Boca Juniors xG 2026

Boca Juniors xG Questions

Are Boca Juniors overperforming their xG this season?

No, Boca Juniors have taken 54 points over 29 Liga Profesional de Fútbol games in 2026, within 0.85 of the 53.15 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their results match their performances.

What is Boca Juniors's xG per game this season?

Boca Juniors create 1.44 expected goals (xG) per game over 29 Liga Profesional de Fútbol games in 2026, 41.71 in all, and have scored 43 goals from those chances, 1.29 more than that xG would expect.

What is Boca Juniors's xGA per game this season?

Boca Juniors allow 0.75 expected goals against (xGA) per game over 29 Liga Profesional de Fútbol games in 2026, 21.71 in all, and have conceded 23 goals from those chances, 1.29 more than that xGA would expect.

Who has the most xG for Boca Juniors this season?

Miguel Merentiel has the most expected goals (xG) for Boca Juniors over 29 Liga Profesional de Fútbol games in 2026, 7.53 xG in 24 appearances, and has scored 10 goals; Santiago Ascacíbar is next with 4.77 xG.

Boca Juniors expected goals 2026: 2026

Games: 29
Expected goals (xG): 41.71
Goals scored: 43
Goals minus xG: +1.29
Expected goals against (xGA): 21.71
Goals conceded: 23
xGA minus goals conceded: -1.29
Expected points (xPts): 53.15
Points: 54
Points minus xPts: +0.85
Verdict: In line with expected goals

Are Boca Juniors overperforming their expected goals?

Boca Juniors's results and their chances agree, within 0.9 points of xPts over 29 games. There is no regression case either way. What the table says is roughly what they have earned.

Boca Juniors results against expected goals by form window and venue

Window	Games	xG	Goals	Goals minus xG	xGA	Conceded	xGA minus conceded	xPts	Points	Points minus xPts
26/	29	41.71	43	+1.29	21.71	23	-1.29	53.15	54	+0.85
Last 10	10	17.68	18	+0.32	8.17	9	-0.83	19.95	20	+0.05
Last 5	5	9.14	12	+2.86	2.52	4	-1.48	11.23	13	+1.77
Home	14	20.26	19	-1.26	7.63	6	+1.63	27.77	30	+2.23
Away	15	21.45	24	+2.55	14.08	17	-2.92	25.38	24	-1.38

Boca Juniors expected goals match by match, 2026

Date	Competition	Opponent	Score	xG	xGA	xPts	Points	Deserved result
17 Oct	Liga Profesional de Fútbol	Talleres Córdoba (H)	2-1	1.21	0.34	2.07	3	W
9 Oct	Liga Profesional de Fútbol	Instituto (A)	2-2	1.73	0.65	2.13	1	W
3 Oct	Liga Profesional de Fútbol	Unión Santa Fe (H)	3-0	2.58	0.17	2.76	3	W
20 Sep	Liga Profesional de Fútbol	San Lorenzo (A)	0-2	2.04	0.15	2.64	3	W
12 Sep	Liga Profesional de Fútbol	Central Cordoba SdE (H)	3-1	1.58	1.21	1.63	3	W
5 Sep	Liga Profesional de Fútbol	Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza (A)	2-2	1.48	1.77	1.20	1	L
29 Aug	Liga Profesional de Fútbol	Lanús (H)	1-0	1.30	1.35	1.33	3	L
24 Aug	Liga Profesional de Fútbol	Racing Club (A)	1-1	1.41	1.44	1.35	1	L
16 Aug	Liga Profesional de Fútbol	Platense (A)	1-1	2.17	0.57	2.40	1	W
8 Aug	Liga Profesional de Fútbol	Vélez Sarsfield (H)	1-1	2.18	0.52	2.44	1	W
5 Aug	Liga Profesional de Fútbol	Estudiantes (H)	1-0	1.00	0.52	1.73	3	W
2 Aug	Liga Profesional de Fútbol	Newell's Old Boys (A)	2-2	1.77	0.42	2.33	1	W
26 Jul	Liga Profesional de Fútbol	Deportivo Riestra (A)	3-0	0.69	1.43	0.81	0	L
2 May	Liga Profesional de Fútbol	Central Cordoba SdE (A)	1-2	1.44	1.46	1.37	3	L
23 Apr	Liga Profesional de Fútbol	Defensa y Justicia (A)	0-4	1.98	0.50	2.37	3	W
19 Apr	Liga Profesional de Fútbol	River Plate (A)	0-1	1.39	0.60	1.97	3	W
11 Apr	Liga Profesional de Fútbol	Independiente (H)	1-1	1.97	0.40	2.44	1	W
2 Apr	Liga Profesional de Fútbol	Talleres Córdoba (A)	0-1	0.98	0.71	1.56	3	W
22 Mar	Liga Profesional de Fútbol	Instituto (H)	2-0	2.25	0.92	2.21	3	W
16 Mar	Liga Profesional de Fútbol	Unión Santa Fe (A)	1-1	1.91	1.11	1.90	1	W
11 Mar	Liga Profesional de Fútbol	San Lorenzo (H)	1-1	1.01	0.50	1.77	1	W
5 Mar	Liga Profesional de Fútbol	Lanús (A)	0-3	0.60	0.52	1.36	3	D
28 Feb	Liga Profesional de Fútbol	Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza (H)	1-1	1.50	0.24	2.34	1	W
20 Feb	Liga Profesional de Fútbol	Racing Club (H)	0-0	0.37	0.34	1.25	1	D
15 Feb	Liga Profesional de Fútbol	Platense (H)	0-0	0.68	0.63	1.34	1	D
9 Feb	Liga Profesional de Fútbol	Vélez Sarsfield (A)	2-1	0.35	1.21	0.63	0	L
1 Feb	Liga Profesional de Fútbol	Newell's Old Boys (H)	2-0	1.41	0.32	2.22	3	W
29 Jan	Liga Profesional de Fútbol	Estudiantes (A)	2-1	1.51	1.54	1.36	0	L
25 Jan	Liga Profesional de Fútbol	Deportivo Riestra (H)	1-0	1.22	0.17	2.24	3	W

Boca Juniors players: goals against expected goals, 2026

Player	Position	Apps	Minutes	xG	Goals	Goals minus xG	xG per 90
Miguel Merentiel	attacker	24	1511	7.53	10	+2.47	0.45
Alan Velasco	attacker	16	719	2.39	4	+1.61	0.30
Santiago Ascacíbar	midfielder	24	1765	4.77	6	+1.23	0.24
Ángel Romero	attacker	14	578	0.93	2	+1.07	0.15
Iker Zufiaurre	attacker	9	222	0.12	1	+0.88	0.05
Lautaro Di Lollo	defender	23	1992	1.18	2	+0.82	0.05
Milton Giménez	attacker	8	267	2.31	3	+0.69	0.78
Leandro Lozano	defender	7	491	0.41	1	+0.59	0.08
Leonel Benjamín Flores	attacker	12	924	2.42	3	+0.58	0.24
Lautaro Blanco	defender	26	2169	0.57	1	+0.43	0.02
Kevin Zenón	attacker	8	375	0.91	1	+0.09	0.22
Leandro Paredes	midfielder	22	1510	2.32	2	-0.32	0.14
Tomás Belmonte	midfielder	15	817	1.34	1	-0.34	0.15
Exequiel Zeballos	attacker	7	457	1.46	1	-0.46	0.29
Ander Herrera	midfielder	9	467	0.51	0	-0.51	0.10
Enner Valencia	attacker	7	302	2.52	2	-0.52	0.75
Tomás Aranda	midfielder	19	1088	1.94	1	-0.94	0.16
Sebastián Villa	attacker	11	519	1.00	0	-1.00	0.17
Adam Bareiro	attacker	9	678	4.10	3	-1.10	0.54

Liga Profesional de Fútbol 2026: every team's points against expected points

#	Team	MP	xG	Goals	xGA	Conceded	xPts	Points	Points minus xPts
1	Vélez Sarsfield	29	32.4	36	31.3	25	40.4	52	+11.6
2	Argentinos Juniors	29	37.2	34	27	24	44.5	54	+9.5
3	Belgrano	29	35.3	31	35.5	23	39.1	48	+8.9
4	Independiente Rivadavia	29	40.2	46	31.2	36	45.2	53	+7.8
5	Gimnasia La Plata	29	39.2	38	35.1	37	40.7	48	+7.3
6	Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza	29	28.7	29	41	35	31.7	39	+7.3
7	Rosario Central	29	42.2	40	31.9	27	45.8	53	+7.2
8	Sarmiento	28	28.9	34	39.3	38	32.7	39	+6.3
9	San Lorenzo	29	26.2	21	34.9	26	33.4	39	+5.6
10	Barracas Central	28	22.9	25	30.1	24	33.7	39	+5.3
11	Independiente	29	30.9	36	34.1	33	38.1	43	+4.9
12	Huracán	29	32.1	29	33	25	39	41	+2
13	Estudiantes	29	38.4	35	31.3	22	43.2	45	+1.8
14	Defensa y Justicia	29	35.6	36	33.1	33	41.4	43	+1.6
15	Lanús	29	37.7	34	30	24	45.9	47	+1.1
16	Boca Juniors	29	41.7	43	21.7	23	53.2	54	+0.8
17	Newell's Old Boys	28	26	26	37.1	36	32	32	-0
18	Instituto	29	39.8	37	22.9	27	50.6	50	-0.6
19	Central Cordoba SdE	28	26.2	21	42.4	37	27.7	26	-1.7
20	Banfield	29	33.1	31	46.7	38	32.8	31	-1.8
21	Talleres Córdoba	29	31.8	29	35.1	33	37.3	35	-2.3
22	River Plate	29	48.3	40	22.8	25	54.5	49	-5.5
23	Unión Santa Fe	28	37.3	41	34.5	41	40.8	34	-6.8
24	Racing Club	29	35.8	31	35.1	35	40.2	33	-7.2
25	Platense	29	31.2	22	33.8	34	37	27	-10
26	Atlético Tucumán	29	31.1	27	31.9	33	38.1	28	-10.1
27	Tigre	29	37.5	31	29.7	30	44.8	33	-11.8
28	Aldosivi	29	26.3	20	41.8	41	29.5	16	-13.5
29	Deportivo Riestra	28	24.3	14	26	24	36.2	22	-14.2
30	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	29	24.8	13	42.8	41	29.1	14	-15.1

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