No, Pachuca have taken 13 points over 12 Liga MX games in 2026/2027, within 1.51 of the 14.51 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their results match their performances.
Pachuca create 1.40 expected goals (xG) per game over 12 Liga MX games in 2026/2027, 16.82 in all, and have scored 19 goals from those chances, 2.18 more than that xG would expect.
Pachuca allow 1.74 expected goals against (xGA) per game over 12 Liga MX games in 2026/2027, 20.92 in all, and have conceded 16 goals from those chances, 4.92 fewer than that xGA would expect.
Salomón Rondón has the most expected goals (xG) for Pachuca over 12 Liga MX games in 2026/2027, 1.25 xG in 12 appearances, and has scored 13 goals; Eduardo Gabriel dos Santos Bauermann is next with 0.39 xG.
Pachuca's results and their chances agree, within 1.5 points of xPts over 12 games. There is no regression case either way. What the table says is roughly what they have earned.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/27 | 12 | 16.82 | 19 | +2.18 | 20.92 | 16 | +4.92 | 14.51 | 13 | -1.51 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 14.26 | 15 | +0.74 | 18.52 | 14 | +4.52 | 11.51 | 10 | -1.51 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 7.19 | 9 | +1.81 | 10.65 | 8 | +2.65 | 4.87 | 5 | +0.13 |
| Home | 5 | 9.40 | 9 | -0.40 | 10.20 | 11 | -0.80 | 6.52 | 3 | -3.52 |
| Away | 7 | 7.42 | 10 | +2.58 | 10.72 | 5 | +5.72 | 7.99 | 10 | +2.01 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct | Liga MX | Monterrey (A) | 2-1 | 1.04 | 2.06 | 0.76 | 0 | L |
| 11 Oct | Liga MX | Necaxa (H) | 3-3 | 1.26 | 2.61 | 0.66 | 1 | L |
| 27 Sep | Liga MX | Santos Laguna (A) | 1-0 | 0.77 | 2.15 | 0.55 | 0 | L |
| 21 Sep | Liga MX | Tijuana (H) | 2-2 | 2.72 | 2.05 | 1.76 | 1 | W |
| 12 Sep | Liga MX | Atlante (A) | 0-3 | 1.40 | 1.78 | 1.14 | 3 | L |
| 5 Sep | Liga MX | Juárez (A) | 0-2 | 1.21 | 0.73 | 1.73 | 3 | W |
| 29 Aug | Liga MX | Guadalajara (H) | 1-1 | 1.59 | 1.36 | 1.53 | 1 | W |
| 23 Aug | Liga MX | Atlético San Luis (A) | 1-1 | 0.63 | 2.58 | 0.34 | 1 | L |
| 18 Aug | Liga MX | Puebla (H) | 2-3 | 2.39 | 2.16 | 1.53 | 0 | W |
| 2 Aug | Liga MX | León (A) | 1-0 | 1.25 | 1.04 | 1.51 | 0 | W |
| 27 Jul | Liga MX | Querétaro (H) | 1-2 | 1.44 | 2.02 | 1.04 | 0 | L |
| 18 Jul | Liga MX | Pumas UNAM (A) | 0-3 | 1.12 | 0.38 | 1.96 | 3 | W |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Salomón Rondón | attacker | 12 | 992 | 1.25 | 13 | +11.75 | 0.11 |
| ElÃas Montiel | midfielder | 7 | 519 | 0.00 | 1 | +1.00 | 0.00 |
| Carlos AgustÃn Moreno Luna | goalkeeper | 12 | 1080 | 0.00 | 1 | +1.00 | 0.00 |
| Alán Ernesto Bautista Gutiérrez | midfielder | 11 | 542 | 0.00 | 1 | +1.00 | 0.00 |
| Kenedy | attacker | 7 | 416 | 0.00 | 1 | +1.00 | 0.00 |
| Oussama Idrissi | attacker | 12 | 854 | 0.08 | 1 | +0.92 | 0.01 |
| Eduardo Gabriel dos Santos Bauermann | defender | 11 | 933 | 0.39 | 1 | +0.61 | 0.04 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atlas | 12 | 17.5 | 19 | 20.4 | 18 | 14.8 | 21 | +6.2 |
| 2 | Querétaro | 11 | 17.5 | 15 | 19.2 | 13 | 14.6 | 20 | +5.4 |
| 3 | América | 11 | 21.5 | 27 | 14.9 | 14 | 19.3 | 24 | +4.7 |
| 4 | Puebla | 12 | 10.9 | 12 | 18.8 | 13 | 11.5 | 16 | +4.5 |
| 5 | Pumas UNAM | 12 | 13.7 | 19 | 18.3 | 20 | 13.7 | 16 | +2.3 |
| 6 | León | 12 | 17.8 | 18 | 18 | 17 | 16.5 | 18 | +1.5 |
| 7 | Guadalajara | 12 | 18.5 | 19 | 13.7 | 12 | 19.6 | 20 | +0.4 |
| 8 | Cruz Azul | 12 | 23.7 | 27 | 17 | 21 | 20.8 | 20 | -0.8 |
| 9 | Monterrey | 11 | 17.3 | 19 | 13.2 | 16 | 17.9 | 17 | -0.9 |
| 10 | Atlético San Luis | 12 | 14.7 | 16 | 19.4 | 21 | 14 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 | Toluca | 12 | 23.5 | 26 | 13.7 | 16 | 22.5 | 21 | -1.5 |
| 12 | Pachuca | 12 | 16.8 | 19 | 20.9 | 16 | 14.5 | 13 | -1.5 |
| 13 | Santos Laguna | 12 | 21 | 17 | 18.3 | 16 | 17.6 | 16 | -1.6 |
| 14 | Tijuana | 11 | 19.2 | 15 | 14.5 | 14 | 18.2 | 16 | -2.2 |
| 15 | Tigres UANL | 12 | 18.5 | 14 | 17.7 | 16 | 16.9 | 14 | -2.9 |
| 16 | Atlante | 12 | 14.6 | 13 | 18.1 | 19 | 14.1 | 11 | -3.1 |
| 17 | Juárez | 12 | 11.5 | 8 | 23.6 | 31 | 10.1 | 4 | -6.1 |
| 18 | Necaxa | 12 | 21 | 15 | 19.8 | 25 | 17.3 | 9 | -8.3 |