Yes, Atlas have taken 21 points over 12 Liga MX games in 2026/2027, 6.17 more than the 14.83 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their results are running ahead of their performances.
Atlas create 1.46 expected goals (xG) per game over 12 Liga MX games in 2026/2027, 17.48 in all, and have scored 19 goals from those chances, 1.52 more than that xG would expect.
Atlas allow 1.70 expected goals against (xGA) per game over 12 Liga MX games in 2026/2027, 20.42 in all, and have conceded 18 goals from those chances, 2.42 fewer than that xGA would expect.
Ryan Mmaee has the most expected goals (xG) for Atlas over 12 Liga MX games in 2026/2027, 1.15 xG in 8 appearances, and has scored 2 goals; Florián Monzón is next with 1.04 xG.
Atlas have taken 6.2 points more than their chances warranted over 12 games: +1.5 goals against their xG, and +2.4 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. Finishing and goalkeeping at that level rarely hold, so the table is the optimistic reading of this side.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/27 | 12 | 17.48 | 19 | +1.52 | 20.42 | 18 | +2.42 | 14.83 | 21 | +6.17 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 14.68 | 15 | +0.32 | 18.52 | 16 | +2.52 | 11.45 | 15 | +3.55 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 8.91 | 9 | +0.09 | 8.35 | 9 | -0.65 | 7.04 | 8 | +0.96 |
| Home | 6 | 6.83 | 6 | -0.83 | 10.53 | 9 | +1.53 | 6.02 | 6 | -0.02 |
| Away | 6 | 10.65 | 13 | +2.35 | 9.89 | 9 | +0.89 | 8.81 | 15 | +6.19 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct | Liga MX | Necaxa (A) | 0-2 | 2.40 | 1.51 | 1.91 | 3 | W |
| 11 Oct | Liga MX | Guadalajara (H) | 1-1 | 0.58 | 1.51 | 0.69 | 1 | L |
| 26 Sep | Liga MX | Tijuana (A) | 2-3 | 2.72 | 2.03 | 1.77 | 3 | W |
| 19 Sep | Liga MX | Pumas UNAM (H) | 1-1 | 2.49 | 1.21 | 2.13 | 1 | W |
| 12 Sep | Liga MX | Toluca (A) | 5-2 | 0.72 | 2.09 | 0.54 | 0 | L |
| 6 Sep | Liga MX | Atlante (H) | 1-1 | 1.13 | 1.39 | 1.18 | 1 | L |
| 29 Aug | Liga MX | Querétaro (H) | 1-3 | 1.29 | 1.66 | 1.14 | 0 | L |
| 23 Aug | Liga MX | Cruz Azul (A) | 0-2 | 2.01 | 2.36 | 1.21 | 3 | L |
| 16 Aug | Liga MX | Tigres UANL (H) | 2-1 | 0.60 | 2.74 | 0.30 | 3 | L |
| 2 Aug | Liga MX | Monterrey (H) | 0-2 | 0.74 | 2.02 | 0.58 | 0 | L |
| 26 Jul | Liga MX | Santos Laguna (A) | 0-1 | 1.29 | 0.78 | 1.74 | 3 | W |
| 18 Jul | Liga MX | León (A) | 2-3 | 1.51 | 1.12 | 1.64 | 3 | W |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LuÃs André Leite Esteves | midfielder | 12 | 810 | 0.00 | 4 | +4.00 | 0.00 |
| Édgar ZaldÃvar | midfielder | 10 | 543 | 0.00 | 2 | +2.00 | 0.00 |
| Duk | attacker | 8 | 526 | 0.00 | 2 | +2.00 | 0.00 |
| Florián Monzón | attacker | 9 | 810 | 1.04 | 3 | +1.96 | 0.12 |
| Manuel Capasso | defender | 10 | 736 | 0.08 | 2 | +1.92 | 0.01 |
| Aldo Rocha | midfielder | 5 | 332 | 0.00 | 1 | +1.00 | 0.00 |
| Arturo González | attacker | 9 | 538 | 0.00 | 1 | +1.00 | 0.00 |
| Ryan Mmaee | attacker | 8 | 561 | 1.15 | 2 | +0.85 | 0.18 |
| Kevin Zenón | attacker | 4 | 311 | 0.30 | 1 | +0.70 | 0.09 |
| Juan Sánchez Purata | defender | 6 | 520 | 0.56 | 0 | -0.56 | 0.10 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atlas | 12 | 17.5 | 19 | 20.4 | 18 | 14.8 | 21 | +6.2 |
| 2 | Querétaro | 11 | 17.5 | 15 | 19.2 | 13 | 14.6 | 20 | +5.4 |
| 3 | América | 11 | 21.5 | 27 | 14.9 | 14 | 19.3 | 24 | +4.7 |
| 4 | Puebla | 12 | 10.9 | 12 | 18.8 | 13 | 11.5 | 16 | +4.5 |
| 5 | Pumas UNAM | 12 | 13.7 | 19 | 18.3 | 20 | 13.7 | 16 | +2.3 |
| 6 | León | 12 | 17.8 | 18 | 18 | 17 | 16.5 | 18 | +1.5 |
| 7 | Guadalajara | 12 | 18.3 | 19 | 13.6 | 12 | 19.5 | 20 | +0.5 |
| 8 | Cruz Azul | 12 | 23.7 | 27 | 17 | 21 | 20.8 | 20 | -0.8 |
| 9 | Monterrey | 11 | 17.3 | 19 | 13.2 | 16 | 17.9 | 17 | -0.9 |
| 10 | Atlético San Luis | 12 | 14.7 | 16 | 19.4 | 21 | 14 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 | Toluca | 12 | 23.5 | 26 | 13.7 | 16 | 22.5 | 21 | -1.5 |
| 12 | Pachuca | 12 | 16.8 | 19 | 20.9 | 16 | 14.5 | 13 | -1.5 |
| 13 | Santos Laguna | 12 | 21 | 17 | 18.3 | 16 | 17.6 | 16 | -1.6 |
| 14 | Tijuana | 11 | 19.3 | 15 | 14.5 | 14 | 18.2 | 16 | -2.2 |
| 15 | Tigres UANL | 12 | 18.4 | 14 | 17.4 | 16 | 16.9 | 14 | -2.9 |
| 16 | Atlante | 12 | 14.6 | 13 | 18.1 | 19 | 14.1 | 11 | -3.1 |
| 17 | Juárez | 12 | 11.5 | 8 | 23.6 | 31 | 10.1 | 4 | -6.1 |
| 18 | Necaxa | 12 | 21 | 15 | 19.8 | 25 | 17.3 | 9 | -8.3 |