No, León have taken 18 points over 12 Liga MX games in 2026/2027, within 1.49 of the 16.51 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their results match their performances.
León create 1.49 expected goals (xG) per game over 12 Liga MX games in 2026/2027, 17.84 in all, and have scored 18 goals from those chances, 0.16 more than that xG would expect.
León allow 1.50 expected goals against (xGA) per game over 12 Liga MX games in 2026/2027, 18.01 in all, and have conceded 17 goals from those chances, 1.01 fewer than that xGA would expect.
Díber Cambindo has the most expected goals (xG) for León over 12 Liga MX games in 2026/2027, 1.68 xG in 11 appearances, and has scored 3 goals; Ismael Díaz is next with 0.42 xG.
León's results and their chances agree, within 1.5 points of xPts over 12 games. There is no regression case either way. What the table says is roughly what they have earned.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/27 | 12 | 17.84 | 18 | +0.16 | 18.01 | 17 | +1.01 | 16.51 | 18 | +1.49 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 15.54 | 16 | +0.46 | 14.06 | 13 | +1.06 | 14.72 | 18 | +3.28 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 8.85 | 9 | +0.15 | 7.70 | 8 | -0.30 | 7.68 | 8 | +0.32 |
| Home | 6 | 9.13 | 12 | +2.87 | 9.16 | 9 | +0.16 | 8.16 | 12 | +3.84 |
| Away | 6 | 8.71 | 6 | -2.71 | 8.85 | 8 | +0.85 | 8.35 | 6 | -2.35 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct | Liga MX | América (H) | 3-5 | 1.65 | 2.45 | 0.96 | 0 | L |
| 10 Oct | Liga MX | Puebla (A) | 1-1 | 1.69 | 0.76 | 2.03 | 1 | W |
| 28 Sep | Liga MX | Juárez (H) | 2-1 | 0.92 | 1.39 | 1.02 | 3 | L |
| 21 Sep | Liga MX | Querétaro (A) | 1-1 | 2.11 | 2.03 | 1.45 | 1 | W |
| 15 Sep | Liga MX | Atlético San Luis (H) | 2-0 | 2.48 | 1.07 | 2.22 | 3 | W |
| 11 Sep | Liga MX | Pumas UNAM (A) | 3-1 | 1.32 | 1.28 | 1.40 | 0 | W |
| 29 Aug | Liga MX | Atlante (A) | 1-1 | 1.53 | 0.90 | 1.82 | 1 | W |
| 22 Aug | Liga MX | Monterrey (H) | 2-0 | 1.92 | 1.49 | 1.66 | 3 | W |
| 18 Aug | Liga MX | Necaxa (A) | 1-2 | 0.88 | 1.44 | 0.96 | 3 | L |
| 2 Aug | Liga MX | Pachuca (H) | 1-0 | 1.04 | 1.25 | 1.20 | 3 | L |
| 25 Jul | Liga MX | Tijuana (A) | 1-0 | 1.18 | 2.44 | 0.69 | 0 | L |
| 18 Jul | Liga MX | Atlas (H) | 2-3 | 1.12 | 1.51 | 1.10 | 0 | L |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Arcila | midfielder | 11 | 766 | 0.20 | 4 | +3.80 | 0.02 |
| Alfonso Alvarado | attacker | 10 | 375 | 0.28 | 4 | +3.72 | 0.07 |
| Jordi Cortizo | attacker | 11 | 674 | 0.00 | 2 | +2.00 | 0.00 |
| Ismael Díaz | attacker | 9 | 455 | 0.42 | 2 | +1.58 | 0.08 |
| Díber Cambindo | attacker | 11 | 741 | 1.68 | 3 | +1.32 | 0.20 |
| Juan Domínguez | attacker | 7 | 283 | 0.08 | 1 | +0.92 | 0.02 |
| Iván Moreno | defender | 12 | 854 | 0.25 | 1 | +0.75 | 0.03 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atlas | 12 | 17.5 | 19 | 20.4 | 18 | 14.8 | 21 | +6.2 |
| 2 | Querétaro | 11 | 17.5 | 15 | 19.2 | 13 | 14.6 | 20 | +5.4 |
| 3 | América | 11 | 21.5 | 27 | 14.9 | 14 | 19.3 | 24 | +4.7 |
| 4 | Puebla | 12 | 10.9 | 12 | 18.8 | 13 | 11.5 | 16 | +4.5 |
| 5 | Pumas UNAM | 12 | 13.7 | 19 | 18.3 | 20 | 13.7 | 16 | +2.3 |
| 6 | León | 12 | 17.8 | 18 | 18 | 17 | 16.5 | 18 | +1.5 |
| 7 | Guadalajara | 12 | 18.5 | 19 | 13.7 | 12 | 19.6 | 20 | +0.4 |
| 8 | Cruz Azul | 12 | 23.7 | 27 | 17 | 21 | 20.8 | 20 | -0.8 |
| 9 | Monterrey | 11 | 17.3 | 19 | 13.2 | 16 | 17.9 | 17 | -0.9 |
| 10 | Atlético San Luis | 12 | 14.7 | 16 | 19.4 | 21 | 14 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 | Toluca | 12 | 23.5 | 26 | 13.7 | 16 | 22.5 | 21 | -1.5 |
| 12 | Pachuca | 12 | 16.8 | 19 | 20.9 | 16 | 14.5 | 13 | -1.5 |
| 13 | Santos Laguna | 12 | 21 | 17 | 18.3 | 16 | 17.6 | 16 | -1.6 |
| 14 | Tijuana | 11 | 19.2 | 15 | 14.5 | 14 | 18.2 | 16 | -2.2 |
| 15 | Tigres UANL | 12 | 18.5 | 14 | 17.7 | 16 | 16.9 | 14 | -2.9 |
| 16 | Atlante | 12 | 14.6 | 13 | 18.1 | 19 | 14.1 | 11 | -3.1 |
| 17 | Juárez | 12 | 11.5 | 8 | 23.6 | 31 | 10.1 | 4 | -6.1 |
| 18 | Necaxa | 12 | 21 | 15 | 19.8 | 25 | 17.3 | 9 | -8.3 |