No, Anderlecht have taken 27 points over their last 20 Belgian Pro League games, within 1.48 of the 28.48 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their results match their performances.
Anderlecht create 1.53 expected goals (xG) per game over their last 20 Belgian Pro League games, 30.50 in all, and have scored 27 goals from those chances, 3.50 fewer than that xG would expect.
Anderlecht allow 1.53 expected goals against (xGA) per game over their last 20 Belgian Pro League games, 30.63 in all, and have conceded 33 goals from those chances, 2.37 more than that xGA would expect.
Mihajlo Cvetkovic has the most expected goals (xG) for Anderlecht over their last 20 Belgian Pro League games, 5.90 xG in 16 appearances, and has scored 5 goals; Danylo Sikan is next with 3.83 xG.
Anderlecht's results and their chances agree, within 1.5 points of xPts over 20 games. There is no regression case either way. What the table says is roughly what they have earned.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 20 | 20 | 30.50 | 27 | -3.50 | 30.63 | 33 | -2.37 | 28.48 | 27 | -1.48 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 15.94 | 13 | -2.94 | 11.06 | 12 | -0.94 | 16.95 | 19 | +2.05 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 7.50 | 7 | -0.50 | 3.99 | 1 | +2.99 | 9.20 | 13 | +3.80 |
| Home | 10 | 17.41 | 18 | +0.59 | 13.93 | 14 | -0.07 | 16.46 | 17 | +0.54 |
| Away | 10 | 13.09 | 9 | -4.09 | 16.70 | 19 | -2.30 | 12.02 | 10 | -2.02 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct | Belgian Pro League | C Brugge (A) | 1-2 | 0.76 | 0.86 | 1.24 | 3 | L |
| 19 Sep | Belgian Pro League | Zulte-Waregem (H) | 3-0 | 2.28 | 0.80 | 2.30 | 3 | W |
| 11 Sep | Belgian Pro League | Mechelen (A) | 0-1 | 1.34 | 1.21 | 1.46 | 3 | W |
| 6 Sep | Belgian Pro League | Genk (H) | 0-0 | 1.27 | 0.45 | 2.01 | 1 | W |
| 3 Sep | Belgian Pro League | KV Kortrijk (H) | 1-0 | 1.85 | 0.67 | 2.19 | 3 | W |
| 30 Aug | Belgian Pro League | Union SG (A) | 3-0 | 1.12 | 1.71 | 0.98 | 0 | L |
| 16 Aug | Belgian Pro League | SK Beveren (A) | 1-0 | 1.75 | 0.57 | 2.21 | 0 | W |
| 9 Aug | Belgian Pro League | La Louvière (H) | 2-1 | 3.22 | 0.97 | 2.52 | 3 | W |
| 24 May | Belgian Pro League | Union SG (A) | 5-1 | 0.61 | 2.56 | 0.34 | 0 | L |
| 21 May | Belgian Pro League | Sint-Truiden (H) | 3-1 | 1.74 | 1.26 | 1.70 | 3 | W |
| 17 May | Belgian Pro League | Mechelen (H) | 2-2 | 1.16 | 1.07 | 1.42 | 1 | W |
| 10 May | Belgian Pro League | Gent (A) | 1-1 | 0.36 | 2.01 | 0.35 | 1 | L |
| 3 May | Belgian Pro League | Club Brugge (H) | 1-3 | 1.38 | 3.25 | 0.52 | 0 | L |
| 26 Apr | Belgian Pro League | Union SG (H) | 1-3 | 0.89 | 0.61 | 1.56 | 0 | W |
| 23 Apr | Belgian Pro League | Sint-Truiden (A) | 2-0 | 1.44 | 1.55 | 1.30 | 0 | L |
| 18 Apr | Belgian Pro League | Mechelen (A) | 1-2 | 1.79 | 1.49 | 1.58 | 3 | W |
| 12 Apr | Belgian Pro League | Gent (H) | 3-1 | 1.49 | 3.14 | 0.60 | 3 | L |
| 6 Apr | Belgian Pro League | Club Brugge (A) | 4-2 | 1.86 | 3.53 | 0.64 | 0 | L |
| 22 Mar | Belgian Pro League | C Brugge (H) | 2-3 | 2.13 | 1.71 | 1.64 | 0 | W |
| 15 Mar | Belgian Pro League | Mechelen (A) | 1-0 | 2.06 | 1.21 | 1.92 | 0 | W |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adriano Bertaccini | attacker | 14 | 435 | 3.34 | 5 | +1.66 | 0.69 |
| Tawfik Bentayeb | attacker | 6 | 327 | 1.47 | 3 | +1.53 | 0.40 |
| Marten Winkler | attacker | 5 | 302 | 0.49 | 2 | +1.51 | 0.15 |
| Ibrahim Kanaté | attacker | 6 | 141 | 0.16 | 1 | +0.84 | 0.10 |
| Ilay Camara | defender | 7 | 385 | 0.44 | 1 | +0.56 | 0.10 |
| Joshua Nga Kana | attacker | 7 | 238 | 0.59 | 1 | +0.41 | 0.22 |
| Yari Verschaeren | midfielder | 11 | 560 | 0.77 | 1 | +0.23 | 0.12 |
| Nathan-Dylan Saliba | midfielder | 10 | 805 | 0.93 | 1 | +0.07 | 0.10 |
| Léo Pétrot | defender | 8 | 720 | 0.50 | 0 | -0.50 | 0.06 |
| Thorgan Hazard | midfielder | 11 | 686 | 2.58 | 2 | -0.58 | 0.34 |
| Lukas Ambros | midfielder | 7 | 473 | 0.65 | 0 | -0.65 | 0.12 |
| Ali Maamar | defender | 16 | 1188 | 0.75 | 0 | -0.75 | 0.06 |
| Enric Llansana | midfielder | 12 | 824 | 0.77 | 0 | -0.77 | 0.08 |
| Danylo Sikan | attacker | 12 | 743 | 3.83 | 3 | -0.83 | 0.46 |
| Mihajlo Cvetkovic | attacker | 16 | 1052 | 5.90 | 5 | -0.90 | 0.51 |
| Tristan Degreef | attacker | 16 | 1152 | 1.97 | 1 | -0.97 | 0.15 |
| Ludwig Augustinsson | defender | 18 | 1434 | 1.02 | 0 | -1.02 | 0.06 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gent | 8 | 12 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 14.5 | 22 | +7.5 |
| 2 | Union Saint-Gilloise | 8 | 16.3 | 22 | 9.6 | 4 | 14.8 | 20 | +5.2 |
| 3 | Sporting Charleroi | 8 | 16.3 | 16 | 8.3 | 7 | 15.9 | 21 | +5.1 |
| 4 | Club Brugge | 8 | 22.6 | 19 | 9.7 | 4 | 16.7 | 21 | +4.3 |
| 5 | Lommel SK | 8 | 8.8 | 9 | 14 | 9 | 8.3 | 11 | +2.7 |
| 6 | SK Beveren | 8 | 8.4 | 8 | 15.8 | 14 | 6.9 | 9 | +2.1 |
| 7 | Westerlo | 8 | 13.3 | 20 | 13.9 | 17 | 11.3 | 13 | +1.7 |
| 8 | Anderlecht | 8 | 13.6 | 9 | 7.2 | 6 | 14.9 | 16 | +1.1 |
| 9 | Zulte-Waregem | 8 | 10 | 10 | 11.4 | 9 | 10.1 | 11 | +0.9 |
| 10 | Antwerp | 8 | 11 | 12 | 18.8 | 20 | 7.5 | 7 | -0.5 |
| 11 | Genk | 8 | 14.3 | 16 | 10.2 | 12 | 12.9 | 12 | -0.9 |
| 12 | Standard Liège | 8 | 14.6 | 13 | 12.7 | 13 | 11.9 | 11 | -0.9 |
| 13 | Mechelen | 8 | 9.6 | 9 | 13 | 17 | 8.6 | 6 | -2.6 |
| 14 | La Louvière | 8 | 10.2 | 8 | 18.1 | 18 | 7.3 | 4 | -3.3 |
| 15 | OH Leuven | 8 | 10.5 | 6 | 17.1 | 14 | 8.4 | 5 | -3.4 |
| 16 | KV Kortrijk | 8 | 8.1 | 2 | 15.3 | 18 | 7.2 | 3 | -4.2 |
| 17 | Sint-Truiden | 8 | 15.8 | 15 | 12.7 | 16 | 12.7 | 8 | -4.7 |
| 18 | Cercle Brugge | 8 | 11.8 | 9 | 12.4 | 16 | 10.5 | 3 | -7.5 |