No, Eldense have taken 14 points over 10 La Liga 2 games in 2026/2027, within 1.02 of the 15.02 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their results match their performances.
Eldense create 1.54 expected goals (xG) per game over 10 La Liga 2 games in 2026/2027, 15.40 in all, and have scored 13 goals from those chances, 2.40 fewer than that xG would expect.
Eldense allow 1.34 expected goals against (xGA) per game over 10 La Liga 2 games in 2026/2027, 13.40 in all, and have conceded 13 goals from those chances, 0.40 fewer than that xGA would expect.
Fidel has the most expected goals (xG) for Eldense over 10 La Liga 2 games in 2026/2027, 1.99 xG in 10 appearances, and has scored 2 goals; Jorge Rastrojo is next with 0.98 xG.
Eldense's results and their chances agree, within 1.0 points of xPts over 10 games. There is no regression case either way. What the table says is roughly what they have earned.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/27 | 10 | 15.40 | 13 | -2.40 | 13.40 | 13 | +0.40 | 15.02 | 14 | -1.02 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 10.04 | 10 | -0.04 | 5.86 | 7 | -1.14 | 9.48 | 9 | -0.48 |
| Home | 5 | 9.61 | 9 | -0.61 | 6.11 | 6 | +0.11 | 9.04 | 8 | -1.04 |
| Away | 5 | 5.79 | 4 | -1.79 | 7.29 | 7 | +0.29 | 5.98 | 6 | +0.02 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct | La Liga 2 | Valladolid (A) | 2-3 | 2.33 | 1.63 | 1.80 | 3 | W |
| 10 Oct | La Liga 2 | Córdoba (H) | 2-1 | 2.62 | 1.40 | 2.08 | 3 | W |
| 2 Oct | La Liga 2 | Oviedo (H) | 4-1 | 2.86 | 1.75 | 1.99 | 3 | W |
| 27 Sep | La Liga 2 | Burgos (A) | 1-0 | 0.87 | 0.45 | 1.69 | 0 | W |
| 19 Sep | La Liga 2 | Eibar (H) | 1-2 | 1.36 | 0.63 | 1.92 | 0 | W |
| 13 Sep | La Liga 2 | Gijon (A) | 0-1 | 0.80 | 1.05 | 1.14 | 3 | L |
| 5 Sep | La Liga 2 | Mallorca (H) | 0-0 | 1.04 | 1.50 | 1.05 | 1 | L |
| 29 Aug | La Liga 2 | Leganés (A) | 1-0 | 0.96 | 1.77 | 0.84 | 0 | L |
| 22 Aug | La Liga 2 | Cádiz (H) | 2-2 | 1.73 | 0.83 | 2.00 | 1 | W |
| 17 Aug | La Liga 2 | AlmerÃa (A) | 3-0 | 0.83 | 2.39 | 0.51 | 0 | L |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jorge Rastrojo | attacker | 9 | 381 | 0.98 | 3 | +2.02 | 0.23 |
| Aingeru Olabarrieta | attacker | 7 | 507 | 0.68 | 2 | +1.32 | 0.12 |
| Mariano Carmona | attacker | 5 | 329 | 0.94 | 2 | +1.06 | 0.26 |
| Justin Smith | midfielder | 9 | 778 | 0.04 | 1 | +0.96 | 0.00 |
| Javi MartÃnez | midfielder | 9 | 367 | 0.05 | 1 | +0.95 | 0.01 |
| Guillermo Macho | midfielder | 8 | 453 | 0.08 | 1 | +0.92 | 0.02 |
| Roberto López | midfielder | 5 | 216 | 0.79 | 1 | +0.21 | 0.33 |
| Fidel | attacker | 10 | 799 | 1.99 | 2 | +0.01 | 0.22 |
| Iker Recio | defender | 5 | 104 | 0.73 | 0 | -0.73 | 0.63 |
| Manu Nieto | attacker | 8 | 357 | 0.96 | 0 | -0.96 | 0.24 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AlmerÃa | 10 | 15 | 20 | 11.9 | 7 | 15.4 | 24 | +8.6 |
| 2 | SD Eibar | 10 | 13.2 | 20 | 11.6 | 11 | 14.5 | 22 | +7.5 |
| 3 | Sporting Gijón | 10 | 10.4 | 11 | 10.3 | 9 | 13.6 | 19 | +5.4 |
| 4 | Castellón | 10 | 19.1 | 18 | 10.6 | 4 | 18.5 | 23 | +4.5 |
| 5 | Mallorca | 10 | 11.6 | 12 | 11.8 | 5 | 13.5 | 18 | +4.5 |
| 6 | Girona | 10 | 12 | 17 | 13.5 | 9 | 13.8 | 18 | +4.2 |
| 7 | Burgos | 10 | 13.2 | 13 | 13.6 | 10 | 13.1 | 17 | +3.9 |
| 8 | Real Oviedo | 10 | 14.4 | 13 | 15.3 | 10 | 13.5 | 17 | +3.5 |
| 9 | Leganés | 10 | 10.4 | 6 | 18.3 | 15 | 9.4 | 11 | +1.6 |
| 10 | Granada | 10 | 16.5 | 16 | 12.8 | 13 | 15.5 | 17 | +1.5 |
| 11 | Tenerife | 10 | 9.3 | 12 | 12.3 | 14 | 11.8 | 13 | +1.2 |
| 12 | Las Palmas | 10 | 8.7 | 13 | 12.7 | 19 | 10.8 | 11 | +0.2 |
| 13 | Celta Fortuna | 10 | 12.7 | 15 | 15.9 | 16 | 11.9 | 12 | +0.1 |
| 14 | Sabadell | 10 | 14.3 | 10 | 10.8 | 8 | 16.4 | 16 | -0.4 |
| 15 | Eldense | 10 | 15.4 | 13 | 13.4 | 13 | 15 | 14 | -1 |
| 16 | Real Valladolid | 10 | 14.4 | 15 | 11.9 | 14 | 14.9 | 12 | -2.9 |
| 17 | Real Sociedad II | 10 | 12.8 | 14 | 16.9 | 21 | 11.3 | 8 | -3.3 |
| 18 | Córdoba | 10 | 18.6 | 15 | 15.9 | 20 | 16 | 12 | -4 |
| 19 | FC Andorra | 10 | 15.4 | 13 | 12 | 17 | 15.3 | 10 | -5.3 |
| 20 | Cádiz | 10 | 11.1 | 11 | 11.5 | 13 | 13.1 | 7 | -6.1 |
| 21 | Ceuta | 10 | 15.2 | 9 | 15.8 | 22 | 13.7 | 5 | -8.7 |
| 22 | Albacete | 10 | 11.7 | 6 | 16.6 | 22 | 11.3 | 1 | -10.3 |