Win, draw and score chances for Salford v Northampton, with the goals, corners, shots and cards lines, from our projection model.
Updated 14 November 2026, with the latest team projections.
| Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|
| Salford win | 59.4% |
| Draw | 25.1% |
| Northampton win | 15.5% |
| Salford or draw (1X) | 84.5% |
| Northampton or draw (X2) | 40.6% |
| Salford or Northampton (12) | 74.9% |
| Both teams to score | 44.6% |
| Salford clean sheet | 46.7% |
| Northampton clean sheet | 17.9% |
| Score | Chance |
|---|---|
| Salford 1-0 Northampton | 13.6% |
| Salford 2-0 Northampton | 12.4% |
| Salford 1-1 Northampton | 11.8% |
| Salford 2-1 Northampton | 9.4% |
| Salford 0-0 Northampton | 9.2% |
| Salford 3-0 Northampton | 7.1% |
| Salford 0-1 Northampton | 5.6% |
| Salford 3-1 Northampton | 5.4% |
| Stat | Salford | Northampton | Match total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.72 | 0.76 | 2.48 |
| Corners | 5.8 | 4.3 | 10.1 |
| Shots | 16.1 | 9.0 | 25.1 |
| Shots on target | 5.2 | 2.9 | 8.1 |
| Yellow cards | 1.6 | 1.9 | 3.5 |
| Fouls | 10.6 | 11.8 | 22.4 |
| Tackles | 15.6 | 16.9 | 32.5 |
| Stat | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | Over 0.5 | 90.8% | 9.2% |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | 71.7% | 28.3% |
| Goals | Over 2.5 | 45.1% | 54.9% |
| Goals | Over 3.5 | 23.8% | 76.2% |
| Goals | Over 4.5 | 10.6% | 89.4% |
| Corners | Over 7.5 | 78.8% | 21.2% |
| Corners | Over 8.5 | 67.7% | 32.3% |
| Corners | Over 9.5 | 55.3% | 44.7% |
| Corners | Over 10.5 | 42.8% | 57.2% |
| Corners | Over 11.5 | 31.3% | 68.7% |
| Corners | Over 12.5 | 21.7% | 78.3% |
| Shots | Over 18.5 | 91.1% | 8.9% |
| Shots | Over 20.5 | 82.0% | 18.1% |
| Shots | Over 22.5 | 68.9% | 31.1% |
| Shots | Over 24.5 | 53.4% | 46.6% |
| Shots | Over 26.5 | 37.8% | 62.2% |
| Shots on target | Over 6.5 | 70.0% | 30.0% |
| Shots on target | Over 7.5 | 56.2% | 43.8% |
| Shots on target | Over 8.5 | 42.3% | 57.7% |
| Shots on target | Over 9.5 | 29.7% | 70.3% |
| Shots on target | Over 10.5 | 19.5% | 80.5% |
| Yellow cards | Over 2.5 | 68.1% | 31.9% |
| Yellow cards | Over 3.5 | 46.5% | 53.5% |
| Yellow cards | Over 4.5 | 27.6% | 72.4% |
| Yellow cards | Over 5.5 | 14.4% | 85.7% |
| Yellow cards | Over 6.5 | 6.6% | 93.4% |
| Fouls | Over 19.5 | 72.4% | 27.6% |
| Fouls | Over 21.5 | 56.3% | 43.7% |
| Fouls | Over 23.5 | 39.7% | 60.3% |
| Fouls | Over 25.5 | 25.1% | 74.9% |
| Fouls | Over 27.5 | 14.2% | 85.8% |
| Tackles | Over 16.5 | 99.9% | 0.1% |
| Tackles | Over 18.5 | 99.6% | 0.4% |
| Tackles | Over 20.5 | 98.7% | 1.3% |
| Tackles | Over 22.5 | 96.6% | 3.4% |
| Tackles | Over 24.5 | 92.5% | 7.5% |
Our model makes Salford favourites in Salford v Northampton on Saturday 14 November, with a 59% chance of a home win, 25% for the draw and 16% for Northampton, from projected goals of 1.72 for Salford and 0.76 for Northampton.
The most likely score in Salford v Northampton is 1-0 at 14%, ahead of 2-0 at 12% and 1-1 at 12%, from our model's projection of 1.72 goals for Salford and 0.76 for Northampton, which spreads the rest across every other scoreline.
Our model leans against both teams scoring in Salford v Northampton, at 45% yes and 55% no, with Salford keeping a clean sheet 47% of the time and Northampton 18%, from projected goals of 1.72 and 0.76.
Our model projects 2.48 goals in Salford v Northampton, with over 1.5 goals at 72% and over 2.5 at 45%, and two goals the likeliest total at 27%.
Our model expects 10.1 corners in Salford v Northampton on Saturday 14 November, 5.8 for Salford and 4.3 for Northampton, putting over 9.5 corners at 55% and over 10.5 at 43%.
Our model expects 3.5 yellow cards in Salford v Northampton on Saturday 14 November, 1.6 for Salford and 1.9 for Northampton, putting over 3.5 cards at 47% and over 4.5 at 28%.
The Salford v Northampton simulation turns our projections of 1.72 goals for Salford and 0.76 for Northampton into an exact chance for every scoreline, adds those up for the result, both teams to score and the goal lines, then draws 10,000 sample matches from the same model to show the run settling on them.