No, Unión Santa Fe have taken 34 points over 28 Liga Profesional de Fútbol games in 2026, 6.84 fewer than the 40.84 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their performances deserve better than their results.
Unión Santa Fe create 1.33 expected goals (xG) per game over 28 Liga Profesional de Fútbol games in 2026, 37.30 in all, and have scored 41 goals from those chances, 3.70 more than that xG would expect.
Unión Santa Fe allow 1.23 expected goals against (xGA) per game over 28 Liga Profesional de Fútbol games in 2026, 34.45 in all, and have conceded 41 goals from those chances, 6.55 more than that xGA would expect.
Cristian Tarragona has the most expected goals (xG) for Unión Santa Fe over 28 Liga Profesional de Fútbol games in 2026, 9.80 xG in 27 appearances, and has scored 13 goals; Marcelo Estigarribia is next with 6.74 xG.
Unión Santa Fe have taken 6.8 points fewer than their chances warranted over 28 games: +3.7 goals against their xG, and -6.6 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. The performances are better than the results, which is the side of this table where prices tend to be generous.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/ | 28 | 37.30 | 41 | +3.70 | 34.45 | 41 | -6.55 | 40.84 | 34 | -6.84 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 10.14 | 15 | +4.86 | 13.38 | 17 | -3.62 | 12.05 | 12 | -0.05 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 4.87 | 5 | +0.13 | 8.78 | 11 | -2.22 | 4.97 | 3 | -1.97 |
| Home | 14 | 22.55 | 22 | -0.55 | 13.16 | 15 | -1.84 | 25.38 | 22 | -3.38 |
| Away | 14 | 14.75 | 19 | +4.25 | 21.29 | 26 | -4.71 | 15.46 | 12 | -3.46 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Defensa y Justicia (H) | 0-2 | 1.82 | 2.28 | 1.14 | 0 | L |
| 3 Oct | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Boca Juniors (A) | 3-0 | 0.17 | 2.58 | 0.14 | 0 | L |
| 19 Sep | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Independiente (H) | 1-2 | 1.44 | 0.36 | 2.20 | 0 | W |
| 12 Sep | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Talleres Córdoba (A) | 2-1 | 0.79 | 2.61 | 0.42 | 0 | L |
| 8 Sep | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Instituto (H) | 3-2 | 0.65 | 0.95 | 1.07 | 3 | L |
| 28 Aug | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Sarmiento (H) | 4-1 | 1.18 | 0.65 | 1.77 | 3 | W |
| 21 Aug | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Aldosivi (A) | 1-3 | 1.37 | 0.45 | 2.08 | 3 | W |
| 15 Aug | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | San Lorenzo (A) | 1-0 | 0.25 | 1.01 | 0.63 | 0 | L |
| 11 Aug | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Central Cordoba SdE (H) | 1-2 | 2.03 | 1.13 | 1.96 | 0 | W |
| 6 Aug | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Lanús (H) | 2-1 | 0.44 | 1.36 | 0.64 | 3 | L |
| 1 Aug | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza (A) | 2-0 | 1.02 | 1.71 | 0.92 | 0 | L |
| 25 Jul | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Platense (A) | 2-2 | 1.30 | 1.50 | 1.23 | 1 | L |
| 2 May | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Talleres Córdoba (H) | 1-1 | 1.80 | 0.58 | 2.22 | 1 | W |
| 27 Apr | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Vélez Sarsfield (A) | 2-2 | 1.42 | 2.68 | 0.73 | 1 | L |
| 17 Apr | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Newell's Old Boys (H) | 2-3 | 2.33 | 0.51 | 2.50 | 0 | W |
| 11 Apr | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Estudiantes (A) | 2-1 | 0.74 | 0.91 | 1.18 | 0 | L |
| 3 Apr | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Deportivo Riestra (H) | 2-0 | 2.29 | 0.83 | 2.28 | 3 | W |
| 21 Mar | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Defensa y Justicia (A) | 2-0 | 1.13 | 1.42 | 1.17 | 0 | L |
| 16 Mar | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Boca Juniors (H) | 1-1 | 1.11 | 1.91 | 0.88 | 1 | L |
| 10 Mar | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Independiente (A) | 4-4 | 2.21 | 1.74 | 1.67 | 1 | W |
| 1 Mar | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Instituto (A) | 1-2 | 1.06 | 0.88 | 1.48 | 3 | W |
| 26 Feb | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Sarmiento (A) | 1-3 | 1.36 | 1.39 | 1.35 | 3 | L |
| 23 Feb | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Aldosivi (H) | 1-0 | 1.93 | 0.96 | 2.02 | 3 | W |
| 14 Feb | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | San Lorenzo (H) | 0-0 | 2.01 | 0.49 | 2.39 | 1 | W |
| 7 Feb | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Central Cordoba SdE (A) | 1-0 | 0.92 | 0.60 | 1.60 | 0 | W |
| 3 Feb | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza (H) | 4-0 | 2.17 | 0.27 | 2.60 | 3 | W |
| 29 Jan | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Lanús (A) | 2-1 | 1.01 | 1.81 | 0.86 | 0 | L |
| 22 Jan | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Platense (H) | 0-0 | 1.35 | 0.88 | 1.71 | 1 | W |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cristian Tarragona | attacker | 27 | 2359 | 9.80 | 13 | +3.20 | 0.37 |
| Lucas Menossi | midfielder | 14 | 975 | 1.04 | 4 | +2.96 | 0.10 |
| Eric Ramírez | attacker | 10 | 202 | 0.41 | 2 | +1.59 | 0.18 |
| Diego Díaz | attacker | 6 | 95 | 0.39 | 1 | +0.61 | 0.37 |
| Joaquín Mosqueira | midfielder | 8 | 423 | 0.40 | 1 | +0.60 | 0.09 |
| Juan Pablo Ludueña | defender | 27 | 2312 | 0.56 | 1 | +0.44 | 0.02 |
| Julián Palacios | midfielder | 25 | 1941 | 2.71 | 3 | +0.29 | 0.13 |
| Rafael Profini | midfielder | 16 | 1329 | 0.71 | 1 | +0.29 | 0.05 |
| Brahian David Cuello | midfielder | 21 | 1182 | 2.79 | 3 | +0.21 | 0.21 |
| Mateo Del Blanco | defender | 16 | 1398 | 1.87 | 2 | +0.13 | 0.12 |
| Agustín Colazo | attacker | 6 | 181 | 0.90 | 1 | +0.10 | 0.45 |
| Maizon Rodríguez | defender | 21 | 1822 | 1.26 | 1 | -0.26 | 0.06 |
| Ignacio Malcorra | midfielder | 10 | 715 | 1.31 | 1 | -0.31 | 0.17 |
| Augusto Solari | midfielder | 8 | 170 | 0.61 | 0 | -0.61 | 0.32 |
| Nicolás Palavecino | midfielder | 7 | 197 | 0.63 | 0 | -0.63 | 0.29 |
| Franco Fragapane | attacker | 6 | 191 | 0.65 | 0 | -0.65 | 0.30 |
| Mauro Pittón | midfielder | 16 | 1402 | 0.75 | 0 | -0.75 | 0.05 |
| Misael Aguirre | attacker | 19 | 574 | 2.32 | 1 | -1.32 | 0.36 |
| Marcelo Estigarribia | attacker | 26 | 1741 | 6.74 | 5 | -1.74 | 0.35 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vélez Sarsfield | 29 | 32.4 | 36 | 31.3 | 25 | 40.4 | 52 | +11.6 |
| 2 | Argentinos Juniors | 29 | 37.2 | 34 | 27 | 24 | 44.5 | 54 | +9.5 |
| 3 | Belgrano | 29 | 35.3 | 31 | 35.5 | 23 | 39.1 | 48 | +8.9 |
| 4 | Independiente Rivadavia | 29 | 40.2 | 46 | 31.2 | 36 | 45.2 | 53 | +7.8 |
| 5 | Gimnasia La Plata | 29 | 39.2 | 38 | 35.1 | 37 | 40.7 | 48 | +7.3 |
| 6 | Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza | 29 | 28.7 | 29 | 41 | 35 | 31.7 | 39 | +7.3 |
| 7 | Rosario Central | 29 | 42.2 | 40 | 31.9 | 27 | 45.8 | 53 | +7.2 |
| 8 | Sarmiento | 28 | 28.9 | 34 | 39.3 | 38 | 32.7 | 39 | +6.3 |
| 9 | San Lorenzo | 29 | 26.2 | 21 | 34.9 | 26 | 33.4 | 39 | +5.6 |
| 10 | Barracas Central | 28 | 22.9 | 25 | 30.1 | 24 | 33.7 | 39 | +5.3 |
| 11 | Independiente | 29 | 30.9 | 36 | 34.1 | 33 | 38.1 | 43 | +4.9 |
| 12 | Huracán | 29 | 32.1 | 29 | 33 | 25 | 39 | 41 | +2 |
| 13 | Estudiantes | 29 | 38.4 | 35 | 31.3 | 22 | 43.2 | 45 | +1.8 |
| 14 | Defensa y Justicia | 29 | 35.6 | 36 | 33.1 | 33 | 41.4 | 43 | +1.6 |
| 15 | Lanús | 29 | 37.7 | 34 | 30 | 24 | 45.9 | 47 | +1.1 |
| 16 | Boca Juniors | 29 | 41.7 | 43 | 21.7 | 23 | 53.2 | 54 | +0.8 |
| 17 | Newell's Old Boys | 28 | 26 | 26 | 37.1 | 36 | 32 | 32 | -0 |
| 18 | Instituto | 29 | 39.8 | 37 | 22.9 | 27 | 50.6 | 50 | -0.6 |
| 19 | Central Cordoba SdE | 28 | 26.2 | 21 | 42.4 | 37 | 27.7 | 26 | -1.7 |
| 20 | Banfield | 29 | 33.1 | 31 | 46.7 | 38 | 32.8 | 31 | -1.8 |
| 21 | Talleres Córdoba | 29 | 31.8 | 29 | 35.1 | 33 | 37.3 | 35 | -2.3 |
| 22 | River Plate | 29 | 48.3 | 40 | 22.8 | 25 | 54.5 | 49 | -5.5 |
| 23 | Unión Santa Fe | 28 | 37.3 | 41 | 34.5 | 41 | 40.8 | 34 | -6.8 |
| 24 | Racing Club | 29 | 35.8 | 31 | 35.1 | 35 | 40.2 | 33 | -7.2 |
| 25 | Platense | 29 | 31.2 | 22 | 33.8 | 34 | 37 | 27 | -10 |
| 26 | Atlético Tucumán | 29 | 31.1 | 27 | 31.9 | 33 | 38.1 | 28 | -10.1 |
| 27 | Tigre | 29 | 37.5 | 31 | 29.7 | 30 | 44.8 | 33 | -11.8 |
| 28 | Aldosivi | 29 | 26.3 | 20 | 41.8 | 41 | 29.5 | 16 | -13.5 |
| 29 | Deportivo Riestra | 28 | 24.3 | 14 | 26 | 24 | 36.2 | 22 | -14.2 |
| 30 | Estudiantes de Río Cuarto | 29 | 24.8 | 13 | 42.8 | 41 | 29.1 | 14 | -15.1 |