No, Tijuana have taken 16 points over 11 Liga MX games in 2026/2027, 2.19 fewer than the 18.19 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their performances deserve better than their results.
Tijuana create 1.75 expected goals (xG) per game over 11 Liga MX games in 2026/2027, 19.23 in all, and have scored 15 goals from those chances, 4.23 fewer than that xG would expect.
Tijuana allow 1.32 expected goals against (xGA) per game over 11 Liga MX games in 2026/2027, 14.48 in all, and have conceded 14 goals from those chances, 0.48 fewer than that xGA would expect.
Mourad El Ghezouani has the most expected goals (xG) for Tijuana over 11 Liga MX games in 2026/2027, 0.85 xG in 10 appearances, and has scored 4 goals; Ignacio Rivero is next with 0.59 xG.
Tijuana have taken 2.2 points fewer than their chances warranted over 11 games: -4.2 goals against their xG, and +0.5 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. The performances are better than the results, which is the side of this table where prices tend to be generous.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/27 | 11 | 19.23 | 15 | -4.23 | 14.48 | 14 | +0.48 | 18.19 | 16 | -2.19 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 17.40 | 12 | -5.40 | 13.98 | 13 | +0.98 | 15.89 | 13 | -2.89 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 8.91 | 5 | -3.91 | 8.48 | 7 | +1.48 | 7.47 | 3 | -4.47 |
| Home | 7 | 14.36 | 10 | -4.36 | 7.52 | 6 | +1.52 | 14.12 | 13 | -1.12 |
| Away | 4 | 4.87 | 5 | +0.13 | 6.96 | 8 | -1.04 | 4.07 | 3 | -1.07 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct | Liga MX | Puebla (H) | 0-0 | 1.43 | 0.50 | 2.08 | 1 | W |
| 10 Oct | Liga MX | Juárez (A) | 1-1 | 1.27 | 1.51 | 1.21 | 1 | L |
| 26 Sep | Liga MX | Atlas (H) | 2-3 | 2.03 | 2.72 | 1.04 | 0 | L |
| 21 Sep | Liga MX | Pachuca (A) | 2-2 | 2.05 | 2.72 | 1.06 | 1 | L |
| 12 Sep | Liga MX | Querétaro (H) | 0-1 | 2.13 | 1.03 | 2.08 | 0 | W |
| 29 Aug | Liga MX | Pumas UNAM (H) | 2-0 | 2.63 | 0.45 | 2.63 | 3 | W |
| 22 Aug | Liga MX | Guadalajara (A) | 5-2 | 1.22 | 2.03 | 0.89 | 0 | L |
| 17 Aug | Liga MX | Cruz Azul (H) | 2-1 | 1.87 | 1.14 | 1.86 | 3 | W |
| 1 Aug | Liga MX | Atlético San Luis (A) | 0-0 | 0.33 | 0.70 | 0.91 | 1 | D |
| 25 Jul | Liga MX | León (H) | 1-0 | 2.44 | 1.18 | 2.13 | 3 | W |
| 17 Jul | Liga MX | Tigres UANL (H) | 3-1 | 1.83 | 0.50 | 2.30 | 3 | W |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gilberto Mora | midfielder | 7 | 498 | 0.00 | 5 | +5.00 | 0.00 |
| Mourad El Ghezouani | attacker | 10 | 620 | 0.85 | 4 | +3.15 | 0.12 |
| Ignacio Rivero | midfielder | 8 | 479 | 0.59 | 2 | +1.41 | 0.11 |
| Alejandro Gómez | defender | 11 | 990 | 0.00 | 1 | +1.00 | 0.00 |
| Ramiro Árciga | midfielder | 11 | 745 | 0.11 | 1 | +0.89 | 0.01 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atlas | 12 | 17.5 | 19 | 20.4 | 18 | 14.8 | 21 | +6.2 |
| 2 | Querétaro | 11 | 17.5 | 15 | 19.2 | 13 | 14.6 | 20 | +5.4 |
| 3 | América | 11 | 21.5 | 27 | 14.9 | 14 | 19.3 | 24 | +4.7 |
| 4 | Puebla | 12 | 10.9 | 12 | 18.8 | 13 | 11.5 | 16 | +4.5 |
| 5 | Pumas UNAM | 12 | 13.7 | 19 | 18.3 | 20 | 13.7 | 16 | +2.3 |
| 6 | León | 12 | 17.8 | 18 | 18 | 17 | 16.5 | 18 | +1.5 |
| 7 | Guadalajara | 12 | 18.5 | 19 | 13.7 | 12 | 19.6 | 20 | +0.4 |
| 8 | Cruz Azul | 12 | 23.7 | 27 | 17 | 21 | 20.8 | 20 | -0.8 |
| 9 | Monterrey | 11 | 17.3 | 19 | 13.2 | 16 | 17.9 | 17 | -0.9 |
| 10 | Atlético San Luis | 12 | 14.7 | 16 | 19.4 | 21 | 14 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 | Toluca | 12 | 23.5 | 26 | 13.7 | 16 | 22.5 | 21 | -1.5 |
| 12 | Pachuca | 12 | 16.8 | 19 | 20.9 | 16 | 14.5 | 13 | -1.5 |
| 13 | Santos Laguna | 12 | 21 | 17 | 18.3 | 16 | 17.6 | 16 | -1.6 |
| 14 | Tijuana | 11 | 19.2 | 15 | 14.5 | 14 | 18.2 | 16 | -2.2 |
| 15 | Tigres UANL | 12 | 18.5 | 14 | 17.7 | 16 | 16.9 | 14 | -2.9 |
| 16 | Atlante | 12 | 14.6 | 13 | 18.1 | 19 | 14.1 | 11 | -3.1 |
| 17 | Juárez | 12 | 11.5 | 8 | 23.6 | 31 | 10.1 | 4 | -6.1 |
| 18 | Necaxa | 12 | 21 | 15 | 19.8 | 25 | 17.3 | 9 | -8.3 |