Rosario Central xG 2026

Rosario Central xG Questions

Are Rosario Central overperforming their xG this season?

Yes, Rosario Central have taken 53 points over 29 Liga Profesional de Fútbol games in 2026, 7.17 more than the 45.83 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their results are running ahead of their performances.

What is Rosario Central's xG per game this season?

Rosario Central create 1.45 expected goals (xG) per game over 29 Liga Profesional de Fútbol games in 2026, 42.17 in all, and have scored 40 goals from those chances, 2.17 fewer than that xG would expect.

What is Rosario Central's xGA per game this season?

Rosario Central allow 1.10 expected goals against (xGA) per game over 29 Liga Profesional de Fútbol games in 2026, 31.95 in all, and have conceded 27 goals from those chances, 4.95 fewer than that xGA would expect.

Who has the most xG for Rosario Central this season?

Ángel Di María has the most expected goals (xG) for Rosario Central over 29 Liga Profesional de Fútbol games in 2026, 7.83 xG in 23 appearances, and has scored 9 goals; Enzo Copetti is next with 7.25 xG.

Rosario Central expected goals 2026: 2026

Games: 29
Expected goals (xG): 42.17
Goals scored: 40
Goals minus xG: -2.17
Expected goals against (xGA): 31.95
Goals conceded: 27
xGA minus goals conceded: +4.95
Expected points (xPts): 45.83
Points: 53
Points minus xPts: +7.17
Verdict: Running a little hot

Are Rosario Central overperforming their expected goals?

Rosario Central have taken 7.2 points more than their chances warranted over 29 games: -2.2 goals against their xG, and +5.0 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. Finishing and goalkeeping at that level rarely hold, so the table is the optimistic reading of this side.

Next opponent: Huracán expected goals

Games: 29
Huracán xG per game: 1.11
Huracán xGA per game: 1.14
Points minus xPts: +1.97
Verdict: In line with expected goals

Rosario Central results against expected goals by form window and venue

Window	Games	xG	Goals	Goals minus xG	xGA	Conceded	xGA minus conceded	xPts	Points	Points minus xPts
26/	29	42.17	40	-2.17	31.95	27	+4.95	45.83	53	+7.17
Last 10	10	16.14	18	+1.86	10.79	9	+1.79	16.49	21	+4.51
Last 5	5	7.93	11	+3.07	6.34	3	+3.34	7.77	13	+5.23
Home	14	22.93	20	-2.93	10.91	11	-0.09	26.63	25	-1.63
Away	15	19.24	20	+0.76	21.04	16	+5.04	19.20	28	+8.80

Rosario Central expected goals match by match, 2026

Date	Competition	Opponent	Score	xG	xGA	xPts	Points	Deserved result
17 Oct	Liga Profesional de Fútbol	Atlético Tucumán (A)	2-3	0.99	1.64	0.93	3	L
11 Oct	Liga Profesional de Fútbol	Independiente Rivadavia (H)	5-0	2.95	0.61	2.63	3	W
6 Oct	Liga Profesional de Fútbol	Banfield (A)	1-1	0.78	2.29	0.51	1	L
20 Sep	Liga Profesional de Fútbol	Argentinos Juniors (H)	1-0	1.01	0.53	1.74	3	W
13 Sep	Liga Profesional de Fútbol	Tigre (A)	0-1	2.20	1.27	1.96	3	W
6 Sep	Liga Profesional de Fútbol	Newell's Old Boys (H)	1-1	0.50	0.20	1.56	1	D
29 Aug	Liga Profesional de Fútbol	Gimnasia La Plata (H)	1-2	0.69	0.64	1.35	0	D
25 Aug	Liga Profesional de Fútbol	Talleres Córdoba (A)	2-2	3.63	1.57	2.35	1	W
16 Aug	Liga Profesional de Fútbol	Barracas Central (A)	0-1	0.84	1.06	1.16	3	L
7 Aug	Liga Profesional de Fútbol	Aldosivi (H)	2-1	2.55	0.98	2.30	3	W
2 Aug	Liga Profesional de Fútbol	River Plate (A)	0-1	0.61	2.04	0.49	3	L
29 Jul	Liga Profesional de Fútbol	Racing Club (H)	0-0	1.30	0.43	2.04	1	W
23 Jul	Liga Profesional de Fútbol	Belgrano (A)	2-1	1.23	1.83	1.00	0	L
3 May	Liga Profesional de Fútbol	Tigre (H)	1-1	1.81	1.33	1.69	1	W
24 Apr	Liga Profesional de Fútbol	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto (A)	1-2	1.51	1.17	1.61	3	W
19 Apr	Liga Profesional de Fútbol	Sarmiento (H)	2-1	1.78	0.19	2.52	3	W
12 Apr	Liga Profesional de Fútbol	Huracán (A)	3-1	0.60	2.14	0.45	0	L
5 Apr	Liga Profesional de Fútbol	Atlético Tucumán (H)	2-1	2.39	1.43	1.95	3	W
23 Mar	Liga Profesional de Fútbol	Independiente Rivadavia (A)	2-0	1.14	0.58	1.80	0	W
15 Mar	Liga Profesional de Fútbol	Banfield (H)	2-1	1.75	1.02	1.87	3	W
11 Mar	Liga Profesional de Fútbol	Argentinos Juniors (A)	0-0	1.12	0.87	1.55	1	W
1 Mar	Liga Profesional de Fútbol	Newell's Old Boys (A)	0-2	1.78	0.61	2.19	3	W
25 Feb	Liga Profesional de Fútbol	Gimnasia La Plata (A)	1-2	1.26	1.54	1.18	3	L
21 Feb	Liga Profesional de Fútbol	Talleres Córdoba (H)	0-1	0.73	0.54	1.48	0	D
16 Feb	Liga Profesional de Fútbol	Barracas Central (H)	2-0	2.65	0.07	2.82	3	W
7 Feb	Liga Profesional de Fútbol	Aldosivi (A)	1-1	0.75	1.14	1.04	1	L
2 Feb	Liga Profesional de Fútbol	River Plate (H)	0-0	0.92	1.83	0.78	1	L
28 Jan	Liga Profesional de Fútbol	Racing Club (A)	1-2	0.80	1.29	0.98	3	L
25 Jan	Liga Profesional de Fútbol	Belgrano (H)	1-2	1.90	1.11	1.90	0	W

Rosario Central players: goals against expected goals, 2026

Player	Position	Apps	Minutes	xG	Goals	Goals minus xG	xG per 90
Gastón Ávila	defender	22	1818	1.06	4	+2.94	0.05
Ángel Di María	attacker	23	1809	7.83	9	+1.17	0.39
Julián Fernández	attacker	16	1028	1.93	3	+1.07	0.17
Marco Rubén	attacker	5	135	0.51	1	+0.49	0.34
Alan Rodríguez	midfielder	6	437	0.72	1	+0.28	0.15
Alexis Soto	defender	20	1200	0.85	1	+0.15	0.06
Jáminton Campaz	attacker	22	1556	4.09	4	-0.09	0.24
Ignacio Ovando	defender	24	2116	2.24	2	-0.24	0.10
Franco Ibarra	midfielder	25	2151	0.57	0	-0.57	0.02
Vicente Tomás Pizarro Durcudoy	midfielder	27	2205	1.66	1	-0.66	0.07
Giovanni Cantizano	attacker	13	747	1.85	1	-0.85	0.22
Agustín Sández	defender	22	1596	0.86	0	-0.86	0.05
Tomás Badaloni	attacker	7	277	0.95	0	-0.95	0.31
Enzo Giménez	midfielder	14	1246	2.02	1	-1.02	0.15
Alejo Veliz	attacker	14	1013	5.18	4	-1.18	0.46
Gaspar Duarte	attacker	14	441	1.59	0	-1.59	0.32
Enzo Copetti	attacker	25	1416	7.25	5	-2.25	0.46

Liga Profesional de Fútbol 2026: every team's points against expected points

#	Team	MP	xG	Goals	xGA	Conceded	xPts	Points	Points minus xPts
1	Vélez Sarsfield	29	32.4	36	31.3	25	40.4	52	+11.6
2	Argentinos Juniors	29	37.2	34	27	24	44.5	54	+9.5
3	Belgrano	29	35.3	31	35.5	23	39.1	48	+8.9
4	Independiente Rivadavia	29	40.2	46	31.2	36	45.2	53	+7.8
5	Gimnasia La Plata	29	39.2	38	35.1	37	40.7	48	+7.3
6	Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza	29	28.7	29	41	35	31.7	39	+7.3
7	Rosario Central	29	42.2	40	31.9	27	45.8	53	+7.2
8	Sarmiento	28	28.9	34	39.3	38	32.7	39	+6.3
9	San Lorenzo	29	26.2	21	34.9	26	33.4	39	+5.6
10	Barracas Central	28	22.9	25	30.1	24	33.7	39	+5.3
11	Independiente	29	30.9	36	34.1	33	38.1	43	+4.9
12	Huracán	29	32.1	29	33	25	39	41	+2
13	Estudiantes	29	38.4	35	31.3	22	43.2	45	+1.8
14	Defensa y Justicia	29	35.6	36	33.1	33	41.4	43	+1.6
15	Lanús	29	37.7	34	30	24	45.9	47	+1.1
16	Boca Juniors	29	41.7	43	21.7	23	53.2	54	+0.8
17	Newell's Old Boys	28	26	26	37.1	36	32	32	-0
18	Instituto	29	39.8	37	22.9	27	50.6	50	-0.6
19	Central Cordoba SdE	28	26.2	21	42.4	37	27.7	26	-1.7
20	Banfield	29	33.1	31	46.7	38	32.8	31	-1.8
21	Talleres Córdoba	29	31.8	29	35.1	33	37.3	35	-2.3
22	River Plate	29	48.3	40	22.8	25	54.5	49	-5.5
23	Unión Santa Fe	28	37.3	41	34.5	41	40.8	34	-6.8
24	Racing Club	29	35.8	31	35.1	35	40.2	33	-7.2
25	Platense	29	31.2	22	33.8	34	37	27	-10
26	Atlético Tucumán	29	31.1	27	31.9	33	38.1	28	-10.1
27	Tigre	29	37.5	31	29.7	30	44.8	33	-11.8
28	Aldosivi	29	26.3	20	41.8	41	29.5	16	-13.5
29	Deportivo Riestra	28	24.3	14	26	24	36.2	22	-14.2
30	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	29	24.8	13	42.8	41	29.1	14	-15.1

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