Win, draw and score chances for Shrewsbury v Oldham, with the goals, corners, shots and cards lines, from our projection model.
Updated 14 November 2026, with the latest team projections.
| Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|
| Shrewsbury win | 38.8% |
| Draw | 29.1% |
| Oldham win | 32.1% |
| Shrewsbury or draw (1X) | 67.9% |
| Oldham or draw (X2) | 61.2% |
| Shrewsbury or Oldham (12) | 71.0% |
| Both teams to score | 51.1% |
| Shrewsbury clean sheet | 31.2% |
| Oldham clean sheet | 27.1% |
| Score | Chance |
|---|---|
| Shrewsbury 1-1 Oldham | 13.8% |
| Shrewsbury 1-0 Oldham | 10.1% |
| Shrewsbury 0-0 Oldham | 9.4% |
| Shrewsbury 0-1 Oldham | 8.9% |
| Shrewsbury 2-1 Oldham | 8.4% |
| Shrewsbury 1-2 Oldham | 7.5% |
| Shrewsbury 2-0 Oldham | 7.2% |
| Shrewsbury 0-2 Oldham | 5.7% |
| Stat | Shrewsbury | Oldham | Match total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.30 | 1.16 | 2.47 |
| Corners | 5.2 | 4.3 | 9.5 |
| Shots | 13.2 | 11.8 | 24.9 |
| Shots on target | 4.2 | 3.9 | 8.0 |
| Yellow cards | 2.1 | 2.0 | 4.1 |
| Fouls | 11.2 | 12.4 | 23.6 |
| Tackles | 13.2 | 14.4 | 27.6 |
| Stat | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | Over 0.5 | 90.6% | 9.4% |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | 71.6% | 28.4% |
| Goals | Over 2.5 | 44.8% | 55.2% |
| Goals | Over 3.5 | 23.6% | 76.4% |
| Goals | Over 4.5 | 10.5% | 89.5% |
| Corners | Over 7.5 | 73.1% | 26.9% |
| Corners | Over 8.5 | 60.7% | 39.3% |
| Corners | Over 9.5 | 47.7% | 52.3% |
| Corners | Over 10.5 | 35.4% | 64.6% |
| Corners | Over 11.5 | 24.7% | 75.3% |
| Corners | Over 12.5 | 16.3% | 83.7% |
| Shots | Over 18.5 | 90.6% | 9.5% |
| Shots | Over 20.5 | 81.0% | 19.0% |
| Shots | Over 22.5 | 67.7% | 32.3% |
| Shots | Over 24.5 | 52.0% | 48.0% |
| Shots | Over 26.5 | 36.5% | 63.5% |
| Shots on target | Over 6.5 | 68.8% | 31.2% |
| Shots on target | Over 7.5 | 54.8% | 45.2% |
| Shots on target | Over 8.5 | 40.9% | 59.1% |
| Shots on target | Over 9.5 | 28.4% | 71.6% |
| Shots on target | Over 10.5 | 18.5% | 81.5% |
| Yellow cards | Over 2.5 | 77.7% | 22.4% |
| Yellow cards | Over 3.5 | 58.6% | 41.4% |
| Yellow cards | Over 4.5 | 39.1% | 60.9% |
| Yellow cards | Over 5.5 | 23.1% | 76.9% |
| Yellow cards | Over 6.5 | 12.2% | 87.8% |
| Fouls | Over 19.5 | 79.8% | 20.3% |
| Fouls | Over 21.5 | 65.6% | 34.4% |
| Fouls | Over 23.5 | 49.4% | 50.6% |
| Fouls | Over 25.5 | 33.6% | 66.4% |
| Fouls | Over 27.5 | 20.7% | 79.3% |
| Tackles | Over 16.5 | 98.8% | 1.2% |
| Tackles | Over 18.5 | 96.5% | 3.5% |
| Tackles | Over 20.5 | 91.6% | 8.4% |
| Tackles | Over 22.5 | 83.4% | 16.7% |
| Tackles | Over 24.5 | 71.5% | 28.5% |
Our model makes Shrewsbury favourites in Shrewsbury v Oldham on Saturday 14 November, with a 39% chance of a home win, 29% for the draw and 32% for Oldham, from projected goals of 1.30 for Shrewsbury and 1.16 for Oldham.
The most likely score in Shrewsbury v Oldham is 1-1 at 14%, ahead of 1-0 at 10% and 0-0 at 9%, from our model's projection of 1.30 goals for Shrewsbury and 1.16 for Oldham, which spreads the rest across every other scoreline.
Both teams score in 51% of the outcomes our model gives Shrewsbury v Oldham, making yes the likelier answer, with Shrewsbury keeping a clean sheet 31% of the time and Oldham 27%, from projected goals of 1.30 and 1.16.
Our model projects 2.47 goals in Shrewsbury v Oldham, with over 1.5 goals at 72% and over 2.5 at 45%, and two goals the likeliest total at 27%.
Our model expects 9.5 corners in Shrewsbury v Oldham on Saturday 14 November, 5.2 for Shrewsbury and 4.3 for Oldham, putting over 8.5 corners at 61% and over 9.5 at 48%.
Our model expects 4.1 yellow cards in Shrewsbury v Oldham on Saturday 14 November, 2.1 for Shrewsbury and 2.0 for Oldham, putting over 3.5 cards at 59% and over 4.5 at 39%.
The Shrewsbury v Oldham simulation turns our projections of 1.30 goals for Shrewsbury and 1.16 for Oldham into an exact chance for every scoreline, adds those up for the result, both teams to score and the goal lines, then draws 10,000 sample matches from the same model to show the run settling on them.