How much xG Estudiantes create and concede, and who gets the best chances.
Updated 7 November 2026, after the last game
Estudiantes create 1.28 expected goals per game in Liga Profesional de Fútbol in 2026, the joint 15th most of the 60 clubs and above the league average of 1.16, across 33 league games, while River Plate create the most with 1.66.
Guido Carrillo has created the most expected goals for Estudiantes in 2026, 7.00 in 36 appearances, 0.19 a game, ahead of Edwuin Cetré with 3.00 and Adolfo Gaich with 2.00, across all competitions.
Estudiantes create more expected goals at home, 1.76 a game in their last 10 home games against 0.98 in their last 10 away.
Estudiantes created 3.02 expected goals at home to Central Cordoba SdE on 23 March, their most in a game in 2026, against an average of 1.28 across their 45 games, and their fewest was 0.19 away at Instituto on 18 April.
| Player | Apps | Expected Goals | Per game | Games with 0+ | Games with 0+ | Games with 1+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guido Carrillo | 36 | 7 | 0.19 | 7 | 7 | 7 |
| Edwuin Cetré | 39 | 3 | 0.08 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Adolfo Gaich | 26 | 2 | 0.08 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Tomás Palacios | 30 | 2 | 0.07 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Fabricio Pérez | 33 | 2 | 0.06 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Marcos Rojo | 4 | 1 | 0.25 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Miguel Monsalve | 4 | 1 | 0.25 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Lucas Alario | 13 | 1 | 0.08 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Joaquín Correa | 14 | 1 | 0.07 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Facundo Farías | 18 | 1 | 0.06 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Mikel Amondarain | 22 | 1 | 0.05 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Santiago Núñez | 30 | 1 | 0.03 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Alexis Castro | 41 | 1 | 0.02 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Santiago Ascacíbar | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Benjamin Sagues Barreiro | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Santiago Arzamendia | 2 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jalil Elías | 3 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Joaquín Pereyra | 4 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Valente Pierani | 4 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| F. Domínguez | 4 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Cristian Medina | 5 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Bautista Kociubinski | 5 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ramiro Funes Mori | 10 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Fabricio Iacovich | 11 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Baltasar Rodríguez | 16 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| José Sosa | 17 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Brian Aguirre | 25 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Gabriel Neves | 27 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Joaquín Tobio Burgos | 30 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Eros Mancuso | 31 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tiago Palacios | 32 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Eric Meza | 33 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Leandro González Pírez | 33 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Gastón Benedetti | 35 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Fernando Muslera | 35 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ezequiel Piovi | 38 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Date | Opponent | Competition | Score | Estudiantes | Opponent | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Nov 2026 | Talleres Córdoba (A) | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | 1-1 | 0.28 | 1.34 | 1.62 |
| 1 Nov 2026 | Instituto (H) | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | 3-3 | 1.87 | 0.83 | 2.70 |
| 26 Oct 2026 | Unión Santa Fe (A) | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | 3-1 | 0.61 | 1.80 | 2.41 |
| 23 Oct 2026 | Flamengo (A) | Copa Libertadores | 0-0 | 1.00 | 0.67 | 1.67 |
| 18 Oct 2026 | San Lorenzo (H) | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | 1-2 | 1.03 | 0.96 | 1.99 |
| 16 Oct 2026 | Flamengo (H) | Copa Libertadores | 0-0 | 1.37 | 0.21 | 1.58 |
| 10 Oct 2026 | Central Cordoba SdE (A) | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | 2-2 | 2.42 | 2.54 | 4.96 |
| 5 Oct 2026 | Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza (H) | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | 3-0 | 2.50 | 1.01 | 3.51 |
| 22 Sep 2026 | Lanús (A) | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | 2-1 | 1.48 | 1.11 | 2.59 |
| 17 Sep 2026 | Corinthians (A) | Copa Libertadores | 0-1 | 0.54 | 1.41 | 1.95 |
| 12 Sep 2026 | Platense (H) | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | 2-1 | 1.33 | 0.59 | 1.92 |
| 10 Sep 2026 | Corinthians (H) | Copa Libertadores | 1-1 | 1.01 | 0.50 | 1.51 |
| 6 Sep 2026 | Vélez Sarsfield (A) | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | 1-0 | 0.42 | 1.56 | 1.98 |
| 31 Aug 2026 | Newell's Old Boys (H) | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | 0-0 | 2.54 | 1.11 | 3.65 |
| 23 Aug 2026 | Sarmiento (A) | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | 2-0 | 1.72 | 1.55 | 3.27 |
| 19 Aug 2026 | Universidad Católica (A) | Copa Libertadores | 0-3 | 0.97 | 0.57 | 1.54 |
| 15 Aug 2026 | Gimnasia La Plata (H) | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | 4-0 | 1.47 | 0.68 | 2.15 |
| 12 Aug 2026 | Universidad Católica (H) | Copa Libertadores | 1-1 | 2.66 | 0.30 | 2.96 |
| 8 Aug 2026 | Deportivo Riestra (A) | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | 2-0 | 0.33 | 1.62 | 1.95 |
| 5 Aug 2026 | Boca Juniors (A) | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | 1-0 | 0.52 | 1.00 | 1.52 |
| 1 Aug 2026 | Defensa y Justicia (H) | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | 3-0 | 1.86 | 1.86 | 3.72 |
| 26 Jul 2026 | Independiente (H) | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | 0-2 | 1.91 | 1.61 | 3.52 |
| 27 May 2026 | Independiente Medellín (H) | Copa Libertadores | 1-0 | 2.00 | 0.32 | 2.32 |
| 21 May 2026 | Flamengo (A) | Copa Libertadores | 1-0 | 0.66 | 0.94 | 1.60 |
| 10 May 2026 | Racing Club (H) | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | 0-1 | 1.01 | 0.96 | 1.97 |
| 6 May 2026 | Cusco FC (A) | Copa Libertadores | 1-1 | 0.60 | 1.67 | 2.27 |
| 3 May 2026 | Platense (A) | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | 0-2 | 1.56 | 0.71 | 2.27 |
| 30 Apr 2026 | Flamengo (H) | Copa Libertadores | 1-1 | 2.69 | 1.00 | 3.69 |
| 25 Apr 2026 | Talleres Córdoba (H) | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | 0-0 | 0.84 | 0.64 | 1.48 |
| 18 Apr 2026 | Instituto (A) | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | 0-1 | 0.19 | 1.09 | 1.28 |
| 14 Apr 2026 | Cusco FC (H) | Copa Libertadores | 2-1 | 1.61 | 0.57 | 2.18 |
| 11 Apr 2026 | Unión Santa Fe (H) | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | 2-1 | 0.91 | 0.74 | 1.65 |
| 9 Apr 2026 | Independiente Medellín (A) | Copa Libertadores | 1-1 | 0.42 | 0.63 | 1.05 |
| 3 Apr 2026 | San Lorenzo (A) | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | 1-0 | 0.78 | 0.93 | 1.71 |
| 23 Mar 2026 | Central Cordoba SdE (H) | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | 5-0 | 3.02 | 0.26 | 3.28 |
| 18 Mar 2026 | Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza (A) | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | 1-2 | 1.01 | 0.77 | 1.78 |
| 13 Mar 2026 | Lanús (H) | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | 0-1 | 0.88 | 1.18 | 2.06 |
| 2 Mar 2026 | Vélez Sarsfield (H) | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | 0-1 | 0.54 | 0.79 | 1.33 |
| 25 Feb 2026 | Newell's Old Boys (A) | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | 0-2 | 2.97 | 1.40 | 4.37 |
| 20 Feb 2026 | Sarmiento (H) | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | 1-0 | 0.66 | 0.75 | 1.41 |
| 15 Feb 2026 | Gimnasia La Plata (A) | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | 0-0 | 1.53 | 0.54 | 2.07 |
| 9 Feb 2026 | Deportivo Riestra (H) | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | 1-0 | 1.00 | 0.41 | 1.41 |
| 2 Feb 2026 | Defensa y Justicia (A) | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | 0-0 | 0.57 | 1.68 | 2.25 |
| 29 Jan 2026 | Boca Juniors (H) | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | 2-1 | 1.54 | 1.51 | 3.05 |
| 23 Jan 2026 | Independiente (A) | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | 1-1 | 0.91 | 0.72 | 1.63 |
| Line | Games over | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Estudiantes expected goals | Over 0.50 | 9 of 10 | 90% |
| Estudiantes expected goals | Over 1.00 | 6 of 10 | 60% |
| Estudiantes expected goals | Over 1.50 | 3 of 10 | 30% |
| Estudiantes expected goals | Over 2.00 | 2 of 10 | 20% |
| Estudiantes expected goals | Over 2.50 | 0 of 10 | 0% |
| Opponent expected goals | Over 0.50 | 9 of 10 | 90% |
| Opponent expected goals | Over 1.00 | 6 of 10 | 60% |
| Opponent expected goals | Over 1.50 | 2 of 10 | 20% |
| Opponent expected goals | Over 2.00 | 1 of 10 | 10% |
| Opponent expected goals | Over 2.50 | 1 of 10 | 10% |
| Total expected goals | Over 1.50 | 10 of 10 | 100% |
| Total expected goals | Over 2.00 | 5 of 10 | 50% |
| Total expected goals | Over 2.50 | 4 of 10 | 40% |
| Total expected goals | Over 3.00 | 2 of 10 | 20% |
| Total expected goals | Over 3.50 | 2 of 10 | 20% |