No, Atlante have taken 11 points over 12 Liga MX games in 2026/2027, 3.10 fewer than the 14.10 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their performances deserve better than their results.
Atlante create 1.22 expected goals (xG) per game over 12 Liga MX games in 2026/2027, 14.58 in all, and have scored 13 goals from those chances, 1.58 fewer than that xG would expect.
Atlante allow 1.51 expected goals against (xGA) per game over 12 Liga MX games in 2026/2027, 18.11 in all, and have conceded 19 goals from those chances, 0.89 more than that xGA would expect.
Jhojan Julio has the most expected goals (xG) for Atlante over 12 Liga MX games in 2026/2027, 0.35 xG in 12 appearances, and has scored 2 goals; L. Puente is next with 0.25 xG.
Atlante have taken 3.1 points fewer than their chances warranted over 12 games: -1.6 goals against their xG, and -0.9 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. The performances are better than the results, which is the side of this table where prices tend to be generous.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/27 | 12 | 14.58 | 13 | -1.58 | 18.11 | 19 | -0.89 | 14.10 | 11 | -3.10 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 13.04 | 11 | -2.04 | 14.28 | 16 | -1.72 | 12.80 | 10 | -2.80 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 6.93 | 6 | -0.93 | 6.63 | 10 | -3.37 | 6.95 | 4 | -2.95 |
| Home | 6 | 6.42 | 7 | +0.58 | 8.37 | 9 | -0.63 | 6.72 | 6 | -0.72 |
| Away | 6 | 8.16 | 6 | -2.16 | 9.74 | 10 | -0.26 | 7.38 | 5 | -2.38 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct | Liga MX | Pumas UNAM (H) | 1-2 | 0.77 | 1.32 | 0.93 | 0 | L |
| 10 Oct | Liga MX | Querétaro (A) | 2-0 | 0.79 | 1.72 | 0.74 | 0 | L |
| 26 Sep | Liga MX | Monterrey (H) | 4-2 | 1.49 | 1.49 | 1.38 | 3 | W |
| 19 Sep | Liga MX | Puebla (A) | 1-1 | 2.10 | 0.70 | 2.28 | 1 | W |
| 12 Sep | Liga MX | Pachuca (H) | 0-3 | 1.78 | 1.40 | 1.62 | 0 | W |
| 6 Sep | Liga MX | Atlas (A) | 1-1 | 1.39 | 1.13 | 1.56 | 1 | W |
| 29 Aug | Liga MX | León (H) | 1-1 | 0.90 | 1.53 | 0.92 | 1 | L |
| 22 Aug | Liga MX | Tigres UANL (A) | 2-0 | 1.24 | 1.49 | 1.20 | 0 | L |
| 15 Aug | Liga MX | Toluca (H) | 0-0 | 0.78 | 1.02 | 1.14 | 1 | L |
| 2 Aug | Liga MX | Cruz Azul (A) | 2-3 | 1.80 | 2.48 | 1.03 | 3 | L |
| 25 Jul | Liga MX | América (H) | 1-1 | 0.70 | 1.61 | 0.73 | 1 | L |
| 17 Jul | Liga MX | Necaxa (A) | 2-1 | 0.84 | 2.22 | 0.57 | 0 | L |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Calzadilla | attacker | 11 | 904 | 0.21 | 3 | +2.79 | 0.02 |
| Eugenio Pizzuto | midfielder | 12 | 971 | 0.03 | 2 | +1.97 | 0.00 |
| MartÃn Sarrafiore | attacker | 9 | 682 | 0.19 | 2 | +1.81 | 0.02 |
| L. Puente | attacker | 12 | 869 | 0.25 | 2 | +1.75 | 0.03 |
| Jhojan Julio | midfielder | 12 | 1054 | 0.35 | 2 | +1.65 | 0.03 |
| Walter Portales | defender | 12 | 1046 | 0.00 | 1 | +1.00 | 0.00 |
| Eduardo Tercero | defender | 12 | 1057 | 0.02 | 1 | +0.98 | 0.00 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atlas | 12 | 17.5 | 19 | 20.4 | 18 | 14.8 | 21 | +6.2 |
| 2 | Querétaro | 11 | 17.5 | 15 | 19.2 | 13 | 14.6 | 20 | +5.4 |
| 3 | América | 11 | 21.5 | 27 | 14.9 | 14 | 19.3 | 24 | +4.7 |
| 4 | Puebla | 12 | 10.9 | 12 | 18.8 | 13 | 11.5 | 16 | +4.5 |
| 5 | Pumas UNAM | 12 | 13.7 | 19 | 18.3 | 20 | 13.7 | 16 | +2.3 |
| 6 | León | 12 | 17.8 | 18 | 18 | 17 | 16.5 | 18 | +1.5 |
| 7 | Guadalajara | 12 | 18.3 | 19 | 13.6 | 12 | 19.5 | 20 | +0.5 |
| 8 | Cruz Azul | 12 | 23.7 | 27 | 17 | 21 | 20.8 | 20 | -0.8 |
| 9 | Monterrey | 11 | 17.3 | 19 | 13.2 | 16 | 17.9 | 17 | -0.9 |
| 10 | Atlético San Luis | 12 | 14.7 | 16 | 19.4 | 21 | 14 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 | Toluca | 12 | 23.5 | 26 | 13.7 | 16 | 22.5 | 21 | -1.5 |
| 12 | Pachuca | 12 | 16.8 | 19 | 20.9 | 16 | 14.5 | 13 | -1.5 |
| 13 | Santos Laguna | 12 | 21 | 17 | 18.3 | 16 | 17.6 | 16 | -1.6 |
| 14 | Tijuana | 11 | 19.3 | 15 | 14.5 | 14 | 18.2 | 16 | -2.2 |
| 15 | Tigres UANL | 12 | 18.4 | 14 | 17.4 | 16 | 16.9 | 14 | -2.9 |
| 16 | Atlante | 12 | 14.6 | 13 | 18.1 | 19 | 14.1 | 11 | -3.1 |
| 17 | Juárez | 12 | 11.5 | 8 | 23.6 | 31 | 10.1 | 4 | -6.1 |
| 18 | Necaxa | 12 | 21 | 15 | 19.8 | 25 | 17.3 | 9 | -8.3 |