No, Necaxa have taken 9 points over 12 Liga MX games in 2026/2027, 8.27 fewer than the 17.27 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their performances deserve better than their results.
Necaxa create 1.75 expected goals (xG) per game over 12 Liga MX games in 2026/2027, 20.96 in all, and have scored 15 goals from those chances, 5.96 fewer than that xG would expect.
Necaxa allow 1.65 expected goals against (xGA) per game over 12 Liga MX games in 2026/2027, 19.80 in all, and have conceded 25 goals from those chances, 5.20 more than that xGA would expect.
Juan Valencia has the most expected goals (xG) for Necaxa over 12 Liga MX games in 2026/2027, 1.25 xG in 8 appearances, and has scored 2 goals; Julián Carranza is next with 0.74 xG.
Necaxa have taken 8.3 points fewer than their chances warranted over 12 games: -6.0 goals against their xG, and -5.2 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. The performances are better than the results, which is the side of this table where prices tend to be generous.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/27 | 12 | 20.96 | 15 | -5.96 | 19.80 | 25 | -5.20 | 17.27 | 9 | -8.27 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 16.08 | 11 | -5.08 | 17.82 | 23 | -5.18 | 12.77 | 3 | -9.77 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 8.56 | 6 | -2.56 | 9.68 | 13 | -3.32 | 6.37 | 1 | -5.37 |
| Home | 7 | 12.23 | 8 | -4.23 | 11.42 | 14 | -2.58 | 10.38 | 6 | -4.38 |
| Away | 5 | 8.73 | 7 | -1.73 | 8.38 | 11 | -2.62 | 6.89 | 3 | -3.89 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct | Liga MX | Atlas (H) | 0-2 | 1.51 | 2.40 | 0.90 | 0 | L |
| 11 Oct | Liga MX | Pachuca (A) | 3-3 | 2.61 | 1.26 | 2.16 | 1 | W |
| 28 Sep | Liga MX | América (H) | 2-4 | 2.83 | 3.99 | 0.91 | 0 | L |
| 19 Sep | Liga MX | Atlético San Luis (A) | 3-1 | 0.49 | 1.39 | 0.67 | 0 | L |
| 12 Sep | Liga MX | Puebla (H) | 0-1 | 1.12 | 0.64 | 1.73 | 0 | W |
| 6 Sep | Liga MX | Tigres UANL (A) | 1-1 | 2.81 | 2.04 | 1.81 | 1 | W |
| 29 Aug | Liga MX | Cruz Azul (H) | 1-3 | 0.45 | 1.53 | 0.57 | 0 | L |
| 24 Aug | Liga MX | Pumas UNAM (A) | 1-1 | 1.57 | 1.50 | 1.42 | 1 | W |
| 18 Aug | Liga MX | León (H) | 1-2 | 1.44 | 0.88 | 1.77 | 0 | W |
| 3 Aug | Liga MX | Toluca (A) | 3-1 | 1.25 | 2.19 | 0.83 | 0 | L |
| 26 Jul | Liga MX | Monterrey (H) | 2-1 | 2.66 | 1.14 | 2.25 | 3 | W |
| 17 Jul | Liga MX | Atlante (H) | 2-1 | 2.22 | 0.84 | 2.25 | 3 | W |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julián Carranza | attacker | 11 | 907 | 0.74 | 7 | +6.26 | 0.07 |
| MatÃas EspÃndola | midfielder | 10 | 576 | 0.40 | 2 | +1.60 | 0.06 |
| Owen González | attacker | 7 | 433 | 0.42 | 2 | +1.58 | 0.09 |
| Juan Valencia | attacker | 8 | 287 | 1.25 | 2 | +0.75 | 0.39 |
| Miguel Emilio RodrÃguez MacÃas | attacker | 12 | 585 | 0.42 | 1 | +0.58 | 0.06 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atlas | 12 | 17.5 | 19 | 20.4 | 18 | 14.8 | 21 | +6.2 |
| 2 | Querétaro | 11 | 17.5 | 15 | 19.2 | 13 | 14.6 | 20 | +5.4 |
| 3 | América | 11 | 21.5 | 27 | 14.9 | 14 | 19.3 | 24 | +4.7 |
| 4 | Puebla | 12 | 10.9 | 12 | 18.8 | 13 | 11.5 | 16 | +4.5 |
| 5 | Pumas UNAM | 12 | 13.7 | 19 | 18.3 | 20 | 13.7 | 16 | +2.3 |
| 6 | León | 12 | 17.8 | 18 | 18 | 17 | 16.5 | 18 | +1.5 |
| 7 | Guadalajara | 12 | 18.3 | 19 | 13.6 | 12 | 19.5 | 20 | +0.5 |
| 8 | Cruz Azul | 12 | 23.7 | 27 | 17 | 21 | 20.8 | 20 | -0.8 |
| 9 | Monterrey | 11 | 17.3 | 19 | 13.2 | 16 | 17.9 | 17 | -0.9 |
| 10 | Atlético San Luis | 12 | 14.7 | 16 | 19.4 | 21 | 14 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 | Toluca | 12 | 23.5 | 26 | 13.7 | 16 | 22.5 | 21 | -1.5 |
| 12 | Pachuca | 12 | 16.8 | 19 | 20.9 | 16 | 14.5 | 13 | -1.5 |
| 13 | Santos Laguna | 12 | 21 | 17 | 18.3 | 16 | 17.6 | 16 | -1.6 |
| 14 | Tijuana | 11 | 19.3 | 15 | 14.5 | 14 | 18.2 | 16 | -2.2 |
| 15 | Tigres UANL | 12 | 18.4 | 14 | 17.4 | 16 | 16.9 | 14 | -2.9 |
| 16 | Atlante | 12 | 14.6 | 13 | 18.1 | 19 | 14.1 | 11 | -3.1 |
| 17 | Juárez | 12 | 11.5 | 8 | 23.6 | 31 | 10.1 | 4 | -6.1 |
| 18 | Necaxa | 12 | 21 | 15 | 19.8 | 25 | 17.3 | 9 | -8.3 |