Question 1

Which Malawi players get booked most often?

Accepted Answer

Use the booking-rate table on this page to see each Malawi player's yellow cards per qualifying appearance (≥20 minutes), plus their hit-rate over the last six appearances and current bookmaker odds to be carded.

Question 2

How is the matchup risk score calculated?

Accepted Answer

Matchup risk blends the defender's fouls per game (40%), the opposition attacker's fouls drawn per game (40%), and the defender's underlying card rate (20%). Scores above 0.7 are flagged high risk, 0.4–0.7 medium and below 0.4 low.

Question 3

Where do these yellow card stats come from?

Accepted Answer

All numbers come from match-level Sportmonks data ingested into Statz. Player odds are taken from Bet365 player markets when priced. Pre-match lineups are predicted lineups until team news lands, then confirmed.

Question 4

What counts as a qualifying appearance?

Accepted Answer

A player must have featured for at least 20 minutes in a fixture for that match to count toward their booking rate and form. Cameo appearances are excluded so the rates aren't diluted.

Question 5

How accurate are these predictions?

Accepted Answer

Yellow cards are inherently noisy — we surface signal (form, matchup, referee profile, market price), not certainties. Use the booking-rate table and matchup risk as inputs, not guarantees.

Question 6

Does the referee affect the chance of a yellow card?

Accepted Answer

Yes. The referee profile module shows the assigned official's average yellows per match this season alongside their season fouls and red-card rate so you can adjust expectations for the upcoming fixture.