Win, draw and score chances for Hull v Brighton, with the goals, corners, shots and cards lines, from our projection model.
Updated 14 November 2026, with the latest team projections.
| Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|
| Hull win | 15.1% |
| Draw | 22.1% |
| Brighton win | 62.9% |
| Hull or draw (1X) | 37.1% |
| Brighton or draw (X2) | 85.0% |
| Hull or Brighton (12) | 77.9% |
| Both teams to score | 49.7% |
| Hull clean sheet | 14.1% |
| Brighton clean sheet | 42.7% |
| Score | Chance |
|---|---|
| Hull 0-2 Brighton | 11.6% |
| Hull 0-1 Brighton | 11.3% |
| Hull 1-1 Brighton | 10.5% |
| Hull 1-2 Brighton | 9.8% |
| Hull 0-3 Brighton | 7.6% |
| Hull 0-0 Brighton | 6.5% |
| Hull 1-3 Brighton | 6.4% |
| Hull 1-0 Brighton | 4.6% |
| Stat | Hull | Brighton | Match total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.85 | 1.96 | 2.81 |
| Corners | 4.3 | 5.2 | 9.4 |
| Shots | 9.3 | 16.9 | 26.2 |
| Shots on target | 2.9 | 5.3 | 8.2 |
| Yellow cards | 1.6 | 1.8 | 3.5 |
| Fouls | 9.6 | 10.9 | 20.6 |
| Tackles | 14.7 | 14.0 | 28.7 |
| Stat | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | Over 0.5 | 93.5% | 6.5% |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | 77.6% | 22.4% |
| Goals | Over 2.5 | 53.3% | 46.7% |
| Goals | Over 3.5 | 31.0% | 69.0% |
| Goals | Over 4.5 | 15.4% | 84.6% |
| Corners | Over 7.5 | 72.1% | 28.0% |
| Corners | Over 8.5 | 59.5% | 40.5% |
| Corners | Over 9.5 | 46.5% | 53.5% |
| Corners | Over 10.5 | 34.2% | 65.8% |
| Corners | Over 11.5 | 23.7% | 76.3% |
| Corners | Over 12.5 | 15.5% | 84.5% |
| Shots | Over 18.5 | 94.0% | 6.0% |
| Shots | Over 20.5 | 87.0% | 13.0% |
| Shots | Over 22.5 | 76.1% | 23.9% |
| Shots | Over 24.5 | 62.0% | 38.0% |
| Shots | Over 26.5 | 46.5% | 53.5% |
| Shots on target | Over 6.5 | 71.3% | 28.7% |
| Shots on target | Over 7.5 | 57.8% | 42.2% |
| Shots on target | Over 8.5 | 43.9% | 56.2% |
| Shots on target | Over 9.5 | 31.1% | 68.9% |
| Shots on target | Over 10.5 | 20.7% | 79.3% |
| Yellow cards | Over 2.5 | 67.4% | 32.6% |
| Yellow cards | Over 3.5 | 45.8% | 54.2% |
| Yellow cards | Over 4.5 | 27.0% | 73.0% |
| Yellow cards | Over 5.5 | 13.9% | 86.1% |
| Yellow cards | Over 6.5 | 6.3% | 93.7% |
| Fouls | Over 19.5 | 58.0% | 42.0% |
| Fouls | Over 21.5 | 40.5% | 59.5% |
| Fouls | Over 23.5 | 25.2% | 74.8% |
| Fouls | Over 25.5 | 14.0% | 86.1% |
| Fouls | Over 27.5 | 6.9% | 93.2% |
| Tackles | Over 16.5 | 99.3% | 0.7% |
| Tackles | Over 18.5 | 97.7% | 2.3% |
| Tackles | Over 20.5 | 94.3% | 5.7% |
| Tackles | Over 22.5 | 87.9% | 12.1% |
| Tackles | Over 24.5 | 77.9% | 22.1% |
Our model makes Brighton favourites in Hull v Brighton on Sunday 22 November, with a 63% chance of an away win, 22% for the draw and 15% for Hull, from projected goals of 1.96 for Brighton and 0.85 for Hull.
The most likely score in Hull v Brighton is 0-2 at 12%, ahead of 0-1 at 11% and 1-1 at 11%, from our model's projection of 0.85 goals for Hull and 1.96 for Brighton, which spreads the rest across every other scoreline.
Our model leans against both teams scoring in Hull v Brighton, at 50% yes and 50% no, with Hull keeping a clean sheet 14% of the time and Brighton 43%, from projected goals of 0.85 and 1.96.
Our model projects 2.81 goals in Hull v Brighton, with over 2.5 goals at 53% and over 3.5 at 31%, and two goals the likeliest total at 24%.
Our model expects 9.4 corners in Hull v Brighton on Sunday 22 November, 4.3 for Hull and 5.2 for Brighton, putting over 8.5 corners at 60% and over 9.5 at 46%.
Our model expects 3.5 yellow cards in Hull v Brighton on Sunday 22 November, 1.6 for Hull and 1.8 for Brighton, putting over 2.5 cards at 67% and over 3.5 at 46%.
The Hull v Brighton simulation turns our projections of 0.85 goals for Hull and 1.96 for Brighton into an exact chance for every scoreline, adds those up for the result, both teams to score and the goal lines, then draws 10,000 sample matches from the same model to show the run settling on them.