No, Juárez have taken 4 points over 12 Liga MX games in 2026/2027, 6.09 fewer than the 10.09 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their performances deserve better than their results.
Juárez create 0.96 expected goals (xG) per game over 12 Liga MX games in 2026/2027, 11.51 in all, and have scored 8 goals from those chances, 3.51 fewer than that xG would expect.
Juárez allow 1.96 expected goals against (xGA) per game over 12 Liga MX games in 2026/2027, 23.55 in all, and have conceded 31 goals from those chances, 7.45 more than that xGA would expect.
Óscar Estupiñán has the most expected goals (xG) for Juárez over 12 Liga MX games in 2026/2027, 0.64 xG in 12 appearances, and has scored 6 goals; José Luis Rodríguez is next with 0.61 xG.
Juárez have taken 6.1 points fewer than their chances warranted over 12 games: -3.5 goals against their xG, and -7.5 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. The performances are better than the results, which is the side of this table where prices tend to be generous.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/27 | 12 | 11.51 | 8 | -3.51 | 23.55 | 31 | -7.45 | 10.09 | 4 | -6.09 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 10.09 | 8 | -2.09 | 20.45 | 29 | -8.55 | 8.36 | 4 | -4.36 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 7.23 | 5 | -2.23 | 9.50 | 10 | -0.50 | 5.90 | 4 | -1.90 |
| Home | 6 | 6.81 | 5 | -1.81 | 9.43 | 11 | -1.57 | 6.60 | 4 | -2.60 |
| Away | 6 | 4.70 | 3 | -1.70 | 14.12 | 20 | -5.88 | 3.49 | 0 | -3.49 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct | Liga MX | Cruz Azul (A) | 5-0 | 0.88 | 2.21 | 0.60 | 0 | L |
| 10 Oct | Liga MX | Tijuana (H) | 1-1 | 1.51 | 1.27 | 1.53 | 1 | W |
| 28 Sep | Liga MX | León (A) | 2-1 | 1.39 | 0.92 | 1.71 | 0 | W |
| 19 Sep | Liga MX | Tigres UANL (H) | 2-0 | 1.84 | 1.66 | 1.50 | 3 | W |
| 14 Sep | Liga MX | Santos Laguna (A) | 2-1 | 1.61 | 3.44 | 0.56 | 0 | L |
| 5 Sep | Liga MX | Pachuca (H) | 0-2 | 0.73 | 1.21 | 0.97 | 0 | L |
| 31 Aug | Liga MX | Toluca (A) | 4-0 | 0.24 | 3.04 | 0.11 | 0 | L |
| 22 Aug | Liga MX | América (H) | 1-2 | 1.21 | 2.19 | 0.81 | 0 | L |
| 16 Aug | Liga MX | Monterrey (A) | 6-1 | 0.15 | 2.36 | 0.16 | 0 | L |
| 1 Aug | Liga MX | Pumas UNAM (H) | 1-5 | 0.53 | 2.15 | 0.41 | 0 | L |
| 25 Jul | Liga MX | Guadalajara (A) | 1-0 | 0.43 | 2.15 | 0.35 | 0 | L |
| 18 Jul | Liga MX | Puebla (H) | 0-1 | 0.99 | 0.95 | 1.38 | 0 | W |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Óscar Estupiñán | attacker | 12 | 936 | 0.64 | 6 | +5.36 | 0.06 |
| Rodrigo Dourado | midfielder | 7 | 402 | 0.52 | 1 | +0.48 | 0.12 |
| José Luis Rodríguez | attacker | 11 | 886 | 0.61 | 1 | +0.39 | 0.06 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atlas | 12 | 17.5 | 19 | 20.4 | 18 | 14.8 | 21 | +6.2 |
| 2 | Querétaro | 11 | 17.5 | 15 | 19.2 | 13 | 14.6 | 20 | +5.4 |
| 3 | América | 11 | 21.5 | 27 | 14.9 | 14 | 19.3 | 24 | +4.7 |
| 4 | Puebla | 12 | 10.9 | 12 | 18.8 | 13 | 11.5 | 16 | +4.5 |
| 5 | Pumas UNAM | 12 | 13.7 | 19 | 18.3 | 20 | 13.7 | 16 | +2.3 |
| 6 | León | 12 | 17.8 | 18 | 18 | 17 | 16.5 | 18 | +1.5 |
| 7 | Guadalajara | 12 | 18.5 | 19 | 13.7 | 12 | 19.6 | 20 | +0.4 |
| 8 | Cruz Azul | 12 | 23.7 | 27 | 17 | 21 | 20.8 | 20 | -0.8 |
| 9 | Monterrey | 11 | 17.3 | 19 | 13.2 | 16 | 17.9 | 17 | -0.9 |
| 10 | Atlético San Luis | 12 | 14.7 | 16 | 19.4 | 21 | 14 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 | Toluca | 12 | 23.5 | 26 | 13.7 | 16 | 22.5 | 21 | -1.5 |
| 12 | Pachuca | 12 | 16.8 | 19 | 20.9 | 16 | 14.5 | 13 | -1.5 |
| 13 | Santos Laguna | 12 | 21 | 17 | 18.3 | 16 | 17.6 | 16 | -1.6 |
| 14 | Tijuana | 11 | 19.2 | 15 | 14.5 | 14 | 18.2 | 16 | -2.2 |
| 15 | Tigres UANL | 12 | 18.5 | 14 | 17.7 | 16 | 16.9 | 14 | -2.9 |
| 16 | Atlante | 12 | 14.6 | 13 | 18.1 | 19 | 14.1 | 11 | -3.1 |
| 17 | Juárez | 12 | 11.5 | 8 | 23.6 | 31 | 10.1 | 4 | -6.1 |
| 18 | Necaxa | 12 | 21 | 15 | 19.8 | 25 | 17.3 | 9 | -8.3 |