Antalyaspor xG 2025/2026

Antalyaspor expected goals 2025/2026: 2025/2026

Games: 34
Expected goals (xG): 27.22
Goals scored: 33
Goals minus xG: +5.78
Expected goals against (xGA): 54.01
Goals conceded: 55
xGA minus goals conceded: -0.99
Expected points (xPts): 30.30
Points: 32
Points minus xPts: +1.70
Verdict: In line with expected goals

Are Antalyaspor overperforming their expected goals?

Antalyaspor's results and their chances agree, within 1.7 points of xPts over 34 games. There is no regression case either way. What the table says is roughly what they have earned.

Antalyaspor results against expected goals by form window and venue

Window	Games	xG	Goals	Goals minus xG	xGA	Conceded	xGA minus conceded	xPts	Points	Points minus xPts
25/26	34	27.22	33	+5.78	54.01	55	-0.99	30.30	32	+1.70
Last 10	10	9.59	9	-0.59	17.05	17	+0.05	10.10	8	-2.10
Last 5	5	4.71	3	-1.71	8.58	8	+0.58	5.32	4	-1.32
Home	17	16.51	22	+5.49	22.84	33	-10.16	19.22	19	-0.22
Away	17	10.71	11	+0.29	31.17	22	+9.17	11.08	13	+1.92

Antalyaspor expected goals match by match, 2025/2026

Date	Competition	Opponent	Score	xG	xGA	xPts	Points	Deserved result
17 May	Super Lig	Kocaelispor (H)	1-0	2.06	0.49	2.42	3	W
9 May	Super Lig	Galatasaray (A)	4-2	0.34	4.30	0.05	0	L
3 May	Super Lig	Alanyaspor (H)	0-0	0.29	0.85	0.76	1	L
25 Apr	Super Lig	Göztepe (A)	2-0	1.21	1.86	0.97	0	L
17 Apr	Super Lig	Konyaspor (H)	0-2	0.81	1.08	1.12	0	L
10 Apr	Super Lig	Beşiktaş (A)	4-2	0.73	2.32	0.47	0	L
5 Apr	Super Lig	Eyüpspor (H)	3-0	2.05	0.44	2.45	3	W
18 Mar	Super Lig	Başakşehir (A)	0-0	0.68	1.50	0.77	1	L
13 Mar	Super Lig	Gaziantep (H)	1-4	0.68	2.42	0.41	0	L
8 Mar	Super Lig	Rizespor (A)	1-0	0.74	1.79	0.68	0	L
1 Mar	Super Lig	Fenerbahçe (H)	2-2	0.86	1.66	0.83	1	L
22 Feb	Super Lig	Kayserispor (A)	1-0	1.29	2.47	0.74	0	L
13 Feb	Super Lig	Samsunspor (H)	3-1	1.14	2.13	0.79	3	L
7 Feb	Super Lig	Fatih Karagümrük (A)	1-0	0.47	2.37	0.31	0	L
30 Jan	Super Lig	Trabzonspor (H)	1-1	0.23	1.93	0.28	1	L
25 Jan	Super Lig	Gençler (H)	2-1	1.16	0.88	1.56	3	W
18 Jan	Super Lig	Kasımpaşa (A)	0-0	0.82	1.34	0.97	1	L
19 Dec	Super Lig	Kocaelispor (A)	2-1	0.28	1.07	0.63	0	L
13 Dec	Super Lig	Galatasaray (H)	1-4	1.37	1.42	1.34	0	L
8 Dec	Super Lig	Alanyaspor (A)	0-0	0.43	0.58	1.11	1	D
30 Nov	Super Lig	Göztepe (H)	1-2	0.66	0.70	1.27	0	D
24 Nov	Super Lig	Konyaspor (A)	0-0	0.52	1.20	0.79	1	L
8 Nov	Super Lig	Beşiktaş (H)	1-3	0.52	1.22	0.78	0	L
3 Nov	Super Lig	Eyüpspor (A)	0-1	0.73	1.71	0.71	3	L
26 Oct	Super Lig	Başakşehir (H)	0-4	0.79	3.07	0.30	0	L
19 Oct	Super Lig	Gaziantep (A)	3-2	0.25	1.69	0.36	0	L
3 Oct	Super Lig	Rizespor (H)	2-5	1.25	1.39	1.27	0	L
28 Sep	Super Lig	Fenerbahçe (A)	2-0	0.29	2.62	0.18	0	L
20 Sep	Super Lig	Kayserispor (H)	1-1	0.72	0.85	1.21	1	L
13 Sep	Super Lig	Samsunspor (A)	1-2	0.56	1.26	0.79	3	L

Antalyaspor players: goals against expected goals, 2025/2026

Player	Position	Apps	Minutes	xG	Goals	Goals minus xG	xG per 90
Samuel Ballet	attacker	24	1720	2.13	5	+2.87	0.11
Soner Dikmen	midfielder	28	2157	2.19	5	+2.81	0.09
Nikola Storm	attacker	28	1626	2.01	4	+1.99	0.11
Georgiy Dzhikiya	defender	15	1155	0.30	2	+1.70	0.02
Güray Vural	defender	4	276	1.28	2	+0.72	0.42
Lautaro Giannetti	defender	29	1795	0.67	1	+0.33	0.03
Ramzi Safuri	midfielder	25	1795	0.82	1	+0.18	0.04
Veysel Sarı	defender	22	1926	0.89	1	+0.11	0.04
Dario Saric	midfielder	24	1400	0.93	1	+0.07	0.06
Sander van de Streek	midfielder	31	2351	6.11	6	-0.11	0.23
Tomáš Čvančara	attacker	11	527	1.29	1	-0.29	0.22
Yohan Boli	attacker	21	872	2.41	2	-0.41	0.25
Samet Karakoç	defender	21	604	0.51	0	-0.51	0.08
Bünyamin Balcı	defender	33	2351	0.83	0	-0.83	0.03
Abdülkadir Ömür	midfielder	25	1322	1.14	0	-1.14	0.08
Doğukan Sinik	attacker	20	836	1.96	0	-1.96	0.21

Super Lig 2025/2026: every team's points against expected points

#	Team	MP	xG	Goals	xGA	Conceded	xPts	Points	Points minus xPts
1	Trabzonspor	34	52	61	41.8	39	53.6	69	+15.4
2	Galatasaray	34	67.4	77	32.5	30	64.6	77	+12.4
3	Fenerbahçe	34	65.6	77	32.4	37	66	74	+8
4	Antalyaspor	34	27.2	33	54	55	30.3	32	+1.7
5	İstanbul Başakşehir	34	56.4	58	42.1	35	56.1	57	+0.9
6	Samsunspor	34	46.9	46	42.9	45	50.4	51	+0.6
7	Göztepe	34	49.4	42	37.5	32	55.1	55	-0.1
8	Beşiktaş	34	61	59	37.7	40	61.8	60	-1.8
9	Gençlerbirliği	34	35.6	36	53.9	47	36	34	-2
10	Eyüpspor	34	35.9	33	52.2	48	36.2	33	-3.2
11	Konyaspor	34	46.2	43	50.1	50	44.9	40	-4.9
12	Kasımpaşa	34	33.5	33	44.3	49	39.9	35	-4.9
13	Rizespor	34	44.1	46	45.8	52	46.1	41	-5.1
14	Gaziantep F.K.	34	42	43	50.4	58	42.1	37	-5.1
15	Alanyaspor	34	35.1	41	42.7	41	42.7	37	-5.7
16	Kocaelispor	34	33.3	26	37.9	38	43.5	37	-6.5
17	Fatih Karagümrük	34	33.2	31	51	54	36.9	30	-6.9
18	Kayserispor	34	37.9	27	53.2	62	38	30	-8