Yes, Chile have taken 15 points over their last 6 Friendly International games, 5.83 more than the 9.17 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their results are running ahead of their performances.
Chile create 1.43 expected goals (xG) per game over their last 6 Friendly International games, 8.56 in all, and have scored 17 goals from those chances, 8.44 more than that xG would expect.
Chile allow 1.11 expected goals against (xGA) per game over their last 6 Friendly International games, 6.68 in all, and have conceded 9 goals from those chances, 2.32 more than that xGA would expect.
Chile have taken 5.8 points more than their chances warranted over 6 games: +8.4 goals against their xG, and -2.3 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. Finishing and goalkeeping at that level rarely hold, so the table is the optimistic reading of this side.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 6 | 6 | 8.56 | 17 | +8.44 | 6.68 | 9 | -2.32 | 9.17 | 15 | +5.83 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 5.46 | 11 | +5.54 | 5.30 | 8 | -2.70 | 6.89 | 12 | +5.11 |
| Home | 4 | 7.43 | 14 | +6.57 | 4.71 | 5 | -0.29 | 7.20 | 12 | +4.80 |
| Away | 2 | 1.13 | 3 | +1.87 | 1.97 | 4 | -2.03 | 1.97 | 3 | +1.03 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar | Friendly International | New Zealand (A) | 4-1 | 0.76 | 1.50 | 0.83 | 0 | L |
| 27 Mar | Friendly International | Cape Verde (H) | 4-2 | 1.24 | 1.05 | 1.50 | 3 | W |
| 18 Nov | Friendly International | Peru (H) | 2-1 | 1.46 | 1.96 | 1.08 | 3 | L |
| 15 Nov | Friendly International | Russia (A) | 0-2 | 0.37 | 0.47 | 1.14 | 3 | D |
| 10 Oct | Friendly International | Peru (H) | 2-1 | 1.63 | 0.32 | 2.34 | 3 | W |
| 8 Feb | Friendly International | Panama (H) | 6-1 | 3.10 | 1.38 | 2.28 | 3 | W |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gonzalo Tapia | attacker | 5 | 234 | 0.00 | 3 | +3.00 | 0.00 |
| Ben Brereton DÃaz | attacker | 5 | 227 | 0.00 | 3 | +3.00 | 0.00 |
| Felipe Loyola | midfielder | 4 | 217 | 0.00 | 2 | +2.00 | 0.00 |
| Maximiliano Gutiérrez | attacker | 4 | 149 | 0.00 | 2 | +2.00 | 0.00 |
| Lucas Cepeda | attacker | 6 | 346 | 0.00 | 1 | +1.00 | 0.00 |
| DarÃo Osorio | attacker | 4 | 243 | 0.00 | 1 | +1.00 | 0.00 |