Win, draw and score chances for Troyes v Le Havre, with the goals, corners, shots and cards lines, from our projection model.
Updated 14 November 2026, with the latest team projections.
| Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|
| Troyes win | 42.7% |
| Draw | 27.3% |
| Le Havre win | 30.0% |
| Troyes or draw (1X) | 70.0% |
| Le Havre or draw (X2) | 57.3% |
| Troyes or Le Havre (12) | 72.7% |
| Both teams to score | 53.1% |
| Troyes clean sheet | 31.2% |
| Le Havre clean sheet | 23.8% |
| Score | Chance |
|---|---|
| Troyes 1-1 Le Havre | 13.0% |
| Troyes 1-0 Le Havre | 10.0% |
| Troyes 2-1 Le Havre | 8.9% |
| Troyes 0-0 Le Havre | 8.0% |
| Troyes 0-1 Le Havre | 8.0% |
| Troyes 2-0 Le Havre | 7.7% |
| Troyes 1-2 Le Havre | 7.2% |
| Troyes 2-2 Le Havre | 5.2% |
| Stat | Troyes | Le Havre | Match total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.44 | 1.16 | 2.60 |
| Corners | 5.6 | 3.5 | 9.1 |
| Shots | 14.1 | 10.6 | 24.7 |
| Shots on target | 4.7 | 3.7 | 8.5 |
| Yellow cards | 1.8 | 1.8 | 3.6 |
| Fouls | 12.1 | 14.1 | 26.1 |
| Tackles | 15.4 | 16.9 | 32.2 |
| Stat | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | Over 0.5 | 92.0% | 8.0% |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | 73.9% | 26.1% |
| Goals | Over 2.5 | 48.2% | 51.8% |
| Goals | Over 3.5 | 26.4% | 73.6% |
| Goals | Over 4.5 | 12.3% | 87.7% |
| Corners | Over 7.5 | 68.9% | 31.1% |
| Corners | Over 8.5 | 55.9% | 44.1% |
| Corners | Over 9.5 | 42.7% | 57.3% |
| Corners | Over 10.5 | 30.7% | 69.3% |
| Corners | Over 11.5 | 20.8% | 79.2% |
| Corners | Over 12.5 | 13.3% | 86.8% |
| Shots | Over 18.5 | 89.7% | 10.3% |
| Shots | Over 20.5 | 79.7% | 20.3% |
| Shots | Over 22.5 | 65.9% | 34.1% |
| Shots | Over 24.5 | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Shots | Over 26.5 | 34.5% | 65.5% |
| Shots on target | Over 6.5 | 74.2% | 25.8% |
| Shots on target | Over 7.5 | 61.2% | 38.8% |
| Shots on target | Over 8.5 | 47.4% | 52.6% |
| Shots on target | Over 9.5 | 34.5% | 65.6% |
| Shots on target | Over 10.5 | 23.5% | 76.6% |
| Yellow cards | Over 2.5 | 69.1% | 30.9% |
| Yellow cards | Over 3.5 | 47.7% | 52.3% |
| Yellow cards | Over 4.5 | 28.7% | 71.4% |
| Yellow cards | Over 5.5 | 15.1% | 84.9% |
| Yellow cards | Over 6.5 | 7.0% | 93.0% |
| Fouls | Over 19.5 | 90.8% | 9.2% |
| Fouls | Over 21.5 | 81.7% | 18.3% |
| Fouls | Over 23.5 | 68.9% | 31.1% |
| Fouls | Over 25.5 | 53.7% | 46.3% |
| Fouls | Over 27.5 | 38.4% | 61.6% |
| Tackles | Over 16.5 | 99.9% | 0.1% |
| Tackles | Over 18.5 | 99.5% | 0.5% |
| Tackles | Over 20.5 | 98.5% | 1.5% |
| Tackles | Over 22.5 | 96.2% | 3.8% |
| Tackles | Over 24.5 | 91.8% | 8.2% |
Our model makes Troyes favourites in Troyes v Le Havre on Friday 20 November, with a 43% chance of a home win, 27% for the draw and 30% for Le Havre, from projected goals of 1.44 for Troyes and 1.16 for Le Havre.
The most likely score in Troyes v Le Havre is 1-1 at 13%, ahead of 1-0 at 10% and 2-1 at 9%, from our model's projection of 1.44 goals for Troyes and 1.16 for Le Havre, which spreads the rest across every other scoreline.
Both teams score in 53% of the outcomes our model gives Troyes v Le Havre, making yes the likelier answer, with Troyes keeping a clean sheet 31% of the time and Le Havre 24%, from projected goals of 1.44 and 1.16.
Our model projects 2.60 goals in Troyes v Le Havre, with over 2.5 goals at 48% and over 3.5 at 26%, and two goals the likeliest total at 26%.
Our model expects 9.1 corners in Troyes v Le Havre on Friday 20 November, 5.6 for Troyes and 3.5 for Le Havre, putting over 8.5 corners at 56% and over 9.5 at 43%.
Our model expects 3.6 yellow cards in Troyes v Le Havre on Friday 20 November, 1.8 for Troyes and 1.8 for Le Havre, putting over 3.5 cards at 48% and over 4.5 at 29%.
The Troyes v Le Havre simulation turns our projections of 1.44 goals for Troyes and 1.16 for Le Havre into an exact chance for every scoreline, adds those up for the result, both teams to score and the goal lines, then draws 10,000 sample matches from the same model to show the run settling on them.