Yes, Puebla have taken 16 points over 12 Liga MX games in 2026/2027, 4.55 more than the 11.45 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their results are running ahead of their performances.
Puebla create 0.91 expected goals (xG) per game over 12 Liga MX games in 2026/2027, 10.95 in all, and have scored 12 goals from those chances, 1.05 more than that xG would expect.
Puebla allow 1.56 expected goals against (xGA) per game over 12 Liga MX games in 2026/2027, 18.77 in all, and have conceded 13 goals from those chances, 5.77 fewer than that xGA would expect.
MathÃas Tomás has the most expected goals (xG) for Puebla over 12 Liga MX games in 2026/2027, 0.25 xG in 9 appearances, and has scored 2 goals; Eduardo Mustre Torres is next with 0.20 xG.
Puebla have taken 4.6 points more than their chances warranted over 12 games: +1.1 goals against their xG, and +5.8 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. Finishing and goalkeeping at that level rarely hold, so the table is the optimistic reading of this side.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/27 | 12 | 10.95 | 12 | +1.05 | 18.77 | 13 | +5.77 | 11.45 | 16 | +4.55 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 8.90 | 10 | +1.10 | 16.30 | 11 | +5.30 | 9.04 | 13 | +3.96 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 3.00 | 2 | -1.00 | 8.78 | 4 | +4.78 | 3.00 | 3 | 0.00 |
| Home | 5 | 4.00 | 6 | +2.00 | 7.99 | 6 | +1.99 | 4.50 | 6 | +1.50 |
| Away | 7 | 6.95 | 6 | -0.95 | 10.78 | 7 | +3.78 | 6.95 | 10 | +3.05 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct | Liga MX | Tijuana (A) | 0-0 | 0.50 | 1.46 | 0.64 | 1 | L |
| 10 Oct | Liga MX | León (H) | 1-1 | 0.76 | 1.69 | 0.73 | 1 | L |
| 27 Sep | Liga MX | Tigres UANL (A) | 1-0 | 0.50 | 2.16 | 0.38 | 0 | L |
| 19 Sep | Liga MX | Atlante (H) | 1-1 | 0.70 | 2.10 | 0.53 | 1 | L |
| 16 Sep | Liga MX | Toluca (H) | 0-1 | 0.54 | 1.37 | 0.72 | 0 | L |
| 12 Sep | Liga MX | Necaxa (A) | 0-1 | 0.64 | 1.12 | 0.95 | 3 | L |
| 30 Aug | Liga MX | América (A) | 2-0 | 1.10 | 1.18 | 1.30 | 0 | L |
| 23 Aug | Liga MX | Santos Laguna (H) | 3-2 | 1.22 | 0.35 | 2.07 | 3 | W |
| 18 Aug | Liga MX | Pachuca (A) | 2-3 | 2.16 | 2.39 | 1.27 | 3 | L |
| 1 Aug | Liga MX | Guadalajara (H) | 1-1 | 0.78 | 2.48 | 0.45 | 1 | L |
| 22 Jul | Liga MX | Cruz Azul (A) | 2-1 | 1.10 | 1.48 | 1.10 | 0 | L |
| 18 Jul | Liga MX | Juárez (A) | 0-1 | 0.95 | 0.99 | 1.31 | 3 | L |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eduardo Mustre Torres | attacker | 6 | 373 | 0.20 | 3 | +2.80 | 0.05 |
| MathÃas Tomás | midfielder | 9 | 476 | 0.25 | 2 | +1.75 | 0.05 |
| Fernando Monárrez | attacker | 12 | 981 | 0.00 | 1 | +1.00 | 0.00 |
| Emiliano Gómez | attacker | 4 | 353 | 0.00 | 1 | +1.00 | 0.00 |
| Kevin Velasco | attacker | 7 | 587 | 0.00 | 1 | +1.00 | 0.00 |
| Carlos Baltazar | midfielder | 9 | 569 | 0.00 | 1 | +1.00 | 0.00 |
| Facundo Almada | defender | 12 | 1080 | 0.04 | 1 | +0.96 | 0.00 |
| Ignacio Maestro Puch | attacker | 7 | 396 | 0.09 | 1 | +0.91 | 0.02 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atlas | 12 | 17.5 | 19 | 20.4 | 18 | 14.8 | 21 | +6.2 |
| 2 | Querétaro | 11 | 17.5 | 15 | 19.2 | 13 | 14.6 | 20 | +5.4 |
| 3 | América | 11 | 21.5 | 27 | 14.9 | 14 | 19.3 | 24 | +4.7 |
| 4 | Puebla | 12 | 10.9 | 12 | 18.8 | 13 | 11.5 | 16 | +4.5 |
| 5 | Pumas UNAM | 12 | 13.7 | 19 | 18.3 | 20 | 13.7 | 16 | +2.3 |
| 6 | León | 12 | 17.8 | 18 | 18 | 17 | 16.5 | 18 | +1.5 |
| 7 | Guadalajara | 12 | 18.3 | 19 | 13.6 | 12 | 19.5 | 20 | +0.5 |
| 8 | Cruz Azul | 12 | 23.7 | 27 | 17 | 21 | 20.8 | 20 | -0.8 |
| 9 | Monterrey | 11 | 17.3 | 19 | 13.2 | 16 | 17.9 | 17 | -0.9 |
| 10 | Atlético San Luis | 12 | 14.7 | 16 | 19.4 | 21 | 14 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 | Toluca | 12 | 23.5 | 26 | 13.7 | 16 | 22.5 | 21 | -1.5 |
| 12 | Pachuca | 12 | 16.8 | 19 | 20.9 | 16 | 14.5 | 13 | -1.5 |
| 13 | Santos Laguna | 12 | 21 | 17 | 18.3 | 16 | 17.6 | 16 | -1.6 |
| 14 | Tijuana | 11 | 19.3 | 15 | 14.5 | 14 | 18.2 | 16 | -2.2 |
| 15 | Tigres UANL | 12 | 18.4 | 14 | 17.4 | 16 | 16.9 | 14 | -2.9 |
| 16 | Atlante | 12 | 14.6 | 13 | 18.1 | 19 | 14.1 | 11 | -3.1 |
| 17 | Juárez | 12 | 11.5 | 8 | 23.6 | 31 | 10.1 | 4 | -6.1 |
| 18 | Necaxa | 12 | 21 | 15 | 19.8 | 25 | 17.3 | 9 | -8.3 |