Win, draw and score chances for Barnsley v Sheff Wed, with the goals, corners, shots and cards lines, from our projection model.
Updated 14 November 2026, with the latest team projections.
| Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|
| Barnsley win | 30.5% |
| Draw | 25.0% |
| Sheff Wed win | 44.5% |
| Barnsley or draw (1X) | 55.5% |
| Sheff Wed or draw (X2) | 69.5% |
| Barnsley or Sheff Wed (12) | 75.0% |
| Both teams to score | 62.6% |
| Barnsley clean sheet | 17.9% |
| Sheff Wed clean sheet | 24.7% |
| Score | Chance |
|---|---|
| Barnsley 1-1 Sheff Wed | 11.4% |
| Barnsley 1-2 Sheff Wed | 9.2% |
| Barnsley 2-1 Sheff Wed | 7.4% |
| Barnsley 0-1 Sheff Wed | 6.8% |
| Barnsley 0-2 Sheff Wed | 6.6% |
| Barnsley 2-2 Sheff Wed | 6.4% |
| Barnsley 1-0 Sheff Wed | 5.4% |
| Barnsley 1-3 Sheff Wed | 5.3% |
| Stat | Barnsley | Sheff Wed | Match total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.40 | 1.72 | 3.12 |
| Corners | 5.8 | 5.2 | 10.9 |
| Shots | 14.1 | 14.3 | 28.4 |
| Shots on target | 4.4 | 4.7 | 9.0 |
| Yellow cards | 1.7 | 2.0 | 3.6 |
| Fouls | 11.5 | 10.8 | 22.4 |
| Tackles | 14.8 | 17.8 | 32.6 |
| Stat | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | Over 0.5 | 94.8% | 5.2% |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | 82.6% | 17.4% |
| Goals | Over 2.5 | 60.3% | 39.7% |
| Goals | Over 3.5 | 38.0% | 62.0% |
| Goals | Over 4.5 | 20.5% | 79.5% |
| Corners | Over 7.5 | 85.1% | 14.9% |
| Corners | Over 8.5 | 76.0% | 24.1% |
| Corners | Over 9.5 | 64.9% | 35.1% |
| Corners | Over 10.5 | 52.9% | 47.1% |
| Corners | Over 11.5 | 40.9% | 59.1% |
| Corners | Over 12.5 | 30.1% | 69.9% |
| Shots | Over 18.5 | 97.4% | 2.6% |
| Shots | Over 20.5 | 93.6% | 6.5% |
| Shots | Over 22.5 | 86.6% | 13.4% |
| Shots | Over 24.5 | 76.1% | 24.0% |
| Shots | Over 26.5 | 62.5% | 37.5% |
| Shots on target | Over 6.5 | 79.6% | 20.4% |
| Shots on target | Over 7.5 | 68.0% | 32.0% |
| Shots on target | Over 8.5 | 54.9% | 45.2% |
| Shots on target | Over 9.5 | 41.7% | 58.3% |
| Shots on target | Over 10.5 | 29.8% | 70.2% |
| Yellow cards | Over 2.5 | 70.2% | 29.9% |
| Yellow cards | Over 3.5 | 49.0% | 51.0% |
| Yellow cards | Over 4.5 | 29.8% | 70.2% |
| Yellow cards | Over 5.5 | 15.9% | 84.1% |
| Yellow cards | Over 6.5 | 7.5% | 92.5% |
| Fouls | Over 19.5 | 71.9% | 28.1% |
| Fouls | Over 21.5 | 55.8% | 44.2% |
| Fouls | Over 23.5 | 39.1% | 60.9% |
| Fouls | Over 25.5 | 24.6% | 75.4% |
| Fouls | Over 27.5 | 13.9% | 86.1% |
| Tackles | Over 16.5 | 99.9% | 0.1% |
| Tackles | Over 18.5 | 99.6% | 0.4% |
| Tackles | Over 20.5 | 98.8% | 1.2% |
| Tackles | Over 22.5 | 96.7% | 3.3% |
| Tackles | Over 24.5 | 92.7% | 7.3% |
Our model makes Sheff Wed favourites in Barnsley v Sheff Wed on Friday 20 November, with a 45% chance of an away win, 25% for the draw and 30% for Barnsley, from projected goals of 1.72 for Sheff Wed and 1.40 for Barnsley.
The most likely score in Barnsley v Sheff Wed is 1-1 at 11%, ahead of 1-2 at 9% and 2-1 at 7%, from our model's projection of 1.40 goals for Barnsley and 1.72 for Sheff Wed, which spreads the rest across every other scoreline.
Both teams score in 63% of the outcomes our model gives Barnsley v Sheff Wed, making yes the likelier answer, with Barnsley keeping a clean sheet 18% of the time and Sheff Wed 25%, from projected goals of 1.40 and 1.72.
Our model projects 3.12 goals in Barnsley v Sheff Wed, with over 2.5 goals at 60% and over 3.5 at 38%, and two and three goals the likeliest totals at 22% each.
Our model expects 10.9 corners in Barnsley v Sheff Wed on Friday 20 November, 5.8 for Barnsley and 5.2 for Sheff Wed, putting over 10.5 corners at 53% and over 11.5 at 41%.
Our model expects 3.6 yellow cards in Barnsley v Sheff Wed on Friday 20 November, 1.7 for Barnsley and 2.0 for Sheff Wed, putting over 3.5 cards at 49% and over 4.5 at 30%.
The Barnsley v Sheff Wed simulation turns our projections of 1.40 goals for Barnsley and 1.72 for Sheff Wed into an exact chance for every scoreline, adds those up for the result, both teams to score and the goal lines, then draws 10,000 sample matches from the same model to show the run settling on them.