Over 7.5 | 66.0% | 34.0% |
| Shots on target | Over 8.5 | 52.6% | 47.4% |
| Shots on target | Over 9.5 | 39.4% | 60.6% |
| Shots on target | Over 10.5 | 27.8% | 72.2% |
| Yellow cards | Over 2.5 | 75.8% | 24.2% |
| Yellow cards | Over 3.5 | 56.1% | 43.9% |
| Yellow cards | Over 4.5 | 36.6% | 63.4% |
| Yellow cards | Over 5.5 | 21.1% | 78.9% |
| Yellow cards | Over 6.5 | 10.8% | 89.2% |
| Fouls | Over 19.5 | 65.8% | 34.2% |
| Fouls | Over 21.5 | 48.8% | 51.2% |
| Fouls | Over 23.5 | 32.5% | 67.5% |
| Fouls | Over 25.5 | 19.3% | 80.7% |
| Fouls | Over 27.5 | 10.2% | 89.8% |
| Tackles | Over 16.5 | 99.9% | 0.1% |
| Tackles | Over 18.5 | 99.5% | 0.5% |
| Tackles | Over 20.5 | 98.5% | 1.5% |
| Tackles | Over 22.5 | 96.1% | 3.9% |
| Tackles | Over 24.5 | 91.5% | 8.5% |
Our model makes Wigan favourites in Wigan v Barnsley on Saturday 14 November, with a 42% chance of a home win, 26% for the draw and 32% for Barnsley, from projected goals of 1.61 for Wigan and 1.37 for Barnsley.
The most likely score in Wigan v Barnsley is 1-1 at 12%, ahead of 2-1 at 9% and 1-2 at 8%, from our model's projection of 1.61 goals for Wigan and 1.37 for Barnsley, which spreads the rest across every other scoreline.
Both teams score in 60% of the outcomes our model gives Wigan v Barnsley, making yes the likelier answer, with Wigan keeping a clean sheet 26% of the time and Barnsley 20%, from projected goals of 1.61 and 1.37.
Our model projects 2.97 goals in Wigan v Barnsley, with over 2.5 goals at 57% and over 3.5 at 35%, and two goals the likeliest total at 23%.
Our model expects 10.6 corners in Wigan v Barnsley on Saturday 14 November, 5.7 for Wigan and 4.9 for Barnsley, putting over 10.5 corners at 49% and over 11.5 at 37%.
Our model expects 4.0 yellow cards in Wigan v Barnsley on Saturday 14 November, 1.7 for Wigan and 2.3 for Barnsley, putting over 3.5 cards at 56% and over 4.5 at 37%.
The Wigan v Barnsley simulation turns our projections of 1.61 goals for Wigan and 1.37 for Barnsley into an exact chance for every scoreline, adds those up for the result, both teams to score and the goal lines, then draws 10,000 sample matches from the same model to show the run settling on them.