No, Lustenau have taken 8 points over their last 9 Austrian Bundesliga games, within 0.18 of the 8.18 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their results match their performances.
Lustenau create 1.15 expected goals (xG) per game over their last 9 Austrian Bundesliga games, 10.31 in all, and have scored 11 goals from those chances, 0.69 more than that xG would expect.
Lustenau allow 2.00 expected goals against (xGA) per game over their last 9 Austrian Bundesliga games, 18.02 in all, and have conceded 19 goals from those chances, 0.98 more than that xGA would expect.
Dominik Weixelbraun has the most expected goals (xG) for Lustenau over their last 9 Austrian Bundesliga games, 1.95 xG in 9 appearances, and has scored 6 goals; Antonio Verinac is next with 1.84 xG.
Lustenau's results and their chances agree, within 0.2 points of xPts over 9 games. There is no regression case either way. What the table says is roughly what they have earned.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 9 | 9 | 10.31 | 11 | +0.69 | 18.02 | 19 | -0.98 | 8.18 | 8 | -0.18 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 4.22 | 6 | +1.78 | 11.16 | 14 | -2.84 | 3.23 | 3 | -0.23 |
| Home | 5 | 5.73 | 5 | -0.73 | 10.11 | 10 | +0.11 | 4.70 | 7 | +2.30 |
| Away | 4 | 4.58 | 6 | +1.42 | 7.91 | 9 | -1.09 | 3.48 | 1 | -2.48 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct | Austrian Bundesliga | LASK Linz (H) | 0-4 | 0.35 | 2.98 | 0.16 | 0 | L |
| 11 Oct | Austrian Bundesliga | Hartberg (A) | 4-3 | 1.29 | 2.80 | 0.61 | 0 | L |
| 19 Sep | Austrian Bundesliga | Altach (H) | 2-0 | 0.95 | 1.08 | 1.25 | 3 | L |
| 13 Sep | Austrian Bundesliga | Austria Wien (A) | 2-1 | 1.04 | 1.89 | 0.84 | 0 | L |
| 28 Aug | Austrian Bundesliga | WSG Tirol (H) | 0-4 | 0.59 | 2.41 | 0.37 | 0 | L |
| 22 Aug | Austrian Bundesliga | Sturm Graz (A) | 1-1 | 1.65 | 1.94 | 1.21 | 1 | L |
| 15 Aug | Austrian Bundesliga | Górnik (H) | 2-1 | 2.87 | 0.91 | 2.45 | 3 | W |
| 8 Aug | Austrian Bundesliga | Grazer AK (A) | 2-1 | 0.60 | 1.28 | 0.82 | 0 | L |
| 2 Aug | Austrian Bundesliga | Ried (H) | 1-1 | 0.97 | 2.73 | 0.47 | 1 | L |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dominik Weixelbraun | attacker | 9 | 747 | 1.95 | 6 | +4.05 | 0.23 |
| Antonio Verinac | attacker | 9 | 595 | 1.84 | 3 | +1.16 | 0.28 |
| Albin Gashi | attacker | 8 | 357 | 0.58 | 1 | +0.42 | 0.15 |
| Dion Kacuri | midfielder | 9 | 800 | 1.23 | 1 | -0.23 | 0.14 |
| Lord Afrifa | midfielder | 9 | 708 | 0.52 | 0 | -0.52 | 0.07 |
| Sacha Delaye | midfielder | 7 | 363 | 0.62 | 0 | -0.62 | 0.15 |
| Niklas Pertlwieser | defender | 9 | 792 | 0.63 | 0 | -0.63 | 0.07 |
| Seydou Diarra | attacker | 9 | 710 | 0.92 | 0 | -0.92 | 0.12 |
| Precious Benjamin | attacker | 8 | 205 | 1.04 | 0 | -1.04 | 0.46 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SK Rapid | 9 | 18.2 | 26 | 9 | 8 | 16.7 | 24 | +7.3 |
| 2 | Salzburg | 9 | 20.3 | 21 | 10.1 | 4 | 18 | 21 | +3 |
| 3 | Sturm Graz | 9 | 16.9 | 16 | 12.8 | 10 | 14.3 | 17 | +2.7 |
| 4 | Hartberg | 9 | 9.2 | 15 | 15.6 | 19 | 8.7 | 11 | +2.3 |
| 5 | Ried | 9 | 16.6 | 16 | 14.8 | 15 | 12.8 | 14 | +1.2 |
| 6 | Austria Lustenau | 9 | 10.3 | 11 | 18 | 19 | 8.2 | 8 | -0.2 |
| 7 | LASK Linz | 9 | 19.1 | 23 | 7.4 | 9 | 19.4 | 19 | -0.4 |
| 8 | Grazer AK | 9 | 9.1 | 7 | 17 | 22 | 10 | 9 | -1 |
| 9 | Austria Wien | 9 | 9.7 | 9 | 15.3 | 18 | 9.2 | 7 | -2.2 |
| 10 | Wolfsberger AC | 9 | 9.5 | 7 | 19 | 18 | 7.4 | 5 | -2.4 |
| 11 | WSG Tirol | 9 | 15.8 | 12 | 14.4 | 14 | 13.6 | 11 | -2.6 |
| 12 | Rheindorf Altach | 9 | 10.6 | 8 | 12.1 | 15 | 12 | 6 | -6 |