The players most likely to be booked in today's matches, by the Statz projections model - one player per fixture, built into ready-made doubles and trebles, priced across our bookmakers with a one-tap betslip on the combos the books can take.
The referees showing the most yellow cards per game this season, and the match each takes charge of in the next seven days - a card-happy referee lifts every bookings line in the game.
Every referee profiled on Statz
Every pick starts in the Statz projections model, which prices every player in a covered fixture for the chance of a booking - from their foul volume, their tackling workload, their role in the side, and the match the model expects. One player per fixture qualifies - the likeliest card in each game - and the day's strongest candidates are combined into a double and, when the slate is deep enough, a treble.
Each combo is then priced as a single bet on the one bookmaker that covers every leg, with a betslip link that loads all the legs in one tap. Prices are correct at the time of build and move through the day - the price at the bookmaker is the one that counts.
Cards are the highest-variance market in this family. Even the most booked player in Europe clears fifty-fifty in only his very best weeks, which is why card prices run bigger than fouls or shots prices - and why these combos should be treated as data-backed starting points, not banker multiples. Check the team news, and only ever stake what you are comfortable losing.
Bookings follow fouls, and fouls follow the ball. Ball-winning midfielders lead every card table because they make the most challenges in the most congested part of the pitch; full-backs get booked when they are matched against a winger quick enough to force panic tackles; centre-backs pick up their cards as the last man, where the same foul that costs a midfielder nothing costs a defender a mandatory yellow.
Context then piles on top of role. A fixture with rivalry heat carries more cards than its fouls suggest; a team that expects to spend the evening chasing the ball fouls more than one that keeps it; and a booking-prone player who is one caution from a suspension sometimes plays like a reformed character. Our projections weigh the numbers - fouls per game, cards per game, opponent profile - rather than the reputation.
The spread between referees is enormous: the strictest officials in our data show roughly twice as many yellows per game as the most lenient ones, for the same level of fouling. That gap is bigger than the difference between most players you would consider backing, which is why the bookings angle starts with the man holding the whistle.
The table on this page lists the referees showing the most yellows per game this season alongside their next assignment, so you can see at a glance when a card-happy official meets a card-happy fixture. Every official we cover has a full profile in our referees section, with fouls and cards per game across the season.
A "to be shown a card" bet settles the moment your player is cautioned, and at most bookmakers a straight red card counts too - the market is a card of either colour, shown between the first whistle and the end of stoppage time. A second yellow still settles the bet once: the first caution already won it.
Two traps are worth knowing. Cards shown after the full-time whistle, or to a player on the bench, do not count at most books - the player has to be on the pitch when he is carded. And unlike fouls or shots, a booking cannot be inherited: substitute-friendly rules such as bet365's Sub On Play On do not extend to card markets, so if your player is withdrawn on a clean sheet of cautions, the leg dies with the substitution. If he never takes the pitch at all, the bet is void at most books. Settlement terms differ between bookmakers - always check your book's rules.
Every leg above can be rebuilt from the same numbers we used to pick it. The referee profiles carry cards and fouls per game for every official we track, the team discipline leaderboards show which sides collect and force the most bookings, and the Bet Builder tool prices any player in a covered fixture against the model - so you can rebuild today's double with your own legs, or disagree with ours, from the same data.
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Ready-made bookings combos for today's covered matches: the player most likely to be shown a card in each fixture by the Statz projections, combined into a double and treble, each priced as a single bet with a one-tap betslip where the bookmaker supports it.
Projection first: the model prices every player in a covered fixture for the chance of a booking from their fouls, tackles, position, cards record and the opponent they face. One player per fixture qualifies, fixtures rank against each other, and the top of the ranking makes the day's combos. Picks are lineup-aware - built from confirmed teams when available and predicted elevens before that.
At most bookmakers, yes - the market is usually settled as "to be shown a card", and a straight red is a card. A second yellow settles the bet at the first caution. Card markets are one of the places where settlement wording genuinely differs between books, so check the market name at your bookmaker.
The bet stands on what happened while he played: if he was carded before coming off, it has already won; if not, it loses when the match ends. Unlike fouls, shots and tackles, a card cannot be inherited by the replacement - Super Sub style rules do not apply to bookings. A player who takes no part at all is void at most books.
Because two yellows is a red card and an early shower - the market has one threshold by construction. That is also why the bookings page leans on the referee block for its safer angle rather than a lower line: the closest thing to a banker in this market is a lenient-tackling side meeting a strict official.
Player card markets are carried by the books our odds feeds track - bet365, Ladbrokes, Coral, Midnite and BoyleSports among them - and coverage varies by fixture; a few books price no card markets at all. Each combo on this page is priced on the single book that covers every leg that day, which is also where the one-tap betslip points.
More than for any other player market. The strictest referees in our data show roughly double the yellows per game of the most lenient, for similar fouling - a bigger swing than the gap between most players you would back. The referees table on this page exists for exactly that reason.
18+. Please gamble responsibly - begambleaware.org. Projections are probabilities, not promises; most multis lose. Nothing here is advice to bet.