No, Cameroon have taken 18 points over 10 CAF World Cup Qualifiers games in 2026, within 0.09 of the 18.09 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their results match their performances.
Cameroon create 1.63 expected goals (xG) per game over 10 CAF World Cup Qualifiers games in 2026, 16.26 in all, and have scored 17 goals from those chances, 0.74 more than that xG would expect.
Cameroon allow 0.96 expected goals against (xGA) per game over 10 CAF World Cup Qualifiers games in 2026, 9.57 in all, and have conceded 6 goals from those chances, 3.57 fewer than that xGA would expect.
Cameroon's results and their chances agree, within 0.1 points of xPts over 10 games. There is no regression case either way. What the table says is roughly what they have earned.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/ | 10 | 16.26 | 17 | +0.74 | 9.57 | 6 | +3.57 | 18.09 | 18 | -0.09 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 7.38 | 8 | +0.62 | 4.18 | 3 | +1.18 | 9.09 | 9 | -0.09 |
| Home | 5 | 7.99 | 13 | +5.01 | 4.47 | 3 | +1.47 | 9.16 | 12 | +2.84 |
| Away | 5 | 8.27 | 4 | -4.27 | 5.10 | 3 | +2.10 | 8.93 | 6 | -2.93 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov | CAF World Cup Qualifiers | DR Congo (H) | 0-1 | 1.08 | 1.06 | 1.37 | 0 | W |
| 8 Oct | CAF World Cup Qualifiers | Mauritius (A) | 0-2 | 1.81 | 0.29 | 2.45 | 3 | W |
| 9 Sep | CAF World Cup Qualifiers | Cape Verde (A) | 1-0 | 1.07 | 0.90 | 1.48 | 0 | W |
| 4 Sep | CAF World Cup Qualifiers | Eswatini (H) | 3-0 | 1.60 | 0.69 | 2.03 | 3 | W |
| 25 Mar | CAF World Cup Qualifiers | Libya (H) | 3-1 | 1.82 | 1.24 | 1.76 | 3 | W |
| 19 Mar | CAF World Cup Qualifiers | Eswatini (A) | 0-0 | 2.64 | 1.40 | 2.09 | 1 | W |
| 11 Jun | CAF World Cup Qualifiers | Angola (A) | 1-1 | 1.46 | 1.48 | 1.36 | 1 | L |
| 8 Jun | CAF World Cup Qualifiers | Cape Verde (H) | 4-1 | 1.21 | 1.11 | 1.43 | 3 | W |
| 21 Nov | CAF World Cup Qualifiers | Libya (A) | 1-1 | 1.29 | 1.03 | 1.55 | 1 | W |
| 17 Nov | CAF World Cup Qualifiers | Mauritius (H) | 3-0 | 2.28 | 0.37 | 2.57 | 3 | W |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryan Mbeumo | attacker | 10 | 757 | 0.00 | 4 | +4.00 | 0.00 |
| V. Aboubakar | attacker | 8 | 562 | 0.00 | 4 | +4.00 | 0.00 |
| Georges-Kevin N'Koudou | attacker | 6 | 306 | 0.00 | 2 | +2.00 | 0.00 |
| Nouhou | defender | 8 | 638 | 0.00 | 1 | +1.00 | 0.00 |
| Frank Magri | attacker | 7 | 249 | 0.00 | 1 | +1.00 | 0.00 |
| Nicolas Moumi Ngamaleu | attacker | 6 | 323 | 0.00 | 1 | +1.00 | 0.00 |
| Michael Ngadeu-Ngadjui | defender | 6 | 515 | 0.00 | 1 | +1.00 | 0.00 |
| Arthur Avom | midfielder | 3 | 228 | 0.00 | 1 | +1.00 | 0.00 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tunisia | 10 | 16.3 | 22 | 9.3 | 0 | 17.6 | 28 | +10.4 |
| 2 | Congo DR | 11 | 13.2 | 16 | 10.7 | 6 | 16.7 | 25 | +8.3 |
| 3 | Gabon | 11 | 13.5 | 23 | 10.9 | 13 | 16.8 | 25 | +8.2 |
| 4 | Algeria | 10 | 13.4 | 24 | 8.6 | 8 | 16.9 | 25 | +8.1 |
| 5 | Ghana | 10 | 14.8 | 23 | 9.3 | 6 | 17.1 | 25 | +7.9 |
| 6 | Morocco | 8 | 14.6 | 22 | 4.7 | 2 | 17.3 | 24 | +6.7 |
| 7 | Cape Verde Islands | 10 | 13.1 | 16 | 9 | 8 | 16.6 | 23 | +6.4 |
| 8 | Senegal | 10 | 16.1 | 22 | 9.2 | 3 | 18 | 24 | +6 |
| 9 | Côte d'Ivoire | 10 | 17.7 | 25 | 5.7 | 0 | 20.2 | 26 | +5.8 |
| 10 | Madagascar | 10 | 11.2 | 17 | 11.7 | 12 | 13.4 | 19 | +5.6 |
| 11 | Egypt | 9 | 15.4 | 19 | 7 | 2 | 17.7 | 23 | +5.3 |
| 12 | Libya | 10 | 9.2 | 12 | 12.3 | 10 | 11.5 | 16 | +4.5 |
| 13 | Niger | 7 | 7.4 | 8 | 11.1 | 10 | 7.6 | 12 | +4.4 |
| 14 | Burkina Faso | 10 | 15.5 | 23 | 10.5 | 8 | 16.9 | 21 | +4.1 |
| 15 | Mozambique | 9 | 8.4 | 11 | 10.2 | 16 | 10.9 | 15 | +4.1 |
| 16 | Benin | 10 | 10 | 12 | 9.4 | 11 | 13.7 | 17 | +3.3 |
| 17 | Sierra Leone | 8 | 8.5 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 10.7 | 14 | +3.3 |
| 18 | South Africa | 10 | 13.5 | 17 | 7.1 | 6 | 18.1 | 21 | +2.9 |
| 19 | Uganda | 9 | 11.5 | 13 | 7.5 | 6 | 15.3 | 18 | +2.7 |
| 20 | Sudan | 10 | 10 | 8 | 13.4 | 6 | 11.2 | 13 | +1.8 |
| 21 | Liberia | 9 | 8.9 | 10 | 11.5 | 11 | 10.5 | 12 | +1.5 |
| 22 | Lesotho | 10 | 8 | 6 | 17.7 | 14 | 7.6 | 9 | +1.4 |
| 23 | Guinea | 10 | 11.7 | 11 | 10.1 | 8 | 15 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 | Cameroon | 10 | 16.3 | 17 | 9.6 | 6 | 18.1 | 18 | -0.1 |
| 25 | Comoros | 10 | 12.3 | 12 | 9.6 | 13 | 15.1 | 15 | -0.1 |
| 26 | Tanzania | 7 | 5.6 | 3 | 8.3 | 7 | 7.5 | 7 | -0.5 |
| 27 | Central African Republic | 10 | 8.3 | 11 | 16.8 | 24 | 8.6 | 8 | -0.6 |
| 28 | Ethiopia | 9 | 8.7 | 9 | 14.3 | 14 | 9.1 | 8 | -1.1 |
| 29 | Rwanda | 9 | 8.9 | 5 | 9 | 7 | 12.2 | 11 | -1.2 |
| 30 | Equatorial Guinea | 7 | 9.5 | 8 | 5.2 | 6 | 12.4 | 11 | -1.4 |
| 31 | Nigeria | 10 | 15.1 | 17 | 7.6 | 9 | 18.6 | 17 | -1.6 |
| 32 | Burundi | 10 | 8.8 | 13 | 11.3 | 13 | 11.7 | 10 | -1.7 |
| 33 | Namibia | 9 | 11.2 | 10 | 8.4 | 10 | 13.8 | 12 | -1.8 |
| 34 | Malawi | 9 | 10 | 8 | 11.3 | 10 | 12.2 | 10 | -2.2 |
| 35 | Mauritius | 10 | 7 | 7 | 14.6 | 17 | 8.3 | 6 | -2.3 |
| 36 | Mali | 9 | 14.1 | 15 | 6.4 | 6 | 17.4 | 15 | -2.4 |
| 37 | South Sudan | 10 | 7.9 | 3 | 17.6 | 19 | 7.5 | 5 | -2.5 |
| 38 | Gambia | 10 | 14.1 | 27 | 10.9 | 18 | 15.6 | 13 | -2.6 |
| 39 | Botswana | 10 | 11.3 | 12 | 11.9 | 16 | 12.8 | 10 | -2.8 |
| 40 | Kenya | 10 | 13.2 | 18 | 9.8 | 14 | 15.3 | 12 | -3.3 |
| 41 | Congo | 5 | 4.9 | 4 | 9.3 | 15 | 4.3 | 1 | -3.3 |
| 42 | Guinea-Bissau | 10 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 13.5 | 10 | -3.5 |
| 43 | Seychelles | 10 | 4.2 | 2 | 23.8 | 53 | 3.6 | 0 | -3.6 |
| 44 | Zambia | 7 | 10.4 | 7 | 9.5 | 10 | 10.2 | 6 | -4.2 |
| 45 | São Tomé and PrÃncipe | 10 | 7.8 | 5 | 18 | 26 | 7.4 | 3 | -4.4 |
| 46 | Angola | 9 | 12.7 | 9 | 7.9 | 8 | 15.5 | 11 | -4.5 |
| 47 | Zimbabwe | 10 | 10.1 | 5 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 5 | -6 |
| 48 | Chad | 9 | 6.9 | 5 | 13.9 | 22 | 7.7 | 1 | -6.7 |
| 49 | Mauritania | 10 | 11.3 | 4 | 11.1 | 13 | 13.8 | 7 | -6.8 |
| 50 | Somalia | 10 | 7.2 | 3 | 15.2 | 20 | 8.1 | 1 | -7.1 |
| 51 | Eswatini | 10 | 10.4 | 6 | 15.4 | 19 | 10.6 | 3 | -7.6 |
| 52 | Djibouti | 10 | 8.5 | 5 | 15.9 | 33 | 8.6 | 1 | -7.6 |
| 53 | Togo | 10 | 13.1 | 5 | 9.6 | 10 | 16.1 | 8 | -8.1 |